It's almost that time... 2021 NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Aug 16, 2021.

  1. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Aha. I do $5 or $10 parlays but for single games that I feel super confident my max ever bet is $50.

    But when my soccer team Galatasaray plays Fenerbahce on the road, I bet $100 for Fenerbahce to win Moneyline to ease the pain if we lose. And if we win, I don't mind losing the money one bit. :)
     
  2. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    I put a thousand bucks on my draftkings account at the beginning of the year to play with. Once that's gone I'm done for the year unfortunately
     
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  3. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Good strategy. My problem with a budget is I am an undisciplined bettor. That's why I got my weekly allowance. If I lose my weekly money I am done until next week.
     
  4. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    In betting I believe a unit is traditionally 10% of your overall betting balance.

    Dawinner does it the same way I do. I use a unit to describe a normal bet (usually between $50-100).
     
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  5. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    holy fucking shit
     
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  6. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    i repeat.
     
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  7. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Yep. Fucking killing me. I picked up the Cowboys twice live, ML and +2.5. Now they're gonna get the ball rammed down their throat for a 6 min TD drive.
     
  8. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    Have to stop betting against the cards.
     
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  9. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    You're not alone in that thought.
     
  10. Acad23

    Acad23 Well-Known Member

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    Had a good Sunday.

    Cowboys w/spread+over
    Raiders win+over
    Vikes w/spread+over
    Rams under

    Missed on a 5 team parley.

    Chargers fucked that up or I would have went 100%
     
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  11. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Okay. Both tickets alive and I need Bills to cover -2.5 only.

    What is my hedge bet strategy? Wait and bet live or don't take any chances and do it now?
     
  12. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    What’s really neat about DraftKings is you can set limits on how much you want your max bet to be, how much your total bets can equal for the day, and then deposit limits for daily weekly monthly.

    Trust me, i know what you mean about being undisciplined. Plenty of times Sunday night rolls around and I try to play catch up. So bad
     
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  13. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    You can hedge hard and take the Titans ML or at the same number for $25 which will give you more than $50 total if they win. Or you'll lose $25 to win your initial $5 for $50 parlay.

    I don't hedge a lot so bickety, lon and @IDFjet would be better.

    I think I like the Titans to cover 6-7 tonight at home. I hope I'm not overthinking that like I did betting against the Cardinals but the Titans come off a cupcake get right game versus Jacksonville while th Bills are in back to back prime time road games.

    @bicketybam - any Astros/Sox thoughts tonight? Looks like the Astros finally have the better pitcher throwing.
     
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  14. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    You wouldn't want to hedge with Titan ML cause if the bills win by 1 you would lose both.

    If right now you took the Titans + 6.5 at -(110) for 1/2 what your live parlay payoff will be, your final payoff will be between 50% (minus the juice) of your parlay payoff and you have a chance to win your entire parlay plus the hedge bet if the Bills win by 3-6 points.

    For example, if your current parlay vaules a win at $50, now bet $25 on Titans + 6.5.

    If Bills win by more that 6.5 you win your parley (+$50) but lose hedge=$25
    If Titans win or bills win by less than 3, you lose parley (minus your original $5 bet) but win hedge =$20
    If Bills win by 3-6 you win your parley and you win your hedge = $100 - (25 hedge - 5 parley bet) = +$70
     
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  15. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    See @Brook! - I figured IDF would give you the entire analytics lol.
     
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  16. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Professor IDFjet at work. Hats off! Thank you.

    I got two $5 tickets pending Bills to cover 2.5. Total pay off is $129.

    I still want to root for Bills to cover 2.5.

    So I will bet $50 for Titans +2.5 at +150.

    Do I have your approval?
     
  17. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Lets see--
    If Bills cover you end up with 129-50 = 79
    If titans cover you end up with 75-5-5 = 65

    So you either walk away with +79 or +65. If you're happy with that then its fine.
     
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  18. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Yes sir. I am happy like that. But I will beat myself up if Bills win by 3 to 6 for not listening to you so I win both my tickets. :)
     
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  19. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    You got anything tonight?
     
  20. Lon Chaney

    Lon Chaney Well-Known Member

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    @Brook!

    Exactly what @IDFjet said.

    @Jonathan_Vilma @bicketybam @dawinner127

    I normally don't do player props but let's have so fun.....

    Henry to score a TD with Allen over 34.5 rushing yards. $100/$190

    I threw a little on Pittsburgh ML last night and almost lost to Geno. That would've been puke worthy.
     
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