Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Sorry about that GM...yes..that is correct. What area are you in again?
     
  2. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Dont want to get CMAN too excited but according to the Euro...he is in the bullseye foot of snow or more zone.

    With that said, the ole saying is you never want to be in the bullseye until 48 hours out...but his area has had bullseye for 24 hours now.

    AGAIN...way to early to confirm but thats why we track baby!!
     
  3. GQMartin

    GQMartin Go 'Cuse

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    same town as Brooklyn.

    Madison NJ next to Morristown/Florham Park
     
  4. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Jay to think You almost pulled a Martin and walked away from this :shit:
    Keep us posted Jay,,,,,,,,I am starting to get that warm fuzzy feeling :up:
     
  5. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    Did you say... a foot of snow?
     
  6. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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    serious? when would this be happening again
     
  7. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    I'm not ready for this shit.. The Seabass and fall Striper fishing was just heating up. I guess this could fall under....

    "Careful what you wish for.."
     
  8. Biggs

    Biggs Well-Known Member

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    Jay-I'm going to the Cardinals Houston game on Sunday in Glendale, AZ. What are the odds they have to shut the roof?
     
  9. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    You got what you wanted I guess

    Get your monster snow blower ready.
     
  10. Cman68

    Cman68 The Dark Admin, 2018 BEST Darksider Poster

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    Worry Not Brooklyn. The Big Boy will be ready to throw some snow man. :up:

    Good thing I'm going fishing this weekend too. Guess I need to load up 'cause, this just might be it for 2013.
     
  11. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Cool

    Enjoy your fishing trip.
     
  12. jonnyd

    jonnyd 2007 TGG.com Funniest Poster Award Winner

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    a foot ? wtf. in PA right? What about.....u know what..nevermind. it doesn't matter,
     
  13. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

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    Ch4 lady,,,Janice Huff I think that's her name,,,says the euro model gives most of us a big wet rainy mess,,,,but says the American model shows mostly snow,,,,so Jay Saturday can't come fast enough,,let us know what you think :up:
     
  14. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    a foot of snow? when?and please keep upstate n.y. out of this
     
  15. Barry the Baptist

    Barry the Baptist Hello son, would you like a lolly?
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    Jay I'm curious how much you have been following thie Super Typhoon Haiyan which is about to absolutely rock the Philippines... I'm not sure what this means but

    "Haiyan has achieved tropical cyclone perfection," "It is now estimated at 165kts (190mph), with an 8.0 on the Dvorak scale... the highest possible value." - Brian McNoldy

    Haiyan's maximum sustained winds have grown to 170 knots (196 mph), according to the just-released update from the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Hawaii. Wind gusts are being measured at more than 230 mph.

    Get this.... they are seeing waves at over 50 feet.... 50 feet. I can't even imagine how many people are going to die in this storm and next in it's path are Vietnam and Laos.
     
  16. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Barry...to be honest...not much. Im reading the headlines like most. I have had such a crappy schedule the past week and usually would follow stuff like that but its truly amazing.

    Was just on a website tracking it and it showed the track changing to north and then north east....ON SATURDAY...That is how slow this thing will move as it heads over land. I dont care how much preparation they had there..there will be alot of deaths mostly from water. The winds are record breaking...but those waves...the waves..christ..can you imagine 50 foot waves. We get waves with our bigger hurricanes in double figures and everyone shits a brick.
     
  17. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    lol...yes..some models in your area had 12-24"...again...just a model cman.

    I will say this, the models have very slowly lightened up all day today....and Im dying to see the Euro at 1am tonight..if it lightens up more, that aint happening.

    Now if the GFS at 1030 starts to show huge again....? I will be on at 11pm with updates.
     
  18. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    BIGGS: ZERO PERCENT CHANCE.

    Glendale A.Z. forecast for this weekend:

    Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Light and variable wind becoming north northeast around 5 mph after midnight.

    Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

    Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.

    Veterans Day Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.

    Im ready for anything bud! lol.
     
  19. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    Unless we have a situation of a rain/snow line..you are with me pretty much...Im in Wayne, NJ. Good to know.
     
  20. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

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    GG:

    Most of this would be on Thursday...starts after midnight Thursday morning and ends late Thursday night.

    Right now I would not put this over 50% happening..no way. Last night at this time I would be around 60%. A few things have happened today and there is a bit of disagreement with the models.

    But that happens some times. Usually around 5-7 days out you start to get one model swaying this way..one swaying that way.

    You have to scenerios.

    1. You have a major high pressure ushering in very cold air and a front that stalls...storm forms along front and boom.

    2. The major high pushes to far south and forces the storm out to sea...or it gets caught up around pa/nj and allows the storm to go inland and you get rain.

    Without boring you with other details...its all about the track and the phase.
     

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