What is a second round worth?

Discussion in 'New York Jets' started by Rod_2, Apr 11, 2009.

  1. German Jets Fan

    German Jets Fan 2007 TGG.com Rookie of the Year Award Winner

    Joined:
    Mar 8, 2007
    Messages:
    2,949
    Likes Received:
    7
    Ask me again in 10 months
     
  2. Jet21

    Jet21 New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2009
    Messages:
    325
    Likes Received:
    0

    Agreed Altoona, agreed. One of the reasons BB went out and got Welker was because BB said that welker was a "patriot killer". That his linebackers just couldn't cover him in the slot, and that he was a consistent receiver. He was a perfect candidate for the Patriot offensive system and scheme, so BB was willing to go out and take a risk on a guy that put up production against BB's defense.
     
    #22 Jet21, Apr 11, 2009
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2009
  3. Jet21

    Jet21 New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2009
    Messages:
    325
    Likes Received:
    0

    So you don't believe in potential then? By this argument, you conclude that worth and potential have no correlation. For example, you would rather have a low productive Miles, or any of those players already in the NFL than have Micheal Crabtree who has the potential to be a great impact wide receiver in the NFL? I feel that by your arguments, you demonize the concept and point of the NFL draft.

    I agree with Mr. E and Syracuse Jets points of view, although my take is slightly different. There arguments however, are still sound and make conceptual sense.

    To me, your arguments make no sense, and you just repeat other posters but take their posts out of context. Like I've said before, by your theory, we should just trade away all of our picks so we get guys that have already have little or some production, because at least they have performed on the NFL level.
     
  4. Jersey Joe 67

    Jersey Joe 67 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2006
    Messages:
    7,202
    Likes Received:
    1,873
    You seem to take much enjoyment nit picking my opinion. Whatever sharpens your pencil dude.
    I don't think i take other posters points out of context and make them my own. These are MY opinions of which i am entitled to.
    A lot of posters screaming for a QB say we "need to draft one", which i don't agree with. Drafting a QB doesn't necessarily help you with the "need". Not every QB drafted turns out to be Matt Ryan or Joe Flacco. Most of these guys coming out of college need time to develop. Some positions have a longer learning curve then others. Wr is one of those.
    Most seem to think we need a WR NOW, not one we have time to develop. Drafting one would be ok if we had veterans we will be looking to replace in a few seasons. This will not satisfy the need NOW.
    I propose if we feel our offense is a WR away from being explosive or even very good for that matter, chances are we will not address this with a draft pick. I think it would be better to grab a guy in FA who knows the NFL game and has shown his worth or potential at THAT level.
    Austin has been in the league only 3 or so seasons. What are you basing your opinion of labeling him "unproductive" on?
    He was on a team with an all pro WR an all pro TE and not a focal point of their offense. Like i said before it takes time for a WR to develop. At least 2 or 3 years.
    Again i state this is MY opinion. Others who disagree are not right or wrong in their argument. They just have THEIR opinions.
    Maybe you should stop looking at what i say with your fine tooth comb and post something original of your own. Rest assured when you do i'll give you a nice thumbs up so you can feel like you've accomplished something.
    Happy Easter, if it applies.
     
    #24 Jersey Joe 67, Apr 11, 2009
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2009
  5. Leicester Jet

    Leicester Jet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 11, 2007
    Messages:
    1,453
    Likes Received:
    898
    Well said evojoe67 everyone is entitled to their opinions - after all this is a free country despite what some would say.
     
  6. James Hasty

    James Hasty Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2003
    Messages:
    15,976
    Likes Received:
    5,255
    After blowing second round picks on McCraphands and Nugent I would like to see us keep the pick and actually use it to imporve the team.
     
  7. Br4d

    Br4d 2018 Weeb Ewbank Award

    Joined:
    Apr 22, 2004
    Messages:
    36,670
    Likes Received:
    14,472
    A guy with 16 catches in the NFL is not worth a second round pick unless he played on a team full of great WR's. If he couldn't get on the field because other guys were great that's one thing, but if he couldn't get on the field for other reasons then he's not worth the second most valuable commodity that a team has to add new talent each year.

    The way the Jets have spent 2nd round picks over the last 8 years is directly related to their inability to become a topflight team. They treat those picks like they're some kind of freebie value to be bundled or traded away or used in inexcusable ways when actually exercised and as a result they've actually drafted very little talent in the 2nd round.

    2008 - No pick, traded for Brett Favre.
    2007 - One pick traded to move up for Darrelle Revis, traded up in 2nd to get David Harris.
    2006 - Moved around in the round to pick up Thomas Jones and then selected Kellen Clemens.
    2005 - Selected Mike Nugent, added a pick in the 1st round trade down to take Justin Miller
    2004 - No pick, traded for Justin McCareins.
    2003 - Took Victor Hobson
    2002 - Took John McGraw
    2001 - Took Lamont Jordan.

    The only players left on the team from 8 years of 2nd round picks actually exercised are David Harris and Kellen Clemens. Further value was spent to get Darrelle Revis and David Harris.

    You can't do this with an NFL team and be anything other than a consistent also-ran, which is where the Jets are at the moment. The Jets haven't actually just used their 2nd round pick to take the BPA in five seasons now. Their cumulative record over the 5 seasons is 37-43. I would say the two facts are related.

    BTW, I'm responding in support of your post, to amplify the strong message at the core of it.
     
    #27 Br4d, Apr 12, 2009
    Last edited: Apr 12, 2009
  8. Kris 15

    Kris 15 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2002
    Messages:
    16,735
    Likes Received:
    1,499
    ^ I believe our 2008 second rounder was given to Green Bay in the trade up for Keller. I agree with your overall post though.
     
  9. SyracuseJet

    SyracuseJet Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2007
    Messages:
    2,307
    Likes Received:
    27
    The fact that you two are still dwelling over this is awesome. I bet you both punch your screens when people don't agree with you...

    [​IMG]
     
  10. ukilledkenny

    ukilledkenny You bastards!

    Joined:
    Aug 11, 2005
    Messages:
    8,343
    Likes Received:
    0
    yeah i actually had to buy 3 new computer screens over our last convo. i just get so worked up over you making stupid arguments.:rolleyes:
     
  11. tanknyc

    tanknyc Active Member

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2006
    Messages:
    1,969
    Likes Received:
    18
    I think the guy has the height ... Has the speed and gets seperation and after the catch gets YAC and we are looking for a receiver in the draft to so why not give up a 2nd rounder then in the first we could look at either QB RB DL so that would be one problem solved...
     
  12. Rod_2

    Rod_2 Member

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 2006
    Messages:
    333
    Likes Received:
    0
    I'm worried Miles was only good because of the other weapons at WR the cowgirls had.
    A little less worried about Chad because he proved he can go. Bags he bring is a bit scary.
    A prospect is just that. This years crop is a little less worrisome.
     
  13. Jake

    Jake Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 9, 2004
    Messages:
    15,749
    Likes Received:
    2,361
    You know I might be out of the loop or something. But there is no chance in the bluest of hells, that Miles Austin is worth a 2nd rd pick at this point in his career. Based on what he's done in the NFL. He has 18 career receptions :rofl2: Why are we even considering this?!?!?! Because Jerry Jones likes him?

    Now I'm busy watching baseball, and am lazy to dig through threads.... so will someone explain to me why anyone is even considering a 2nd rounder for Miles fucking Austin. There aren't two April fool's days are there?

    As for Ocho Cinco, I'd give a 3rd for him because he's shown he can play in the NFL; but he is on the decline, has an ego, and has done jackshit the last two seasons. 3rd rounder AT MOST.

    In summary, we should draft a WR rd 1 or 2.
     
    #33 Jake, Apr 12, 2009
    Last edited: Apr 12, 2009
  14. tanknyc

    tanknyc Active Member

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2006
    Messages:
    1,969
    Likes Received:
    18
    Ocho Cinco is on the back half of his career and declining and U think TO's attitude is bad this guy is worse in my opinion and could tear a team apart.....
     
  15. Hobbes3259

    Hobbes3259 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2005
    Messages:
    15,454
    Likes Received:
    393
    Bullshit. He's not uncoverable.

    They use him well. They do so by throwing out the conventional rules. If we had thrown 150 balls to Chrebet when he was here, or to Stuckey now, either one of the two would catch 100 for a 10 yard average.

    You put a guy on Welker at the line and hit him good (a safety not a CB...) and you can shut him out. Thats why guys like Jabar Gaffney wind up killing us.

    Moss, we can handle....Welker...we can handle but the Pats bring in talented castoffs at the 3 and 4 deep holes.
     
  16. Hobbes3259

    Hobbes3259 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2005
    Messages:
    15,454
    Likes Received:
    393
    Ok,Brain Surgeon....


    What is Miles Austin....? A Draft pick with solid time as a professional football player that..btw....put up better combine numbers than any second round pick this year....

    It's not a question of sexy..It's called hedging the bet.
     
  17. NDmick

    NDmick Revis Christ

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2007
    Messages:
    22,432
    Likes Received:
    3
    its called paying for potential and not proven ability.

    if the tender was a conditional for next year instead of a 2nd rounder I'd have a no problem signing this kid... but 2nd rounders don't go to guys with potential.
     
  18. Hobbes3259

    Hobbes3259 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2005
    Messages:
    15,454
    Likes Received:
    393
    Yes, they do, Unproven in the NFL potential.(In common parlance we call those College Players...) This guy is proven.

    3 years. 3 Training camps tells you HE WORKS AT IT.

    Oh, and btw... where did he learn his football...Garfield High in NJ.

    Can you tell me anything about the last player we had from that school?
     
    #38 Hobbes3259, Apr 12, 2009
    Last edited: Apr 12, 2009
  19. wildaces

    wildaces Banned

    Joined:
    Jan 3, 2008
    Messages:
    2,528
    Likes Received:
    0

    A couple of weird analogies.

    Is a house worth X amount of Dollars? If a home buyer feels the home is worth the X amount the house is worth X amount.

    Is a gallon of milk worth X amount of Dollars? To most people milk is a need, and worth X amount of Dollars.

    My point is that only the parties involved can put a value on the transaction.

    For discussion purposes,

    The first scenario had better value for the Cheifs than it did for the patriots. The Chiefs received 2 caliber players for the price of 1, or a buy one get one type of thing.

    Is Miles Austin worth it? I don't think so! He has shown flashes, and after the season I wondered what the price would have to be for him. However, I believe there are OTHER unproven players that will be as good as him in the 3rd round. That would lead me to believe that it is a bad deal for the Jets good for Dallas.

    Is Chad Johnson worth it? absolutely! Do I want him? absolutely NOT! He is a proven player that will make plays that we won't be able to get immediately from a rookie. (Most likely) He will be a distraction that this team doesn't need. I would value this deal as the most even of your first 3 scenario's.

    Your last scenario won't show true value for a minimum of 2 years, IMO. Unless we were able to get an immediat impact player like Eddie Royal was last year, and that would swing the value to great. The flip side is we pick a player that won't play a down for us. That would equal a total lost, and have no value. The usual is we will pick a player that meets the perceived value of a 2nd round pick, and becomes a starter in a couple of years while showing flashes in the mean time.

    EDIT: All of the discussion before is based on what I saw as the value, but I was not involved in the transaction. There will be other that feel differently, thus proving my point.
     
    #39 wildaces, Apr 12, 2009
    Last edited: Apr 12, 2009
  20. Jet21

    Jet21 New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2009
    Messages:
    325
    Likes Received:
    0

    Well thats not exactly true. There are guys in the third and 4th rounds that post much better combine numbers then him. If you claim he posted better numbers than 2nd round receivers this year, why did he go undrafted? Miles highest projection in the 2006 draft was in the late 4th round despite his combine. His combine was surprising for a division 1-AA athlete, but scouts said that the best case scenerio for Austin was the 4th round
     
    #40 Jet21, Apr 12, 2009
    Last edited: Apr 12, 2009

Share This Page