What you think about this Falcons/Eagles game? I like Arthur Smith + those weapons a lot down there. I want to see the Eagles kick a field goal early and get the Falcons ML at close to even money. I do love Hurts though as a future player but that rosters been stripped down.
Here are my 4 tickets. They are all for $5 per ticket. Ticket 1 49'ers -6.5 Titans -3 Washington -2 Bills -2.5 To win $50.20 Ticket 2 Falcons -3.5 Colts +3 Washington -2 49'ers -8.5 Titans -3 To win $183.80 Ticket 3 Packers -2.5 Chiefs -2.5 Broncos/Giants - Either win under 10.5 Dolphins/Patriots - Either win under 10.5 To win $33.20 Ticket 4 49'ers -2.5 Washington -2 Titans -3 Patriots Moneyline Chiefs Moneyline Rams -5.5 To win $88.20
Hurts doesnt scare me at all at this stage of his career but the falcons!? Holy cow--hard to feel confident about them. You're riding hot--go with your 1st impression.
I hope you cash! I will say that Ticket 3 is in danger due to conditional probabilities of 2 games within 10.5pts. For example, if 70% of games finish within 10 points the chance of 2 of them doing so at the same time is .7x.7 =.49. Then, you have to muliplty the probs of the other bents and it comes out to less than 6:1
I took Tennessee ML when they were down 10-0. I had such a good college day I knew this was going to be a disastrous NFL day. Jets/Panthers O/U is still alive I guess. Lawrence needs one broken man coverage pocket to hit his over.
3-3 on props for the year for -28.58. Packers game was a complete mess. That shit was cooked from the start. DKs is offering a first score bet where they pay it back if that player just scored regardless. Took KUPP +750
I managed to end up a buck or two but put too many shekels on TL rushing yards. I thought it was a great opportunity since there was no history to base the line upon. Or maybe they used histroical 1st time starters avg yards. It looks like maybe he's been instructed to stay put which is smart. I noticed last year there seems to be an advantage for the home qb on this stat. Hopefully it brings the line down a bit for next week--I'll look to play it again. Keep an eye on Zach's line too.
They're talking about this Williams kid being the second coming of Gale Sayers--I'm willing to bet against that tonight. Under 62.5 -105 Total Rushing Yards - Ty'Son Williams (BAL) Baltimore Ravens @ Las Vegas Raiders 9/13/21, 8:15 PM
I got absolutely smoked. I think I lost all 7 of my 1pm bets lol. I like the Raiders in first quarter/half and the Ravens line in the overall game given how low it's gotten. Took a couple props too. Bryan Edwards over 3.5 catches (+148) - great camp supposedly. Derek Carrier to score anytime +3000. Might look for a good live line but going relatively light tonight all things considered. Yesterday was demoralizing after crushing college.
Raiders defense looks like it should be much better so I don't hate it. Williams won the #2 job outright though so he's going to get some run tonight.
I got smoked pretty good as well... I put down too much on the Jets. I took Raiders to win stacked with the 50.5 under tonight.
I nabbed the Ravens -3.5 with +100 juice but took the Raiders first half with about half as much loot. Won all my money back on the elusive DraftKings blackjack though.
