Total Points O/U - Central Florida Over +130 Under -170 38.5 Bovada is favoring UCF under 38.5 pts so thats more consistent--interpretation given Gabriel odds says to bet the under 40 if you can get about -110 or better.
The deviation likely comes from 1 - new coach is Gus Malzahn and known as a running (Cam Newton's old coach) guru with whacky formations and such and 2 - Louisville got torched on the ground but only surrendered 1 passing touchdown against Corrall at Ole Miss who is a top QB this year. I'll counter the first point with Malzahn has not changed the UCF offense at all from what Gabriel has done successfully. I'm apprehensive of TT's that high but if anyone can hit it, it's UCF. Reason being is that 34-20 can still be a relative blow out and three quarters of heavy scoring with a 3 point running 4th Q team. What's Louisville's TT?
Total Points O/U - Louisville Over -110 Under -120 30.5 Analytically I think you are right on regarding UCF point probabilities but the line is saying under 40. We all know who wins that one more times than not lol.
Alrighty so I'm locked in here. Separate tickets. UCF -5.5 (-125) Gabriel over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+120) I'm going to stay away from the Illinois/Maryland game for now. If either or both look like cash above I might play it. I want to enjoy Saturday football even though the slate of games is awful.
I'm going to try a relaxing parley Parlay (3 Picks) +174 Army Touchdown -230 Central Florida -260 Maryland -290
I've been box score watching but how's Louisville look? Just turned the game on. Peters is playing tonight for Illinois. Going to grab the 7 I think. Edit: just did. By the way - I do not understand how Cincinnati is only 3.5 point favorites. I'm going to fade Indiana all year. Pennix will never be as good as he was last year. He made so many throws I don't think he's ever going to make again.
Woulda been pissed if he scored 3 but one was that catch. Man I hate unders but this damn Maryland/Illinois was screaming it. Two Big Ten teams on a short week.
6 Saints coaches out, Marcus Davenport + Kwon Alexander already ruled out with a separate injury and Lattimore and CJ Gardner-Johnson are both questionable. Stars aligning a bit on this one even though I don't trust Sam or the Panthers. Also - Vikings have two starting defenders out. That over 50.5 with the Cardinals is looking juicy.
UCF's defense is disgustingly bad. Louisville had so many open receivers it was wild. Like 5 yard halos around them open. @IDFjet @Lon Chaney @BrowningNagle - you guys got anything good today? Early on so far I'm looking at the below Cincinnati -3 (-130) 2 units MSU +7 (-117) 1 units Oklahoma first half -12.5 (-121) 1U WVU -1 (-124) 1U IDF I think I'm gonna go the other way and take WVU. They beat Maryland easily without turnovers. My buddy is on them and so is Bear on ESPN. VT on the road will prob be a different team than that defense at home.
I know absolutely nothing about NCAAF, but have nothing to do today besides sit on the couch and watch tv. I'll throw some action down on Cinci with you. Lets go
I hear you on WVU--I can't get out of VT as its live in a parlay with 2 pro games. Have to hope for the best but I have +120 on them. UFC starts at 4 so integrating it into Cinci bet: 9/18/217:25 AM Placed - 2 Team ParlayTo Win +182 Raquel Pennington (-125)Raquel Pennington vs Pannie Kianzad Cincinnati (-175) Got Army to score 1st points as TD between -220 and -230 parlayed with NFL games Thinking about laying the @Lon Chaney special Alabama -9 at halftime.
I'm curious about th Alabama first half too. I think the under is in play. I can't see Emory Jones and the other guy throwing the ball well against the Bama secondary. I'm envisioning a similar game to the Bama/LSU Bama shutout a couple years ago in death valley. The swamp is going to be fucking nuts though which is why I'm apprehensive of it.
Adding Cincy ML +116 here. +3 is a solid number too. Really pissed I didn't take the over 40.5 in Syracuse/Albany. They numbers too low for CFB. 14-10 already. Edit: added Minnesota -2.5, cashed out for a slight loss and added the Minnesota ML at +100
