Really checking out a very strange run by the models the past 24 hours..I mean..VERY STRANGE. Reminds me of a few years ago when the models...well...if I put the name of the storm here certain folks might think Im comparing..IM NOT...just that the models are saying that a storm next week may do certain things that are rare indeed. Check out the website...long write up.
Weird set up...2 storms...1 comes through over the weekend with mostly rain but 50 to 100 miles inland ice and snow..but the second storm..lol...all the models have it doing the cha cha....stall off of NYC..and dump mega snow well inland from NY State to Maine....but will the models change the locations? There is not doubt a highly unusual storm will hit...major beach erosion etc...but what kind of precip will all of us get?
I'll have to go back a few pages but I see the forecast changed as originally they were only saying Southern Luzon but now that are including Central and Northern Luzon. Manila sits in South Central Luzon so I elected to change my flight to get home tomorrow. Maybe I panicked but also maybe 100 dollars well spent. I have no interest in landing in the middle of a typhoon which should be making landfall about the same time I was scheduled to land. It also is now being classified as a Super Typhoon and evacuations have already begun. Edit: went back but didn't see a link, btw this thing looks almost perfect from satellite views
here is some info..looking for more: Typhoon Hagupit bears down on Philippines Jump media player Media player help Out of media player. Press enter to return or tab to continue. Typhoon Hagupit is gathering strength in the western Pacific and could bring damaging winds and flooding to the Philippines over the weekend. Continue reading the main story Related Stories Philippines marks Haiyan anniversary Typhoon Haiyan: Images of then and now Super Typhoon Haiyan: Satellite images People in the Philippines are braced for the arrival of Typhoon Hagupit, expected to hit land on Saturday. Hagupit, which is building strength over the Pacific, is slowly bearing down on the region devastated by Typhoon Haiyan a year ago. Hagupit has gusts of up to 170km/h (105mph) and is expected to be a category 4 storm by Saturday. Thousands of people, many still living in temporary shelters, have been told to go to evacuation centres. Haiyan, known in the Philippines as Yolanda, was the most powerful typhoon ever recorded over land. It tore though the central Philippines in November 2013, leaving more than 7,000 dead or missing. Local people have been stocking up on supplies ahead of the storm's arrival Hagupit is not expected to be a powerful as Haiyan, but could bring storm surges up to one storey high. The vice-mayor of Tacloban, the city which was worst hit by Haiyan, said the authorities were enforcing evacuation orders. "We have no more excuse, we have gone through Yolanda, and to lose that many lives, it's beyond our conscience already," Jerry Yaokasin told reporters on Wednesday. But he told AFP news agency: "Our problem is, we don't have enough evacuation centres." Meteorologists say there is a chance Hagupit could veer north towards Japan and miss the Philippines altogether, but officials said they were preparing for a worst case scenario. Helen Buena, an employee at a supermarket in Tacloban, told AFP people were stocking up on supplies. "It's not raining yet but people are panic buying after hearing about the typhoon warnings on television and radio," she said.
more: Looks like a good move leaving tomorrow..money well spent BP. http://www.google.org/publicalerts/alert?aid=df97b693316292ac&hl=en&gl=US&source=web
after much bitching and complaining from family and friends...have updated the sports sections with ALL the relevant teams in our area. The goal in the news and sports was to have it all updated on a daily basis by December 1st for the rush the site might get in the winter. 3 days late...but you can now count on it being updated everyday. Thanks to all for visiting..went over 1200 hits last night. Goal is to go over 2500 by the end of this month....BUT NEED A FEW STORMS TO HELP OUT...lol. UPDATED TEAMS AND INFO: http://jaysweather.net/news-and-sports/
MORE INFO BP...up nice and early today.. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/new-west-pacific-threat-develo/38232221
Saw they upgraded it to Cat 5 already but most of what I read says Manila should be ok , last year when Yolanda hit Manila got away with some rain and some winds about 40 MPH. Could be more of the same but I saw a track that had it go nearly right over Cavite which is only about 30 miles south of Manila. the good thing though is we don't need to worry about storm surge, we are on of the few cities in Asia that sit on the west coast. Maybe we get nothing but I think leaving tomorrow while disapointing as Osaka is freaking awesome I think flying into a typhoon is not so awesome
Jay updates appreciated keep me coming ,I have been checking both here and your site and I am sure many other people do also !
Big write up tonite on the 2 storm idea..first one Friday/Saturday and then more importantly...Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday storm. Right now..only a mix situation west of I95 but the guts of the storm will be quite surprising...and its too early to say this can not be snow. Will have update around 8pm.
And let's not forget this Category 5 Super Typhoon heading towards the Philippines. I'm actually at the airport in Osaka now getting ready to head home. Apparently it's pretty calm right now in Manila. Hopefully it misses us but the report I am reading say direct hit on Manila. This could be intense Apparently it's a very high Cat 4 but not yet a Cat 5, looks like it's going to go right over the area that was hit last year where 100's of thousands of people are still living in tents. I'll try to give updates about this bad bitch.... Ruby
hey barry, why go back today? if its going to be bad, is it possible to ride it out where you are and return when the storm passes?
Ok..just finished a write up on the site. Trying not to hype the crap out of it but the models....here is a quick explanation. THE MODELS ARE SAYING THAT...the first storm that hits us over the weekend..nothing huge...will come off the coast of NC and drift towards Bermuda only to get pulled back in from a disturbance heading south out of Canada where the 2 systems will phase..and possible interact with the subtropical jet..and head NORTHWEST to the coast then hug the....ok...you get the point. This is a rare bird. Local media will grab on to this by tomorrow night because of how rare this COULD be. www.jaysweather.net
Late night...just updated with pics showing this very unusual track...hope it makes sense: WWW.JAYSWEATHER.NET
Yeah I could have but I didn't want to extend my stay any longer than I had to, I leave for Taiwan on the 27th so I wanted to be able to spend as much time in Manila as I could. There seems to be a lot of conflict between what US forecasters are saying vs PAGSA (Philippine weather agency) , the US forecast has it going over Manila while the PAGSA says south. My flight was 4 hours of white knuckle and lots of bumps along the way. We flew over the outerbands which seemed to stretch from Southern Japan all the to Manila probably about 1500 miles or so. We were at 40K feet which is really high and there were clouds above us. It was actually kind of scary. I guess I'll find out tomorrow whether we get it or not. Some forecasts say Sunday morning but I think I made the right decision coming home a day early.
just updated site. Storm continues with a very unusual track that might even bring landfall to N.Y.C.
