Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Ok...reputation on the line here. The setup for next weekend is the best I have seen all winter long. Two long range models agreeing on a track from the gulf of mexico to just east/south of Long Island.

Lets see how this pans out. Usually this would be a nice 50 50 shot but this winter...lets say 30% chance.

We will get that bastard running one way or another Cman.

 

As much as I love the snow...the beach baby..the beach. 5 more years of North Jersey and Im beach bound.

Since this is Jay and stuff...here is some stuff that belongs in another thread..Rangers 3 power play goals already baby!!

 

Will do...but its just the same thing every week. Storms show up on the models than they either disappear or shift hundreds of miles. The last two winters, any amateur could go look at the models and give a basic forecast on these storms. Its a terrible year.

Yeah Jil, that GGEM model was a good one...the only problem is that the Euro is now showing a storm track WEST of the APPS with a secondary forming off the coast of LI..which is too late. GFS seems to be following the Euro.

The time frame has also moved up to Thursday night Friday...but as far as snow? Some things will really need to change.

As far as the kids CBG..sorry for the letdown..AGAIN.

 

Hey...a couple models went bad..lets see what happens tonite. There are 4 major models.

The NAM is an 84 hour out model that came out at 930pm. Im going to check it out now.

The GFS comes out at 1030pm

Several other models come out around midnight...and the big one..the Euro comes out at 1am. I will at least check the NAM and GFS. Lets see if its back on.

 

Its a light snow even for Tuesday night/ Wednesday followed up by a RAIN EVENT NOW for thursday and Friday.

 

AND BACK ON...with the possible Sunday storm...the latest models show a real bomb..and a real close call. The question with this one is suppression. Does it get far enough north.

I always talk about trends..and this thing has now trended north the last couple runs. Will that continue? We will have a really good idea in 24 hours..and much better in 48. But I like what I see!

 

That a boy cman!! We have one not too far from our house..love the salad bar!! Have a great time. We had our dinner tonite at this new Asian Bistro place...great food.

As far as the storm for Sunday..and I quote from the accuweather forum:

Day 4 is over Mobile Al, Day 5 over east/central GA, then Day 6 Euro has a 982mb bomb 100 miles east of Ocean City Md......that is from Plymouth State

followed by another poster that says: Wow on the Euro, just wow

Now thats still a bit too far east but inching MUCH closer..and needless to say..a BP of 982 is a BOMB of a storm. All models are suggesting the same thing: If we get a huge snow storm this winter...this is our chance. Still a few things in the way...but Sunday could get every interesting around here.