Just throwing these stats out there. Home Teams with Sub 0.500 records at home this week: Tennessee Titans - 2-4-0 Home vs Colts 2-4-0 Road Buffalo Bills 1-5-0 vs Browns 2-4-0 Detroit Lions 2-4-0 vs Green Bay 3-3-0 Carolina Panthers 1-5-0 vs Atlanta 4-2-0 Washington Redskins 2-4-0 vs Tampa Bay 4-2-0 Arizona Cardinals 2-4-0 vs Denver 1-5-0 Dallas Cowboys 1-5-0 vs Philly 4-2-0
What have have you seen beside the spread going up and up? Im already in for Indy -3 as part of a parlay but I was thinking of doing a single bet but was curious to see your response as youve had a few correct in a row lately.
around 90% of bettors are taking Indy, and yet the line movement has been minimal. It's expected to be in the 20s in Nashville tonight. Tennessee actually has a higher DVOA than Indy, despite the perception that Indy is much better. The fact that I didn't bet this early pretty much meant no play anyway. Two choices: A)Line stays put or even somehow drops, despite public being all over Indy. B)Line shoots up to 4.5 or whatever. Both cases would be a no play.
Some arbitrage opps on the ML =D It was at -175 at bodog before, now it's up to -210. Now it's +175 for Titans. I'm sure other books would give you better odds?
Bodog is giving the best odds on the Titans, because they're a square book (their clientele is mostly composed of squares). Bet on dogs Colts ML can be had at -176 at 5 Dimes.
http://video.sbrforum.com/video-10599-end+of+Colts+game+video.html http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/837574-audio-me-watching-last-play-indy-tennessee.html
18 people in my pickem pool had Colts -2.5. 3 people had Titans +2.5, me, the guy in 1st, and someone who got autopicked underdogs. SICK FINISH!
I took Titans +2.5 in both of my spread groups. Neither is for money, but pride is important. I didn't like getting shorted the half point, but I went with it anyway. I also bet Titans +4 at Bodog. I was away before gametime, and the spread actually went up. Sports Interaction had Titans +5 (-110). There were some good arbitrage opportunities available tonight.
Im kinda worried about that Pats/Bears game now. I have the Pats covering -3.5 on all 3 my tickets. But then again they did beat the Titans a few years ago in the snow 59-0.
liked washington and cleveland early. hope they come through late picks: liking chicago and san diego, although the sd line moved a bit too much
Worst spreads of the year IMHO. Then add in there are about 7, 8 teams playing diferent QB'S this week, makes it more ugly. Im wondering why the Ravens are favored over the Saints though.
ok, two things I like today. Best bet: Seattle +7 (at Bodog). One of my favorite picks of the year. secondary: Jets +4.5 (Sports Interaction). Line did fall on this one, so it's somewhat problematic.
teaser at Bodog: Seattle Seahawks +13 Football - NFL Lines WEEK 15 - Point Spread Sun@4:05p (Teased 6.0 points) New York Jets +10 Football - NFL Lines WEEK 15 - Point Spread Sun@4:15p (Teased 6.0 points) Also, a four team teaser, moving 7 points each and getting a +200 line: Houston Texans +8 Football - NFL Lines WEEK 15 - Point Spread Sun@1:00p (Teased 7.0 points) Philadelphia Eagles +10 Football - NFL Lines WEEK 15 - Point Spread Sun@1:00p (Teased 7.0 points) Seattle Seahawks +14 Football - NFL Lines WEEK 15 - Point Spread Sun@4:05p (Teased 7.0 points) New York Jets +11 Football - NFL Lines WEEK 15 - Point Spread Sun@4:15p (Teased 7.0 points)
