NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Sep 12, 2020.

  1. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    So far I like the below

    UAB +3 (would buy it up to 3 rather than 2.5) -132

    UAB has a young QB with a cannon and good receivers. They've played worse teams than ULL has but they're well coached (Saban assistant) and moved to home dawgs for whatever reason (leading tackler is out and QB to start the season is out but he's been out). ULL struggles on the outside receiver wise and UAB will key to stop the run with a QB that's shaky if the running game isn't working.

    Ole Miss +3.5

    Ole Miss can score at will and Auburn can't. Ole Miss laid an egg last week off the tough shootout loss vs. Alabama but both defenses are bad and Auburn is uninspired and doesn't believe in Nix at all. As said before - he's not a good enough runner in the Malzahn offense to scare people off and open passing lanes.

    LSU -6

    I have to do a little bit more research on the backup QBs for LSU but South Carolina doesn't have a good offense at all. This will be a letdown for them after they beat Auburn for I believe the first time ever. SC has a good defense but good offense always outpaces good defense when you're talking about the passing game. Under the lights in Death Valley is tough.

    Air Force -7

    Catching the service academies early in the season is a blessing and a curse. You can spend all camp preparing for it, but if they run it as well as AF does then it's going to be trouble. Air Force has probably been the best service academy over the past couple years too. They should roll in this one. If they go down early try to buy out ASAP for a small loss in this. They struggle to climb back at times.

    Edit: Adding below

    Penn State -6.5

    Again might try to get this lower. But whatever unit is on the field for Penn State they're going to have the two best players on the field at all times. Indiana has gotten a lot better over the past couple years. I was going to stay away from the Big 10 in general until I saw how low this line was. PSU has too much fire power and a really good defense.
     
    #241 Jonathan_Vilma, Oct 23, 2020
    Last edited: Oct 23, 2020
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  2. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Hey man--can u believe the gints blew that game? I turned it off at 21-10 and went to bed.

    I played around with the 6-team parlay you proposed and eliminated Miami to make it a 5-team and then took ND at ML. Also bought 1.5 pts on Alabama reducing the line to -20.
    The final odds are +1394 meaning $1394 for $100 bet.

    Parlay (5 Picks)

    Penn State (#8)
    -6.0 (-110)
    Penn State (#8) @ Indiana

    Clemson (#1)
    -46.0 (-110)
    Syracuse @ Clemson (#1)

    Notre Dame (#3)
    -370 ML
    Notre Dame (#3) @ Pittsburgh

    Ohio State (#5)
    -26.5 (-110)
    Nebraska @ Ohio State (#5)

    Alabama (#2)
    -20.0 (-145)
    Alabama (#2) @ Tennessee
    Buy Points Options
    Buy 1½ point (-145)
    Risk $1
    Win $13.94
     
  3. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    Thnx for that however at our local game room here in St Pete, we're not able to ML or buy on any spreads that are over 7.5 points so in other words if it's 7.5 we can buy or ML but once the spread reaches over 8, you can no longer touch it (only RL).

    Why take the Canes off tho? They didn't cover last week but they are 4-1 and ranked #11 vs a 1-3 awful Virginia team @ home in Miami too. I know Miami failed to cover last week but they should beat the dog breaks off of Virginia tomorrow.
     
  4. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    OK--than that leaves you no freedom except on the PSU game and that is a good one to lay the points.

    I left Miami off because its a -500 game and I thought the spread was the most risky. It's about the odds-too low to ML but spread too high to give pts. IMO.

    Shit man, those are some constraints at your local bet club. Given your propensity to be interested in the bigger lines there is not much I can offer in terms of optimization. Keep on posting your bets bro.
     
  5. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    If you guys are betting on soccer here is slam dunk game for you.

    Turkish Super League.

    Fenerbahce ML at (-140)

    They are playing home and their opponent has many injured players plus Corona related outages.

    You can thank me later. Game is Sunday 1 PM New York Time.
     
  6. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I'll take a look Brook thanks for the heads up. Gotta see if my book has it.

    Took the Dodgers/Rays over 6.5 (bought it down a run + used a 25% booster to get it to -139).

    Liked this USF/Tulsa over 49.5 or 50.5 too but didn't pull the trigger because of that Tulsa/Oklahoma State game earlier this year. Tulsa plays defense.
     
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  7. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Thanks man.

     
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  8. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    This is gold bro--
    • 10/24/203:26 AM
      Placed - 3 Team ParlayTo Win +539
      • Air Force (-280)(379) Air Force @ (380) San Jose State Spartans
      • Penn State -6.5 (-110)(337) Penn ST Nittany Lions @ (338) Indiana Hoosiers
      • Mississippi (+150)
     
  9. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Check out the over of TCU/Oklahoma too. I'm probably going to take that one. It opened at 63.5 and is all the way down to 58 on my book (57.5 is -122).

    TCU historically has good defenses but this is the Big 12 and Oklahoma is averaging 42 points PPG.

    I try to take the overs that look similar to NFL overs for games that aren't the SEC or Big10.

    Right after I posted this it went up to 58.5 already and I'd imagine will climb. Just grabbed it at 58 (-115) before it does).
     
  10. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    I'm about to place 2 tickets @ our local gambling spot.

    $100 on a 4 pick:
    Ohio State -27.0 over Nebraska.
    Alabama -21.5 over Tennessee.
    Michigan -3.0 over Minnesota.
    Miami -13.5 over Virginia.

    $20 on a 6 pick
    Clemson -46.5 over Syracuse.
    Oklahoma ML over TCU (-233).
    FSU ML over Louisville (+270).
    Notre Dame -10.0 over Pittsburgh.
    Penn State -6.0 over Indiana.
    TB Rays ML over Dodgers (+150).
     
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  11. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Adding Khabib to Ole Miss ML increases odds from +150 to +227

    10/24/2010:08 AM
    Placed - 2 Team ParlayTo Win
    • Khabib Nurmagomedov (-325)Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje
    • Mississippi (+150)
     
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  12. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    Just got my ticket placed before 12:00 games line was really long was worried wouldn't get placed in time. Two tickets.

    $100 on 4 pick for $1,129.
    Ohio State -27.5.
    Hurricanes -14.0.
    Michigan -3.5.
    Alabama -22.0.

    $20 on 6 pick for $1,194 on a fk it get lucky no fear zone ticket...

    Clemson -47.5.
    FSU ML.
    Oklahoma ML.
    Penn State -6.5.
    Notre Dame -10.5.
    Rays ML (the $ game my last gm).
     
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  13. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    Ohio State down 7-0 not even 2 mins into the game.

    I hope to be up 14-17 @ half. I'll settle for up 10 lol
     
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  14. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    Clemson already up 7-0. What happened?

    And on my same ticket my 6 pick my FSU kids my underdog ML upset up 7-0! I loved how we beat UNC a top 5 team last week @ the time gave me confidence vs a struggling Louisville team because we've been in a slump ourselves go Noles!

    Oklahoma on my 6 pick up 7-0 too on my even ML!
     
  15. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Xfinity is so god damn dumb. Stuck watching the box score for Ole Miss/Auburn on ESPN/CBS apps because they refuse to carry SECN. Can't even add it.
     
  16. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Rooting for you man. But it's hard enough to hit 1-2 games in a row let alone 6 on the same ticket. Especially those big spreads that have back door cover written all over them. Not ripping you - just saying.
     
  17. NYJetsO12

    NYJetsO12 Well-Known Member

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    Greg Schiano making Rutgers a very good bet going forward
     
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  18. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I wanted to take them but the NJ sportsbooks don't let you bet on NJ collegiate sports unfortunately.
     
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  19. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    All good my dude I didn't expect to hit my 6 pick this week went a little crazy with Clemson -46.5, FSU ML (betting with my heart) the Rays ML etc was just a fun ticket to play for me

    However my $100 on 4 pick is the ticket I felt gave me the best chance today. Of all the games. Ohio State's my only 12;00 game and right now they're up 10 @ the half. I'll take it because we started off down 7-0 and ended up outscoring Nebraska by 17 from there on out. And with like only 5 minute's remaining 2nd Q the game was tied so being up 10 is a breath of fresh air lol hoping for Ohio State to be up anywhere from 20-24 by the 4th Q (-27.5).

    My $20 ticket just put it together for a fun factor but my 4 pick are the one's who I did research on read about during the week that I felt most comfortable with.

    Fields look good pretty good but he's not wowing me like Lawrence has however just first game for Fields I hope he EXPLODES 2nd half
     
  20. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    Rutgers looked solid last year and are returning almost every starter I heard

    Edit: nvmd I'm thinking Rutgers basketball
     

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