A new day for CFB and NFL betting

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Nov 28, 2021.

  1. NYJFOREVER

    NYJFOREVER Well-Known Member

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    Props are a love hate for me. I’ve been bad at them recently and I’d like to get better at picking spreads and o/u so I’ve been messing around with them.
     
  2. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Is that because you ate a dick?

    5-1 day for me. Felt good after the debacle yesterday
     
  3. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    Lol. Glad you also recouped your money. Off I go.
     
  4. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Thank god we’ve been working from home for the past month.
     
  5. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    They just played to 51. So Vegas believes the playoffs will tighten the defenses by 4.5 points.

    I actually think I like the Rams TT over 24.5. Going to keep an eye on it though.
     
  6. BrowningNagle

    BrowningNagle Well-Known Member

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    It’s gonna be a home game for the 49ers. They have way more fan support in that state. Plus look at their numbers ATS as underdogs vs the Rams ATS as favorites.

    I think the Niners cover and possibly even win. But I’ve been wrong a lot in NFL so who knows
     
  7. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Interesting nugget here in that McVay is 0-6 against the 49ers with Shanahan as the head coach.
     
  8. NYJFOREVER

    NYJFOREVER Well-Known Member

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    I’ve been 0-2 against the 49ers in the playoffs. Do I go against them again?

    Might be taking the 3.5 here.
     
  9. NYJFOREVER

    NYJFOREVER Well-Known Member

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    I’m thinking of making a 6.5pt teaser with both games

    Bengals +13.5
    SF +10

    -107 odds on Barstool.

    This same teaser is -143 on Fanduel
     
    #1449 NYJFOREVER, Jan 24, 2022
    Last edited: Jan 24, 2022
  10. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Need to keep an eye on Kittle and Deebo's health all week. They both limped off the field at the end of that game Saturday night.
     
  11. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Am I the only one that thinks Cinci is walking into a buzzsaw? Burrow also calling out the fans saying none of these stadiums are louder than SEC stadiums is not bright before heading into Arrowhead
     
  12. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    Not sure I’m ready to lay the 7 yet. Worrying about all those weapons and the potential for no honey badger. Hammer the over though
     
  13. Brook!

    Brook! Soft Admin...2018 Friendliest Member Award Winner

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    They will hand him his ass to be honest.

    I got $100 for Champsionship Sunday. I am going to do 5 tickets of $10 each on Prop Parlays or Single Game Parlays but leaning towards spending $50 on 2 game parlay of Rams -2.5/Chiefs -2.5

    Thoughts?
     
  14. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Why not just do a 6 or 7 point teaser at that point though?
     
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  15. NYJFOREVER

    NYJFOREVER Well-Known Member

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    The Capitals sold my parlay last night.

    Wild Regulation ML -- W
    Avalanche Regulation ML -- W
    Rangers ML -- W
    Capitals ML -- L

    Overall though I wound up being +1.5u after last night despite losing that parlay. I've stopped putting full units on parlays, it's just not worth it.

    Flyers games being under 5.5 is almost a lock every game they play, as are Blues over 5.5.
     
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  16. BrowningNagle

    BrowningNagle Well-Known Member

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    Texas-TCU is O/U 124 on DraftKings and 123 on Fanduel. I honestly like the under on both lines but definitely going to hit UNDER 124 on Draftkings

    great defenses, sometimes anemic offenses, on a tuesday night
     
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  17. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I think the buzzsaw is coming but the Chiefs bad corners are always on islands in press man and it leaves the back door wide open.

    I’ve also took the Raiders (plus the points) and Titans in back to back weeks and gotten burned by Burrow. So I don’t feel confident fading them.

    @Brook! -
    7 point teaser gets you Rams +4, Chiefs ML at -125. 6.5 point teaser gets you Rams +3.5, Chiefs -0.5 at -117
    6 point teaser gets you Rams +3, Chiefs -1 at -109
    Chiefs/Rams -2.5 gets you +145.

    Varies by book of course. But it’s up to you. Betting calculator is below so you can see how much you’d wager to win.

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/betting-calculators/betting-odds-calculator
     
  18. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    The bold is what I'm scared about. Chase absolutely torched them last time they played and for the life of me I didn't understand why Spags kept leaving them on an island. I wonder if we see them just rush 4 like the Titans did and just try to take away the explosive.
     
  19. BrowningNagle

    BrowningNagle Well-Known Member

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    I suspect they will use the same strategy they used on Buffalo. They doubled S Diggs and shut him down completely, which is why Gabriel Davis had a career, all-time historic day. They will take their chances that lightning cant strike twice but I still think Boyd will end up with some nice numbers
     
  20. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

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    So bet higgins over 68.5 ?
     

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