Exactly. The argument works both ways. Sure we got lucky against Miami with the FG, but guess what? We were unlucky against NE and TEN. Two games we should have won if Hill catches a pass and our o-line doesn't kick the ball on the bad snap. You are what your record says you are. We were 6-10 last year. For advanced stat nuts out there our Pythagorean Theory (points scored vs points allowed) equated to a 6 win team. So one could argue we neither over or under achieved last season.