I'll be taking them as well. Was just WAITING for that backdoor cover by Buffalo once CEH didn't go out of bounds. Luckily Allen looks like rookie Allen again.
I wouldn't take Dallas. No Prescott plus their defense is awful while Murray to Hopkins looks like an awesome duo.
Wild card here is Dalton--if he's still decent there will be little letdown with Dak out. I'm hoping 1Q will tell. ------------------------ I wouldn't take Dallas. No Prescott plus their defense is awful while Murray to Hopkins looks like an awesome duo. #202DefenseWinsChampionships, 10 minutes ago I agree its a risk hence small bet prior to start and see what happens live,.
Oh wow he is according to ESPN.com. That's a big lift. He's fantastic. Dalton is going to take a couple series to get used to playing again. He was always a good ball distributor in Cincinnati though and has an NFL arm with a lot of weapons. I'm also not sold at all in Murray. This could be a game for the Cowboys with those good edge rushers and linebackers to get back on track since their whole running game is to the edges and not up the middle. On a side note - Steve Levy makes so many mistakes it's ridiculous.
I'm not planning on addding to Dallas after seeing Dalton in 2nd series--Would take the Cards now except I'm rooting for 55. I'd cash out Dallas and take a small loss but its unavailable
I think he'll settle in a bit more honestly. The defense just added some momentum too with that series. (Wishful thinking...)
Nice recovery tonight from that Cowboys debacle last night. Should've posted earlier. Dodgers/Rays over 7.5 -108 (boosted using 25% profit boost on SugarHouse) Mookie Betts to hit a homerun +350 Nice to get em both on that one swing from Mookie in the 6th lol.
Yes. They destroyed my Rays tonight we're in trouble with this series the bats of LAD are scary good and making us look like a small market team who doesn't belong. Only game 1 but this will be a bad loss
Any early thoughts on TNF? I have to believe this line is going to move up with late money on the Eagles + Lane Johnson/Jackson being activated.
Hey man--I heard Ertz is out--not that he was having a good year anyway. Giants need Slayton active imo. Every time I've watched the eagles over the last couple years (not too much really) it seems like Lane has to come out with a leg at some point. My 14 year old son and I often talk about his amazing no-qb-pressures year. At least he told me that occurred--can't find it on google right now. I don't know man--its a tough game. Talking about early thoughts, Khabib fights on UFC Sat. night. He's currently -335. You have any interest in betting UFC?
I haven't watched much UFC in years to be honest so I don't know all too much about it. I'll catch a flight here and there. It might sound dumb but I usually don't bet anything over -200 and even stay away from those type odds anyway. I don't bet but enough for those odds to be worth it. -335 at $50 to win $15 - is that really worth the risk? You're the data scientist man! You tell me.
lol--yeah--its worth it in the long run but unfortunately you have to play a single instance and can lose. I think its a good rule of thumb you live by. I am tempted to bet 65000 on the bills this sunday and win 10000 but I won't because if I lose it would hurt way too much (plus I don't have it in my account anyway--but I could go to NJ or Vegas). As you say, risking 1000 to win 150 is not worth it. So rather I use it to increase odds on normal bets. Chi is -110 at +5 1/2. But parley with the Bills gets you the 5 1/2 at +119. I made this bet already. Placed - 2 Team ParlayTo Win Chicago Bears +5.5 (-110)(475) Chicago Bears @ (476) Los Angeles Rams Buffalo Bills (-680)(463) Buffalo Bills @ (464) New York Jet Regarding Khabib, seriously, the world ending is about the same odds as Khabib losing IMO. I should probably add that bet to a parley. Ya--I'll try that.
Just booked this: for $5 win $3.80. For $50 win $38. High probability win. Khabib Nurmagomedov -340 Buffalo Bills -750 Kansas City Chiefs -500
Caved and took the Over 8 tonight for Dodgers/Rays when it looked like the Rays were about to blow open the Dodgers opener. I like that one above. I might grab it✓
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/...boys-titans-beat-steelers-lions-win-outright/ via http://cbssportsapp.com Try not to bet trends but considering I'm sold on the Eagles anyway this just reassured it.
I'll be rooting for the Giants as if they're the Jets tonight because I want Trevor Lawrence badly. This Sunday I plan on putting together $100 on a 6 pick on... Steelers (I love their defense behind Big Ben) over Tennessee. Bills -12.5 over Jets. Packers -3.5 over Houston (coming off an L). KC -9.5 over Denver. Seattle -3.5 over Arizona. Bucs -2.5 over Raiders. That's my story and I'm sticking to it!
Thx for posting Holmes. For some reason Bovada isnt taking action on Tbay/Vegas right now so I ran your 5-bet thru and it comes out to +2683. If you just took Seattle ML and Packers ML, you're at +1631. That means you only have to worry about points on Bills and KC. If you add KC ML, you're at +988 with only giving points with Buff. If you just play the 5-bet straight ML, you're at +556. I suggest you play the 5-bet with ML Pitt, Seattle, and Pack and giving points with Bills and KC. $100 becomes $1,631 if u hit. EDIT: You can buy 1.5 points with KC so you're only giving 8 and you're still at +1601. I like that better.
