The funniest thing about the Yahoo tracker is they have the Jets making the playoffs and the Giants missing them.
Basically for the Jets to make the playoffs, they need a) To win out b) The Bengals to beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh c) The Bengals and the Steelers to lose 1 of their 2 other games (CIN plays @PHI, vs. BAL; PIT plays @DAL, vs. CLE). It's possible but they still need a lot of luck, especially with b.
Yeah, lots of luck. Good break down though. Pitt and Cincy ending at 9-7 like us means we MISS. Below is the last but least likely d) IND loses out, with CIN or PITT losing 2/3. Jets make it.
Conference record. If the teams have the same in conference record then I think its based off of common opponents. With all this said with all turmoil this season. Sanchez playing like shit at times, losing Holmes and Revis early this season, the humiliating home blowout losses, and of course the assfumble, to still even be remotely alive and a game out of a playoff spot is a positive. You can get on this team for alot of things and be completely right but they haven't quit on the season when alot of teams and players would in similar circumstances and Rex hasn't lost the Locker room. Now with that said, if Philly gets a home win Thursday night and Dallas gets a big win with them having alot to play for that Monday night game can turn this season around. I don't want to get to optimistic but things look better then they did thanksgiving night
I guess either we need Cinci to beat Pittsburgh on the road, and both of them to lose one of their other two games or if the Steelers beat the Bengals then they have to lose both their other games.
If 2 out of the 3 times tie play in the same division, division record is used to knock one of them out, then on the remaining 2 teams (head to head) then conference record if not played. If conference record, then similar opponents Cincy is 1-3 in division and Pitt 2-2. That's why that Charlie Batch over BAL was such an upsetting loss to us. If Cleveland and Cincy beat Pitt for their 2 losses, we can sneak in with all 3 teams tied at 9-7.
The jets just need to worry about the jets. Make a play or 2 against Houston and the first New England game and what the steelers and bengals do is irrelevant. That said Philly has been playing hard lately. They shoulda beat Dallas and they beat a decent bucs team on the road. I could see them beating the bengals Dallas needs that game at home against Pittsburgh that's a winnable game for them Bengals/steelers is a toss up in week 16 If Baltimore is playing for seeding I could see them playing their starters against the bengals If the Cleveland browns keep playing the way their playing and showing improvement they got a shot to make that week 17 game in Pittsburgh a game.
From NFL.com OK. This is how it looks to me. Assuming that Pittsburgh and Cincinnati both get to 9-7 WITH Cincinnati beating Pittsburgh AND Baltimore, then our head to head, based on the above would be with Cincinnati because Cincinnati's record in common games would be better. If Cincinnati gets to 9-7 with Pittsburgh but either loses to Pittsburgh OR Baltimore, then due to tiebreakers, then we are against Pittsburgh in tiebreaker and we are out. If we are up against Cincinnati (assuming L @ Phi, W @ Pit, @ v Bal), we'd be tied for conference record at 7-5. We tie on common games at 2-2. It would then come down to SoV which we currently hold .414 to .344. So if Jets win out, I think they need Pit and Cin to go 1-2 or worse, or Pit go 2-1 and Cincy go 2-1 with wins against Pit and Bal. Like it said, this is just my number crunching here, so I might have errors.
I can't sit on the sidelines and not say that this is absolutely crazy, but I'd be really happy if we made it into the playoffs.
I was wrong, if Pitt loses to CIN and CLE, they have 8 losses and would only be tied with CIN if they lose their game to PHI or BAL. :grin: This seems to be accurate and a good guide: http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/playoffscenario?algorithm=home
Say by some miracle they get in,then pick your poison : a)Killed by the Broncos b)demolished by the Ravens c)Destroyed by the Texans d)Obliterated by the Pats
Thanks for posting this, I think I missed a thing or two in my scenarios, but it's always fun to try and figure it out. Only 2 out of 8 scenarios have us making it. These guys have us at 7% vs. Cincy at 47% and Pit at 41%, but hey, dare to dream.
We could beat the Texans and Ravens. I give either one about a 25% chance, so 1/4 times we beat them. The Pats and Broncos I put at 5% so 1/20 times we would beat them, but hey you never know.
Next week is big because if one of them lose and we win, we are tied with them. I bet the odds change dramatically then we head into the CIN/PITT game
Maybe they should sign a contract with the league guaranteeing them the trophy one year? You make a point that it would be really stiff competition if they found their way in, but if they don't make it their chances of winning are 0%. With how this season has gone it's nothing short of a miracle they have ANY chance at this point.
I'll take the Pats on this one. We got them to overtime the first time we played them in Gillette, and hopefully buttfumble would know to learn from his mistakes.
