@Jonathan_Vilma @DefenseWinsChampionships @Brook! Hey guys--Odds mismatch right now on Tulsa vs. Tulane thurs night. Tulsa ML -240 BUT alternative line has Tulsa -1 at -290 and +1 at -340. Meaning Tulsa should be around -315 ML and you can get it for -240. GRAB IT! EDIT: Maybe just Bovada--let me know.
Hmm. Are there weather conditions expected? Tulsa has a good team but they're not built for bad weather on offense (OK running game). Tulane is better built for it although Tulsa has a good defense. I think I'd honestly be comfortable laying 4-5 with Tulsa TBH. At home? Tulane has a true freshman QB who is a jekyll/hyde performer at this point.
I don't know about all that bro--its the odds that compels the bet imo. Here's an example: you're in a casino walking to a table to play your game. As you pass a roulette table they offer you one spin at 50:1 instead of the usual 35:1. You gotta take it if in fact you are gambling regardless if you think you will lose because the odds/payoff matrix is on your side.
No comment. I've maybe watched Tulsa play 1 or 2 times in my life. I don't know any of their players whatsoever so I'd feel guilty leaving any type of feedback. I see they're ranked Top 25 but that's as far as my knowledge goes with anything Tulsa related man.
I know man--I apparently have a different perspective on betting than you and JV which is fine. I don't know Tulsa either--all I know is that the odds should be -315 and I can get it at -240. In the real world, if the odds were really -315 (means that it occurs about 68% of the time) and you could bet at -240 (meaning that even although it happens 68% of the time, you are only paying like it happens 58% of the time), over hundreds of instances, you would make good money--regardless of what the actual bet was about. That was my point. On any 1 bet, which is why it is gambling, it can go either way. Just trying to be helpful men--lol
Small taste to keep things interesting 11/17/206:30 PM Placed - SingleTo Win 1st Half Buffalo U -19 (-115)
No you're absolutely right. I wasn't trying to refute it. It just unfortunately goes back to the fact that I'm betting such small amounts relative to what the odds are that I'd rather lay some points and get a bit more skin on a payout. If I were betting higher dollar amounts ML winners above -200 would make sense. Although I should really take your advice and go for W's not better odds lol. Yeah. Fuck that game. Bet the over 60.5 ended at 59 because Bowling Green missed a field goal they made at the end of the first quarter and didn't attempt another one in the RZ in the first half. Meanwhile, have to watch Akron/Kent State hit the same god damn over in the first half alone. Frustrating because I wanted that one but got scared off because of the threat of snow. Oh well. Central Michigan versus Western Michigan as a pickem tonight could be interesting. CMU at home with the best third down defense in the conference. WMU runs all over everyone and has slightly better QB play. Hard to shy away from the home team for me and WMU got super lucky last week.
Both but lately just pre-game. There is gold to be had in live betting I know its just harder for me to make that possible
NASCAR is great to bet on too. Wish I discovered this part of the forum sooner, I'd thrown some guys your way
Ya--I've found that especially in BB the odds algorithms have trouble with the streakiness of scoring-runs. I don't even bother betting pregame and only bet if I can watch the game.
Better late than never my man! But we have all given picks that have gone south-and we all know that it hurts more to give losers than to actually lose money. So don't be shy.
It's amazing how fucking difficult football is. Some teams just don't show up to play sometimes. I'm normally much better on the group of 5 conferences than I've been this year and the SEC and struggle with the rest of the country.
Should've waited on CMU as I placed a +0.5 (-110) bet on them earlier. I expected the line to start sending them into laying points and it went the opposite way. CMU is now +1.5 and +100 on the ML.
