It's almost that time... 2021 NFL and College Football Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Aug 16, 2021.

  1. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I took a whole bunch of crap. Tyson Williams o/u receiving + rushing 63.5 yards (-115), Calais Campbell over 0.5 sacks (+285), Darrell Williams to score 2+ touchdowns (+4000) and Ravens +3.5 (+100).

    Pissed I tried the Seahawks at -139 to start OT. Should've played the Titans for plus money with all the momentum.

    I figure the Ravens + Lamar will beat Mahomes one of these days and clean up their piss poor defense from last week.

    The only positive is the end result wasn't as bad as it should've been. Run defense got rammed as expected and offensive line looked better. That game should've been 42-7 with all those turnovers so that's a plus.
     
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  2. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    4-7 on props for the year.

    Completely misread that Colts backfield. The amount of usage that they got week 1, figured this would be a prime spot for Hines.
    Cook had 28 yards with an entire 1.5Q to go and didn't get it in a game that I thought that over was going to absolutely cash.
     
  3. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Early play here - Jared Goff over 254.5 passing yards (-112)

    Expect Green Bay to score a lot and Detroit to be in early holes. I'm not a Goff apologist but I also don't think Detroit is going to be some 35-3 rollover all year like everything thinks they will be. Not that they won't get blown out a couple times and I could see GB easily covering this spread, but you read some of the opinions out there like the Lions are going to be the worst team ever.

    They have a couple players and Campbell will run the ball enough to keep games closer.
     
  4. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    I'll ride with you. I was looking at some Hock props but Idk. Goff seems like the safer play considering both backs will prob catch a bunch of balls. Good call. Lets cash!
     
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  5. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Here's my last live parley of the weekend:

    9/17/21
    5:38 PM
    Placed - 3 Team Parlay
    To Win -109
    Green Bay Packers (-555)
    (297) Detroit Lions @ (298) Green Bay Packers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-750)
    (289) Atlanta Falcons @ (290) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Army Touchdown (-230)
    (113) Connecticut @ (114) Army
     
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  6. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Threw some loot on the Lions over 8.5 points first half. Packers are without Za'Darius Smith and meh the defense is still going to be trash as usual.
     
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  7. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Packers -4 (-113) seems like the right play.

    Edit: picked up PointsBet +120 Aaron Rodgers to throw a 3rd quarter touchdown boost as well.
     
    #347 Jonathan_Vilma, Sep 20, 2021
    Last edited: Sep 20, 2021
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  8. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    4-7 on props really rough start to the year.

    Davis Mills first pass completion under 8.5 yards

    Can see them trying to get the ball out really quick tonight vs Carolina and their pass rush. Tempted to lay the juice -210 for him go over .5 INTs, but that's' heavy
     
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  9. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I like it. Sorry on Goff man.
     
  10. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    All good!! Nothing to be sorry about. I'm still the guy pressing the place your wager button.

    Also, you nailed that Cinci + USC ML over Wash St live for me :D
     
  11. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    That USC game was just wonderful to watch the avalanche of points come with a true freshman backup QB in the game.

    Where do I find the Davis Mills completion prop? I looked on DK and SH.
     
  12. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    I found it on FanDuel Sportsbook at -114
     
  13. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I'm locked in. Found it, thanks man.

    Not that I love the play because the Texans don't have some spectacular defense but I'm not entirely sure why Darnold has plus money to throw an interception? They've picked off four balls in two games and it's a short week on the road.

    I'm going to play it out of my belief that Sam is very much a mediocre quarterback at best still.
     
    #353 Jonathan_Vilma, Sep 23, 2021
    Last edited: Sep 23, 2021
  14. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    He's been plus money to throw a pick in week 1 and week 2. I played it week 1, but passed week 2. Not sure if has has something to do with how they are keeping everything short and underneath for him? It doesn't make sense to me.
     
  15. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Here's something I'm putting down on App. St. tonight along with UFC on Sat night.

    9/23/2111:58 AM
    Placed - 3 Team ParlayTo Win +124
    • Valentina Shevchenko wins inside distance (-250)Valentina Shevchenko vs Lauren Murphy
    • Matthew Semelsberger (-550)Matthew Semelsberger vs Martin Sano
    • Appalachian State (-280)

    Also going with ND over UW this weekend--line is caca IMO

    9/23/2111:55 AM
    Placed - SingleTo Win
    • Notre Dame (#9) (+195)
     
  16. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I'm probably going to be on the other side with Wisconsin but I want to get the line down to 5.

    Notre Dame has not looked good, can't run the ball (3/5s of their line from last year is gone), Wisconsin has had an extra week to prepare with no game action and Jack Coan (ND quarterback) transferred away from Wisconsin so I'm sure they know how they're going to play him.

    Florida State lost to Jacksonville State (FCS) and almost beat ND.

    I like App State tonight too. Marshall was awful at the end of the year after starting out on fire and I believe they have the same QB. App State is a G5 juggernaut that will be borderline ranked in most years. When are those UFC matches? You're always cash on those so I may play the same parlay.
     
  17. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    lol--good points--I'm going with the "UW hasn't won a big game in a while" theory and my "Paul Chyrst will find a way to screw things up" hypothesis.
     
  18. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    True. And that Wisconsin QB Mertz has sucked in most games except a couple blowout's and Chryst is the most conservative run on every first down no matter what guy in CFB. He makes Kirby Smart look like a risky play caller. That's why I hate the number but I do think Wisconsin gets the dubya.
     
    #358 Jonathan_Vilma, Sep 23, 2021
    Last edited: Sep 23, 2021
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  19. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I added Florida -1100, left Shevchenko to just win, not inside distance and a booster to get to +103. Let's go man!
     
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  20. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    Ya! +103 is kick-ass on that!
     

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