NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Sep 12, 2020.

  1. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I think Cam Newton is becoming a liability but yeah--BB and he knows Garrapolo--no Mostert too--personally taking a pass before live action.

    If you believe in Chuckie you got to take the points. I kind of do. Passing on this one too.

    I agree Chargers to heavy fav--I feel like Minshew is gonna turn things around today. Pass here too.

    It's not warm and fuzzy but KC -7 is best best of the lot IMO. Maybe hope Den gets on the board first and take KC live. GL man--at least we know we got a little birdy in Istanbul.

    EDIT: HOLY FUK--Dalton just got speared on a scramble and knocked the f out!

    Dinucci totally overmatched! Sad
     
    #321 IDFjet, Oct 25, 2020
    Last edited: Oct 25, 2020
  2. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Out of these 3 NFL parlays only below is alive. @IDFjet @Jonathan_Vilma

    What do you guys think about the last 2 legs of my parlay?

    (To win $323)
    Bills ML
    Buccaneers ML
    Chiefs -7.5
    Chargers ML

    Seahawks -3.5
    Rams -6
     
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  3. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I took the Seahawks -4 tonight so I'm with you Brook. Rams Bears is a tough call. Rooting for you though man.
     
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  4. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    @Brook! DK Metcalf just saved us 7 points there bud.
     
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  5. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Exactly. Thank you DK Metcalf. I always wanted Jets to draft him to be honest. :)

    JV, I know by asking you this, I will jinx it for both you and me but I will ask regardless. In case Seahawks game come thru, shall I go down to Meadowlands Sportsbook and do a hedge bet for the Rams-Bears game? I only do one trip a week there and for the first time in a long time I have a Monday Night Game in a parlay and that parlay might end up for the last game. What would you do considering COVID? :)
     
  6. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I'm a straight up gambler, man. I would let it ride. My uncle's a big fan of hedge bets though. @IDFjet is more of a numbers analyst. Thoughts on Brooks strategy?
     
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  7. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    So if you are going in alive for +323, lets imagine you are +160 pre-game. Given that, you are basically betting $160 on the Rams. For me, that's too high a % of my original investment so I would hedge it if I could. Its really a personal matter. A good return on an investment is 4x. So if I put in $20 originally I would like to walk away with $100 so I'd hedge it to where the minimum I walk out with is $100.
     
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  8. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    There you go. I was going to say you should likely hedge at least half of it. I also don't really do parlays because I get too frustrated hitting 3/4. But I think your play above is smart.
     
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  9. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    I got the Bears tonight--no special reason except a vague distrust of Goff

    10/21/208:27 PM
    Placed - 3 Team ParlayTo Win
    • Chicago Bears +6 (-110)(475) Chicago Bears @ (476) Los Angeles Rams
    • Buffalo Bills (-750)(463) Buffalo Bills @ (464) New York Jets
    • Khabib Nurmagomedov (-340)Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje
    10/20/205:52 PM
    Placed - 2 Team ParlayTo Win
    • Chicago Bears +5.5 (-110)(475) Chicago Bears @ (476) Los Angeles Rams
    • Buffalo Bills (-680)
     
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  10. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I'm on em too. Foles over 1.5 touchdowns as well (+112). Only reason is that they can't run the ball worth a damn and will struggle doing so in the RZ.
     
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  11. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Added a bit live:


     
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  12. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    This Bears running game is so bad. Tough to tell if it's Montgomery or the line or both. When the Bears were 12-4 I feel like Nagy schemed up a lot more Andy Reid style bullshit. Maybe Trubisky was better at it, but I don't see it as much.
     
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  13. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    The Bears just got jobbed on that. Push the pile for 30 seconds and 6 yards? The fuck?
     
  14. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    F foles--we're screwed--won't be betting the bears again most likely. I'm moving on for tonight--goodnight man.
     
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  15. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Hey bro--the good thing about suffering thru watching the bears last night is we can see how shitty they are. Already keying against them for Sunday bets.

    10/27/206:31 PM
    Placed - 2 Team ParlayTo Win
    • New Orleans Saints (-210)(267) New Orleans Saints @ (268) Chicago Bears
    • San Francisco 49ers (+150)(269) San Francisco 49ers @ (270) Seattle Seahawks
    10/27/206:30 PM
    Placed - 2 Team ParlayTo Win
    • Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 (-110)(281) Pittsburgh Steelers @ (282) Baltimore Ravens
    • New Orleans Saints (-210)
     
  16. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Good call. What's the spread? I'm rolling with the over for Dodgers Rays tonight. Need a damn win and it's hit in I think all but last game. The Dodgers are starting Gonsolin who gets shelled and Snell will get worked pitch count wise out in the 5th.

    With my luck lately Gonsolin will throw 7 shutout innings in a 2-0 duel lol.
     
  17. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    GL tonight.

    New Orleans Saints
    Chicago Bears

    -4.0 (-110)
    +4.0 (-110)

    -210
    +175

    O44.0 (-110)
    U44.0 (-110)
     
  18. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I bet that moves near 6 by Sunday. The only issue is Brees struggles outdoors and in rain. Early conditions look like a 51 degree rainy slop fest (could change). That field is a disaster in conditions.
     
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  19. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Another soccer inside information from Turkish Soccer League.

    My team Galatasaray is playing at home against lowly Ankaragucu.

    Moneyline for Galatasaray win is (-310)

    Spread of -1 pays (+100)

    I think Spred -1 is safe bet here.

    Why? 4 very critical Ankaragucu players are sick due to COVID and this breaks their back.

    Play at your own risk!!!!
     
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  20. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    FYI Galat is -1.5 on Bovada.and ML at -290.

    I found an odds discrepancy that allows us to take advantage arbitrage style.

    Ank is -275 to score under 1 goal

    Galat to score shutout win is +130

    If you think Ank is scoring zero goals, you can either get +130 or -275. The +130 requires Galat score at least 1 goal.

    DATETIME
    10/29/209:03 AM
    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • Yes (+130) (Galat by shutout)
     

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