NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Sep 12, 2020.

  1. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I like that and I can get it at -125. Gonna roll that dice - thanks man!

    I had two free bets so I went.
    Russell Wilson to score first TD (+1800) - smaller free bet
    Seahawks -6 (-115) - larger free bet
    Russell Wilson over 30.5 yards rushing (-112)
     
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  2. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Good luck with that bro--

    -290 implies about a 65% win for the 'hawks.

    IMO the odds of a Seattle win should be at least 80%. That means the odds should be -500. Hence -290 is a steal.

    5X on Seattle.

    11/30/205:50 PM
    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • Seattle Seahawks (-290)
    EDIT: According to an odds probability calculator I should have counted the bet in the odds so it says -290 is 75%. I was wondering about this. So ML should be -400 for 80% chance--not -500
     
    #942 IDFjet, Nov 30, 2020
    Last edited: Nov 30, 2020
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  3. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Nice call on this one! Had to sweat that out with the intentional grounding call but glad you chimed in. Thanks man.
     
    #943 Jonathan_Vilma, Nov 30, 2020
    Last edited: Nov 30, 2020
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  4. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I hedged at Eagles +1000. Will be +200 if Eagles win and + about 25 if Seattle wins (down from about +38)--I think--lol
     
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  5. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    So happy Doug Pederson decided to go for two for absolutely no reason after I fell asleep last night. Got refunded my free bet because of the push. :rolleyes:

    @Brook! - Bayern's at +285 today to win? Atletico Madrid is -109?

    Does Bayern have a chance? Aren't they usually the cream of the crop in Germany?

    Ahh. Just read on Action Network this game doesn't matter for them so they might rest starters. Do they still have a chance? Or is Atletico the ML play?
     
    #945 Jonathan_Vilma, Dec 1, 2020
    Last edited: Dec 1, 2020
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  6. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Bayern and Atletico are the two best teams in Europe. Not Barcelona, not Real Madrid, not Liverpool.

    Atletico and Bayern can destroy any team at the moment. On paper Bayern is slightly a better team. Their back ups will play starting 11 in other teams. That said, Atletico's defense is as famous in soccer world as 1985 Bears defense. I have 3 parlays today. 2 of them has Total Goals under 3.5. one of them has Atletico ML.

    One thing is for sure. Atletico won't lose in my opinion. Either Atletico or Draw Play double chance.
     
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  7. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Hmm. So it seems like the Atletico Madrid ML is a bargain. Man. Soccers tough with the three outcomes!
     
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  8. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Soccer is tough. But I wouldn’t call Atletico ML a bargain. :)

    Bayern back ups can be considered starters at say Manchester United :)
     
  9. Lon Chaney

    Lon Chaney Well-Known Member

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    I can't believe this hit. Should've been a lay up but we'll take it lol
     
  10. Lon Chaney

    Lon Chaney Well-Known Member

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    I'm taking REAL -270 and Liverpool -175 parlay.

    156 to win 195

    If REAL wins 1pm I'll probably hedge a little against LIVERPOOL at 3pm
     
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  11. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    So Bayern ML isn't a bad take? A bit of a hail mary?

    Only reason I ask is because it's a free bet so I don't want to toss it away but I'm willing to take a bit of a risk.
     
  12. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    If it is free bet and you don't want to take a risk then go with Atletico ML. They need to win this game more than Bayern. But value bet is at Draw. I see Draw more likely than either team win and payout is better.

    Safe bet is either Under 3.5 goals or Atletico double chance which includes tie.
     
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  13. Lon Chaney

    Lon Chaney Well-Known Member

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    Nice under, thanks. Saved my day since my parlay lost.
     
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  14. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Should've listened. Went for Bayern because it was free. The tie would've been a nice hit.
     
  15. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    That’s ok. Watched the game. Could have gone to either way. Got some nice money thru Pointsbet. Now I rely on you for Sunday’s games :)
     
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  16. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Anyone got any good bets for Steelers/Ravens afternoon at work football? I think I could roll with the Ravens +10.5. RG3 has some low props too. 170.5 yards passing and 28.5 rushing yards.
     
  17. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    I like Steelers Moneyline first half.
     
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  18. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Dude--this is the first I heard of Lamar being out--obviously I haven't paid close attention.. Get back to you after official inactives.
     
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  19. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I rolled these.

    Over 41 (-114)
    Over 28.5 RG3 rushing (+105)
    Over 38.5 Marquise Brown receiving yards (-112)

    Willie Snead, both Baltimore runningbacks, Mark Andrews and Nick Boyle are all out.
     
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  20. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Wow--I'm going to wait for the live action for the most part but placed a couple smalls to keep it interesting:


    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • Pittsburgh Steelers -10.5 (-110)(281) Baltimore Ravens @ (282) Pittsburgh Steelers
    12/2/202:38 PM
    Placed - SingleTo Win McFarland Receiving yards.
    • Over 8.5 (-125)

    @Brook! Why ML first half only?

    @Jonathan_Vilma If I were betting props on RG3 I'd go with the unders--if he runs too much he'll probably get knocked out.--oh--u already bet it so here's hoping he runs his ass off.
     
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