After watching some preseason, has your W-L prediction changed?

Discussion in 'New York Jets' started by DanR, Aug 18, 2013.

  1. stinkyB

    stinkyB 2009 Best Avatar Award Winner

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    4-5 wins (I initially said 6)

    I never root for them to lose, and hope they squeak out a decent and entertaining season, but if they're going to suck, may as well take it all........ :eek:hmy:
     
  2. DanR

    DanR Active Member

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    Yo can you post last years stats? And where are you getting this info from?
     
  3. Jet Pac

    Jet Pac New Member

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    I see 5-7 wins. I'm very surprised by the predictions of a 2 win season. We'll most likely split with the Bills & Phins. That's 2 wins right there..
     
  4. BacktoQueens

    BacktoQueens Well-Known Member

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    that's how i saw it going into the preseason, and is how i still see it.

    barring a whole lot of luck, or a whole lot of injuries, 7 or 8 wins is most likely outcome. still holding out hope for 8 or 9 tho if they can find at least competent qb play..
     
  5. 1968jetsfan

    1968jetsfan Well-Known Member

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    elaborating on my projection a little bit.
    Buc's 60% to lose. Bucs have a good offense and an improved defense. They may not have the best defense in the league, but it's good enough to more than counter the Jets offense.
    @Pats 75% to lose. Doesn't matter who you plug in at reciever Brady will make them look good.
    Bills If EJ starts 65% to lose, if EJ doesn't start 60% to win. If EJ doesn't start with Kolbs concusion possibly being career ending at this point they then have a far worse QB situation than the Jets. They have the weapons at WR and RB if there's a QB to throw the ball, hint Lienert isn't that player.
    @Titans. 60% to lose. Titans were about the Jets equal last season overall, I think they've improved on both sides of the ball, I dont' think the Jets have.
    @Falcons 75% to lose. Falcons are just clearly the better team.
    Steelers 60% to lose. QB driven league, Pitts defense is always tough. edge to the Steelers.
    Patriots 70% to lose. That Patriots are just a far better team despite their losses at Tight end.
    @Bengals 65% to lose. Bengals are an up and coming team. better than the Jets.
    Saints 70% to lose. Saints aren't the best team in the NFL, but they are vastly superior to the Jets in the offensive department and frankly in todays games offense wins games.
    @Bills. 65% to lose if EJ is the QB, other wise 60% to win.
    @Ravens. 70% to lose. QB is better, offense is better, defense has lost key players but should be more than a match for teh Jets offense.
    Dolphins. This game I'm not sure about, I just don't know how I feel about the Dolphins team as a complete unit. going to put this as a 50/50
    Raiders. 75% to win The one team on the schedule the Jets are clearly better in almost every department save runningback. in fact it's the only team on the schedule I can really say the jets are better than in even 50% of the starting roster.
    @Panthers. 70% to lose. Like the Bengals the Panthers are an up and coming team.
    Browns. Not really sure what to make of the Browns compared to the jets. so like the Fins I'm currently putting this at 50/50
    @Dolphins like the previous dolphin entry I'm putting this at 50/50

    I really only see the Jets as a clear favorite in 3 games if EJ doesn't play in the two buffalo games. i admit I'm impressed with him thus far and they have weapons galore on the team for him.
    only 1 clear game as a favorite if EJ starts both buffalo games.
    Most of the games I have at 60-65% likely loss, and only 3 games at 7
    75% chance is the most I give any team at any time since in the NFL on any given day any team can beat even teh best teams.
    I expect the team to win 2-3 of the 60% games so really I only expect the team to win at best 5 games, most likely 2-4 wins.

    edit. If the jets are 1-7 or 2-6 at the half way point I expect the team to just totally fold to close out the season, Ryan will have little influence as he's already been undercut by the GM and he'll have little or no influence over the locker room in the 2nd half the season, players will already view him as gone. Expect more roster bloodletting after the end of the 2013 season if that's the case, Sanchez Definitely, Harris probably, Holmes probably, among others.
     
    #145 1968jetsfan, Aug 26, 2013
    Last edited: Aug 26, 2013
  6. Hobbes3259

    Hobbes3259 Well-Known Member

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    :rofl:

    Go see Zachs thread on Preseason Offensive rankings

    If Rexs Kotite/McIver/Boomer/
    BruceSmith move doesnt keep Sanchez off the field week one, I remain at 11-5.

    P.S. they managed 6, with less defensive talent, and absoulute shit at OC, and the massive frontline skill position players. Hill, Holmes,Keller missed 30 games. You cant have an offense under those conditions.

    The Defense usually doesnt look great in the offseason, but if the Offense doesnt make it like they need to hang by a string late, the yin and yang will match.

    Its the circle of life Zimba.
     
    #146 Hobbes3259, Aug 26, 2013
    Last edited: Aug 26, 2013
  7. Hobbes3259

    Hobbes3259 Well-Known Member

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    Thank GOD! a voice of Sanity. And I say a better than 50% chance on the Thursday night game,

    (I know thats your concession)
     
  8. bmfc1

    bmfc1 Well-Known Member

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    In the new SI, Peter King has the Jets for 3 and 13, tied with the Raiders for the worst record.
     
  9. jilozzo

    jilozzo Well-Known Member

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    LOL....thats gonna ruffle a few around here.
     
  10. kinggofg

    kinggofg Active Member

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    In for the opposite of Peter King. Jets 13-3. Raiders win Superbowl.

    Ok, maybe not.

    I believewe are an average team. I think howver there is a lot of variability for this team. If some key players (Holmes, Smith, even Sanchez for example) unexpectedly show up it coul be good for a couple of extra wins. Also, a couple key injuries or the D not meeting expectaytions and we could lose some extras.

    I think 3-13 is just as crazy as predicting 13-3. I think most of us think we will be between 6-10 and 10-6, outside those ranges are sensational crazytalk and just low probablitly guesses.
     
  11. nyjunc

    nyjunc 2008 TGG Bryan Cox "Most Argumentative" Award Winn

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    Peter King picked the dolphins in the SB a few years ago. last year he had Wash at 6-10, Minny at 4-12, Indy at 5-11, he had the Bills in the playoffs, he had KC in the playoffs, he ahd the Bears winning 11 games.

    People take these predictions way too seriously.
     
  12. mezzavo

    mezzavo Well-Known Member

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    I'm still sitting on between 8 - 8 and 10 - 6.

    The defense looks to be the real deal, even with Wilson's lack of a neck to turn around and "find" the ball, and that D-Line is going to be atrocious for offenses to handle. May have been pre-season but damn it...5 turnovers and we still WON the game...and 3 of those against the 1st team so it's not going to be all bad.

    the offense is ALREADY ahead of where we were mid-season last year. No, I honest to goodness, green glasses off, believe we can go at LEAST .500.
     
  13. The Dark Knight

    The Dark Knight Well-Known Member

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    I remember being pissed when he picked the Jets at (7-9) last year. I called him an ass. He was actually being nice. Still, I like this team more than last year's team so (3-13) seems low.
     
  14. MoWilkNYJ

    MoWilkNYJ Well-Known Member

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    So we got a solid .000008682% chance of going 16-0.
     
  15. 34miami23

    34miami23 Active Member

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    I am writing my article on predictions on footballnation.com ...

    I used an excel spreadsheet to easily play through each week of the schedule using 1s for wins and 0s for losses.

    I got the Raiders going 2-14 as of now
    Jets in the 4-6 win range
    bills in the 4-6 win range
    fins in the 8-9 win range
    pats at the 10-12 win range

    I'm gonna try it again before writing my article to be more exact and see if anything differs.
     
  16. Capt. Ace Nick

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    11-5....We are going to shock the world! D is gonna step up and the offense will be more productive under Morningwood's WCO.
     
  17. BomberJet

    BomberJet Well-Known Member

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    That's the most hilarious post I have read this entire week, LOL.

    A rookie QB winning more games than a veteran who has taken a team to the AFCC finals twice. LMAO, ohh my.....I can't hold it back...:rofl:
     
  18. Barcs

    Barcs Banned

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    http://www.nfl.com/stats/team

    Change to 2012 to compare each category. And actually when I referenced it before there were still a few more games to play for last week. With the updated standings:

    Total yards: 4th
    Passing yards: 2nd
    Rushing yards 26th
    PPG: 5th

    http://www.nfl.com/stats/categoryst...onType=PRE&tabSeq=2&qualified=false&Submit=Go

    ^2012 total yards in preseason. Ranked dead last. Sort by PPG, dead last. Sort by passing yards, dead last. Sort by rushing, 21st.

    We are looking much better than last year. Last preseason was 3 and out city. We're actually converting 3rd downs and getting frequent 3rd and shorts. A turnover every now and then is acceptable if we continue to move the ball like we're doing. It's all about the ratio of TDs to TOs. Turn that around and everything changes.

    Also, Sanchez is now ranked #9 in YPG. 2012? 68th. Good coaching makes a big difference.
     
    #158 Barcs, Aug 29, 2013
    Last edited: Aug 29, 2013
  19. Barcs

    Barcs Banned

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    This is true, but he predicted 7-9 before we lost Holmes & Revis for the season and didn't account for Keller missing so much of the year. Those 3 guys stay healthy last year we win 8, possibly 9 games.
     
    #159 Barcs, Aug 29, 2013
    Last edited: Aug 29, 2013
  20. displacedfan

    displacedfan Well-Known Member

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    I would push the Jets to 5-7 personally, if possible extend the fins range to 7-10 because I think I could see them being at 7 or 10. Pats at 10-12 and the division is easy and I like.
     

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