I think its a pretty safe bet cincy doesnt win 2/4 against Pitt and Baltimore. I really think Dalton will struggle mightily against those defenses and as a result, they won't win 11 games. Looking at our remaining schedule, we could just as easily win out as we could go 9-7. I think we win 11 games, and most importantly win the division. I would not be shocked at all to see an 11 win team as the #2 seed, hell I could see an 11 win #1 seed. I just am not sold on houston's (team with easiest road) ability to win more than 11 games, I just don't believe in their roster that much.
Cincy will fall out. I think they go 1-4 at best against Baltimore, Pittsburgh & Houston. KC will also fall out: @NE, PIT, @CHI, @NYJ, GB (need more be said?). SD will take that division & the 4 seed. It wouldn't surprise me to see Pittsburgh win out. Their remaining schedule isn't that tough. I think both they & Baltimore make the playoffs. Houston will be a 1 or 2 seed. I don't think anybody else in that division does better than 9-7. The other team earning a bye is the AFC North winner. We have 5 very winnable games left: @ DEN, BUF, @WAS, KC & MIA. Worst case scenario, we should be 10-6, but that may not make the playoffs. If we win 1 of NE, @PHI, NYG, we should make it in. I'd think Buffalo's most likely scenario is 10-6 (losses to NYJ & NE, & drop one to SD or Dallas), but they could get to 11-5. If we don't beat NE this week, it wouldn't surprise me to see them run the table. Their toughest remaining games would be @PHI & vs Buffalo. Their worst case scenario may be 11-5, but they could easily go 12-4. Beating them doesn't guarantee us the division, but it would sure help.
