You just predicted the Jets would go 6-0 in their division. Do you remember the last time the Jets went 6-0 in their division?
I am considered by homers to be a darksider, but given that point differential it is difficult to look at 8-8 as a predictor of future success. It is entirely fair to say the Jets' wins last year were mostly about close games, and we can remember some like the TB game where the opponent essentially gave away the game. Plus you are one who disses Vick, which essentially means you are relying on Smith to deliver acceptable perofrmance at qb. That's another reason to be pessmistic, imo. Then consider: OL. Winters will have to improve, Colon and the other vets avoid injury, and RT be no worse than last year. Otherwise this unit could actually be worse than last year overall. So far there is no reason to expect any bench players to contribute. LB's. Here I am somewaht more optimistic since I think Coples will step it up. But Pace is a year older, Harris had his bounce back year last year, and isn't getting younger. Davis I expected to step it up last year, and he didn't. This unit should be marginally better, but imo is at least as likely to be net no different. CB. Still a problem. On the positive side, I think the O will be more effective with a full year of Marty's leadership under its belt. But there is also at least the potential of a Qb controversy. And the team still looks thin or unproven at wideout. Amaro and Johnson, though, should help the passing attack from other positions. Strength of schedule looks to be adverse to the way the schedule last year worked out, but that is speculatin at this point.
Somebody pointed this out to me not long ago... if you read enough of Blocker's posts, you realize that they are as much or more about him as they are about the Jets.
1998. Although I was a teenager then. I think about it differently though. Last year we split division which shows we are good for at least one win. We clearly had a better draft than any of the other three teams getting more immediate impact players in rounds 1 and 2 than the pats plus we addressed wr in both fa and the draft. If Vick is executing offense and our defense steps up with a stronger secondary no reason why we can't run away in our division
I disagree. A sweep of a division is harder to achieve than a 12-4 record, imo. Divisional opponents know your tendencies, have ongoing rivalries, and divisional games have more importance in weighting playoff seedings. I don't think the Jets are anywhere near likely to sweep the division this coming season.
I would go with 7-9 to 9-7 range right now. Too much is up in the air and while I think the offensive talent has improved, we don't know if the QB getting the ball to these players have improved. The point differential is the scary part about last year. I know "you are what your record says", but when predicting future team success point differential has statistically proven to be a more accurate measure than wins and losses. This however doesn't guarantee anything or make it a certainty our record will drop. Going to be optimistic and say we go 9-7. I could definitely see us hitting 5-11 or 6-10 though. I think 5 wins is the ultimate bottom with our team barring a major injury bug to our top players. I also think 11 wins is our ultimate ceiling.
I think this year will be similar to last year with a bunch of ups and downs. We'll beat some good teams and we'll choke against some bad/mediocre ones. I'm really looking forward to 2015, but if the QB play steps up and some of these drafted WRs contribute, a playoff birth isn't out of the question for 2014. The defense should be just as good as last year at least. The offense is practically guaranteed to be better. In theory we should be a better team, but there is still the rookie factor, which will certainly play a big role in our success or failure. I could see 9 or 10 wins if luck falls our way.
You still don't get this at all. I'm not pissing on Vick when I say he's not a good QB. I'm just stating the reality, which is that at this point in his career Michael Vick has the skills and ability of a journeyman QB. That he runs better than most journeymen is effectively countered by the fact that he doesn't pass as well as most journeymen. Here, let me crystallize it for you using your own biases and perspectives to do so: who is a better passing QB right now, Michael Vick or Kyle Orton? So, that resolved, I'm glad we have Vick because he establishes an acceptable floor for us at QB this year. If Geno isn't ready to go we have a guy who will give us a solid journeyman performance at QB until he gets hurt at some point. All we need is 10 or 12 games of acceptable (not good - acceptable) QB play and the Jets are going to go 8-8 and might even win a couple more than that. I'm not relying on Geno Smith to get us to .500 or even over the top this season. I'm relying on Geno and Vick to be more stable than rookie Geno was last year and I'll be very surprised if between them that is not the case. Last year Geno threw 12 TD's and 21 Int's and the Jets went 8-8, winning several very close games in the process. In 2006 Chad Pennington threw 17 TD's and 16 Int's and the Jets went 10-6 and made the playoffs. That's all the Jets need next year to get to a similar result. If one of the QB's throws 21 TD's and 12 Int's the Jets are going to make the playoffs easily.
I was half-joking...I voted for 7-9. We'll be what we usually are. Good enough to miss out on a good draft pick, bad enough to miss the playoffs
No of course you wouldn't want that. You'd much prefer if Rex was gone and Jets rolled back to the good old stability of not being competitive at all!
It won't be a big surprise if the Jets are much better than they were last year. The receivers and the secondary were a disaster area for much of the 2013 season. Odds are both groups play acceptably this year. The difference between disaster area and acceptable on the edge is probably 2 games.
5-11...maybe 6-10 2-4 within the division beating Buffalo and Miami once. Possible wins against Raiders, Chiefs, and Vikings. You'll definitely lose the rest of the games.
