That plus the Colts were running out QB's barely better than the garbage the Cardinals have this year.
The Ravens-Giants game next week is a big one. If the Ravens win, they clinch the division and wouldn't have anything to play for against the Bengals in week 17 (assuming the Bengals beat the Steelers). Similarly, if the Texans beat the Vikings they clinch the 1st seed and would be fielding backups in week 17 vs the Colts.
Looking at the Colts/Chiefs matchup and trying to make a case for KC having a chance to beat Indy, which IMO is our ticket into the playoffs. KC runs well ... #6 in the league averaging 4.6 ypa. The Colts don't defend the run well ... #27 in the league, allowing 4.7 ypa. Obviously this bodes well for us, IF the Chiefs can keep the game close and use their running game to control the clock and keep Luck on the sidelines. Now the bad news: The Chiefs pass defense is Jekyl and Hyde --- they rank #31 in the league, giving up a horrendous 8.2 ypa. BUT they only allow a completion percentage of 60%, which is not too bad (#13 in the NFL). So, that tells me they don't allow alot of completions, but they get burned by the deep pass. A bad matchup because if you look at the Colts passing numbers, Luck is very inaccurate at 54.9% (#30 in the NFL) but they still rank #16 with 7.1 ypa. Tells me he misses alot of passes, but when he connects he gets big yardage. We're probably looking at the Chiefs giving up some big plays against the pass ... and if it happens enough times, their running game will become irrelevant.
Forgot to mention they are 3-4 on the road where they have been beaten by 12 or more all 4 times. In the 3 wins it includes a miracle last second TD against the Lions and OT against the Titans. They aren't exactly road warriors. The Colts getting to 9-7 does only good things for the Jets for tiebreakers.
What is the updated scenario we need to make the playoffs? Jets win out + 2 of the Bengals, Steelers, Colts lose out?
Assuming Jets win out. From other teams with two remaining games: scenario 1: - Bengals & Steelers both need to lose one game. Then Jets are in & Bengals/Steers are out. scenario 2: - Colts go 0-2. Jets are in & Colts are out.
easiest way in assuming we win out of course is Cincy wins this week at Pit and loses next week vs. Bal.
Assuming we win out this one could come down to the wire. I think the key game is going to be KC vs Indy. If they drop that game then that will help us tremendously. But, yeah, winning out is far from guaranteed. Firstly because we suck and secondly because we're dealing with a lot of injuries right now. But here's hoping!
all of these are likely to happen imo we just have to take care of our own business and everything else will work itself out. that's what i been saying from day one
doesnt pitt have the tiebreaker if we both finish 9-7? sorry for my ignorance but playing around with the espn playoff generator i really have no feel for all the tiebreakers an scenarios
The OT loss by the Steelers yesterday opened a path for the Jets because it reduced the chances of the Jets losing a spot to two AFC North wildcards. In fact I have trouble finding a scenario now in which 3 teams from the AFC North make the playoffs if the Jets win out. A week ago that possibility was very real.
I'm thinking win out + CIN over PIT + BAL over CIN is our most likely path in, not expecting KC to pull it off.
i see, so basically, if the Bengals and steelers are both 9-7, thats is better then if one of them is 9-7 and the other is 8-8, because then our head-to-head with the steelers goes out the window?
if we map out all the possible paths, conditional on Jets winning out we are more likely to be in the playoffs than not
And that's the problem right there, Jets are not going to win the next three games. Would be nice if they did, but Sanchez and Sparano will have something to say about it
