Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,276
    Likes Received:
    1,187
    Omg. 15???
     
  2. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,276
    Likes Received:
    1,187
    And a good point about Matthew...thisnone does have more speed
     
  3. stinkyB

    stinkyB 2009 Best Avatar Award Winner

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2002
    Messages:
    9,184
    Likes Received:
    5,313
    Yep.... the waterline on the interior walls was a solid 14"... all storm surge that flooded the ICW. Came in and out with a quickness.
    Gutted the whole house.

    Been on a super awesome run
    2017: Lived with my parents while rebuilding my house. NO LIFE
    2018: finished the house while I was living in it (I moved in as soon as it wasnt a health hazard (had a bathroom, a fridge, a grill, an air mattress and an internet connection so I could work from home). NO LIFE
    2019: Had a bunch of $ saved from working my ass off the 2 prior years, and re-doing the house myself and had intentions to buy a boat and a new truck..... my main source of income (I was a 1099 art director for a magazine) got bought out by the competiton.... buh bye toys. :confused:
    2020: no explanation needed.

    in regards to the Matthew comparison. Matthew was on a slow decrease from Cat4 with a huge windfield and Huge seas in it's core / fetch, so that's why there was so much surge..... tides were 1' higher than this weekend too (although Sun night is pretty high)
     
    jaywayne12 likes this.
  4. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,276
    Likes Received:
    1,187
    Thats a run sb....better fortunes bud.

    Ok...latest model run...the hurricane is giving s huge middle finger to the term wind shear....it gets to a point east of west palm....and starts to explode...winds nearing cat 3....110 or more...not done with run.
    This might be where shear comes into play...but this might be stronger than predicted now.

    One thing for sure....the waters...the track going forward at this point are friggin prime.
     
  5. stinkyB

    stinkyB 2009 Best Avatar Award Winner

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2002
    Messages:
    9,184
    Likes Received:
    5,313
    The surf temp in St. Aug a week ago hit 87! o_O
    Back "down" to 82 but yeah.... plenty of cane fuel
    I really hope this thing caps a cat 2 or we're fuct.... zero prep. My only concern is the flooding and that prep takes the most time...... I remember the "good ole days" when major 'canes would just circle around the Atlantic before fizzling out in the norther graveyard..... "Where are you surfing before work tommorow?" "shit... I'm taking most of the day off"
     
  6. stinkyB

    stinkyB 2009 Best Avatar Award Winner

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2002
    Messages:
    9,184
    Likes Received:
    5,313
  7. typeOnegative13NY

    typeOnegative13NY Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2003
    Messages:
    11,266
    Likes Received:
    885
    Line shifted west in the 11am. It’s 2020 and I trust nothing this year.
     
    jaywayne12 likes this.
  8. stinkyB

    stinkyB 2009 Best Avatar Award Winner

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2002
    Messages:
    9,184
    Likes Received:
    5,313
  9. typeOnegative13NY

    typeOnegative13NY Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2003
    Messages:
    11,266
    Likes Received:
    885
    Yeah man. Not happy about the current track forecast. I just wanted some clouds to cool it down for a day or 2.
     
    jaywayne12 likes this.
  10. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,276
    Likes Received:
    1,187
    Damn. Right on the coast...if i was selfish...those in coastal sc and nc should root for this....but the weather channel is really hooking up with euro model of a total florida landfall then reentry into the atlantic near fl...ga...border. If thats the case...up north tons of rain and less wind.
    Again...will not rule out skirting fl coast...but still think this is a nc landfall.
    Hope not.
    Regardless...mucho rain even into jersey and winds should withstand the landfall or falls and tropical storm winds as far north as MASS.

    Tomorrow around this time...Florida and how it interacts with this hurricane will tell the future story for the entire east coast.
    What a friggin nor'Easter track this is.
    One last thing...this puppy is blowing up as i type and i just wonder if it gets closer to 100 mph.
     
    Brook! and typeOnegative13NY like this.
  11. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,276
    Likes Received:
    1,187
    I have mentioned the magnet....when you look at a map of the nc/sc border...just above that line you see a u shape of the coast...the eastern tip of that u is carolina beach...and just several miles north is the beginning of wilmington....that section almost faces south.

    Hoping not.
     
    Brook! and typeOnegative13NY like this.
  12. typeOnegative13NY

    typeOnegative13NY Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2003
    Messages:
    11,266
    Likes Received:
    885
    The 5am gives the track about a 30 mile move to the East.

    [​IMG]
     
    Brook! likes this.
  13. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,276
    Likes Received:
    1,187
    Did i just here weather channel say Savannah Georgia?
    Cant be...but ok...checking
     
    Brook! likes this.
  14. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,276
    Likes Received:
    1,187
    Idiot...me....no...tracks a bit east as type mentioned. Checking models.
     
    Brook! likes this.
  15. typeOnegative13NY

    typeOnegative13NY Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2003
    Messages:
    11,266
    Likes Received:
    885
    And.... back west again lol

    [​IMG]
     
    Brook! and jaywayne12 like this.
  16. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,276
    Likes Received:
    1,187
    That better not be yet type that's right on me
     
  17. typeOnegative13NY

    typeOnegative13NY Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2003
    Messages:
    11,266
    Likes Received:
    885
    Yeah, this thing has around 36 hours to change its mind. Looks like it is showing some signs of weakening a bit, but it will hit more open water.
     
  18. typeOnegative13NY

    typeOnegative13NY Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2003
    Messages:
    11,266
    Likes Received:
    885
    This is insane today. Look how far away from the storm these strikes are. I was just working down at the beach, the suns out, the sky is black to the west and there are strikes from the blue. And there’s no shortage of dummies on the beach and in the water.

    [​IMG]
     
    Brook! likes this.
  19. typeOnegative13NY

    typeOnegative13NY Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2003
    Messages:
    11,266
    Likes Received:
    885
    At the rate this thing is going west today , it may end up landing in Charleston

    [​IMG]
     
    Brook! likes this.
  20. stinkyB

    stinkyB 2009 Best Avatar Award Winner

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2002
    Messages:
    9,184
    Likes Received:
    5,313
    Surfed for almost 6 hours yesterday, then drank beer watching the ISLES. .... Happy to see the current track and forecast... as my "storm prep" was mowing the lawn and cleaning out a drainage swale.

    ....These things are going to give me a bi-polar disorder
     
    typeOnegative13NY likes this.

Share This Page