Thats really bullshit posting crap like this in this thread Koz...thought you were above crap like that. Everyone knows Jonnyd is prepared for storms like this with a direct gas run generator plug in fat blue jelly cock.
In case he doesn't... there are other options. Not sure if shipping would be quick enough to arrive before the storm though. [YOUTUBE]gP3Zwp2st0E[/YOUTUBE]
It's great that the very northeast corner of SC is still in the threat cone. They don't know what to tell us. last i heard today is that the storm is showing tendencies to track a little more west than previously thought even thought they haven't shifted the cone much yet.
They are awaiting data that will give them some real solid info which they will get tomorrow morning...too little too late? Maybe. The shift eastward it the track has a lot to do with a cold front that should stall just south of Long Island on Friday. It steers the currents and Jet Stream but quite honestly, tough call. Im NOT A WEATHERMAN. I just go by history of following these guys and piecing puzzles together from people I respect. Bottom line is that Hurricanes usually track more east than foretasted. With that said....I just have a funny feeling this track will end up being more west. The model swings were so severe that it makes no sense how the original models were so far off. When this storm first was being followed, it was to track through Florida and up the Western coastline thru the Gulf. Wont come close to that by I just have a feeling that by tomorrow night, they will be back in the Long Island/NYC near landfall. Hope my gut is wrong. This is the important part..and the following is something that all people need to remember. Was talking with BG in this thread about the strength of storm always being to the east/northeast of the eye. This storm is massive..and NJ,CONN,NYC,RI,MASS are going to get a pretty damn good beating: BASED ON LATEST NHC FORECAST TRACK. GIVEN THE SIZE OF IRENE...DO NOT FOCUS JUST ON THE FORECAST TRACK...AS ITS DANGEROUSLY STRONG WIND FIELD LIKELY WILL ENVELOP MOST OF THE REGION...EVEN ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE STORM. ALL PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE IRENE SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AS WINDS/RAINS STARTING SATURDAY NIGHT...AND DEFINITELY SUNDAY WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT...IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE TO TAKE ANY ACTION THEN. This isnt from a pretty boy channel 7 weatherman..this is the NHC pros.
I grew up in Point Pleasant Beach and if you know anything about that area it's not a very large piece of land that runs between the ocean and Barnegat Bay just south of Pt down towards Seaside. Fortunately my mother is now inland in Lakehurst but my guess is the projections for this would be close to that of Gloria which as we remember was a big time dud for the area.
Our local weather in MB is saying we are pretty much out of the woods. Minimal impacts only. I just have a feeling they are gonna be wrong. That front wasn't originally supposed to stall was it?
Weird, I was looking at the pic you posted when I grabbed he URL. Weather Bell carries, this nice little tid bit.
That site has some great stuff...great info. Here is the entire link: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201109_radar.html It has another 13 to 14 pic links above it with model info etc.
Based on that the Outer Bank or the Md Eastern Shore could get smashed. There really isn't much on the Eastern Shore but my guess is the great people of Baltimore would want nothing to do with that bad boy.
From the message boards and models that are coming out, that above track looks like it has some distance between the actual eye and land..its a great map BB. I will tell you this...the weather weenies are starting to get their underwear in a bunch about what the new models are saying. Tropical storm winds up and down the east coast in all the big cities. I just have a feeling that its a very deceiving track..and this is going to be a massive..power outage...major flood storm for millions and millions.
Can you clarify what you mean by this? Normally I'm not bothered by storms, but this weekend I have my wedding celebration and we have guests coming from up and down the coast.
Long story short M is that you have almost all models except 1 model, the European model, agreeing that a hurricane will graze the outerbanks and not really diminish in power as much as they usually do up north. Now the one model that doesnt agree (which in my opinion is the most accurate of all of them) is the European...with the track going more inland that can be even more devastating...with flooding rain and major winds for areas well inland too. Bottom line is that you have people coming from all over the coast and my question would be from North to South? South to North? Both? and when. Travel on the East Coast will begin to go down the shitter with major power outages beginning Saturday night....Sunday here in Jersey will be a really rough day. Is the wedding Saturday?..Night? what state?
That is still possible. The problem with this storm is that it doesnt need to make landfall to cause major problems because of its size. Usually, these storms are tight and devastate a path..this storm will have huge arms.
The predicted amount of precip for the storm...no joke. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i00.gif Thats inches..of rain. The current size of the storm...incredible: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/avn-l.jpg
