Gotta give yourself a chance, Brook. I was good early in the year and have struggled as of late. Prime time games have seem to reverted back to one team comes ready to play and one team doesn’t so they get smoked early on. Followed by somewhat of a second half comeback attempt. Jalen Guyton’s over 22.5 is interesting. He’s hit it each of the past two weeks and he either catches the bomb or he doesn’t. If he catches a ball though that’s usually going over. Kind of like Harrison Butlers over 7.5 kicking points. Chargers let you get into the red zone a lot they just aim on stopping touchdowns. 2 FG’s/2XP’s doesn’t seem wild.
So far I've got Mahomes over .5 INTs at +110. He's thrown a pick in 9/13 games this year, threw 2 against LAC last meeting, and they're the road team in a TNF game. Plus, I feel like Mahomes has been snakebitten with tip drills this year so.
Debating parlaying Chargers ML and over 52.5, I like them tonight. Road divisional game on TNF is a tough ask for KC, imo.
I like the over. As far as a winner, all I know is I've been burned by the Chargers 3 times this year. I'm leaning towards KC but probably won't bet it.
Going back to the well on this prop for the same reason I took it 2 weeks ago. Tyreek over 80.5 receiving -115 for 2u Will sprinkle 1u on anytime score Chargers haven't been the greatest against WRs over the last month / month and a half. Week 10 - Justin Jefferson 9 for 143 / Theilen 5 for 65 Week 11 - Diontae Johnson 7 for 101 + 1 / Claypool 5 for 93 Week 12 - Denver (blah) Week 13 - Higgins 9 for 138 + 1 / Boyd 5 for 85 / Chase 5 for 52 (he dropped what would have been a 60+ yard TD pass in this game and I lost the prop by 13 yards) They beat up on shitty WR groups but can't stop elite passing attacks.
Both picks he threw vs them last time were a no look pass to a TE over the middle of the field which tipped off his hands and then Tyreek dropped on and it was tipped to a defender. Not saying it's a bad bet, but majority of Mahomes INTs have been drops by his WRs which end up in the defenses hands. Can remember at least 4 just from Tyreek alone.
@Jonathan_Vilma Keenum is out for Browns. Tested positive. I just slammed Raiders -1 for 5u. They’re starting nick muellens
Haha, "ways we can thank you for your loyalty" More like, "Hmm, how many ways can we sucker all these idiots into betting more with us to make up for lost revenue"
Stress starts. I bet live on Herbert throwing over 1.5 TD's $10 at -110 After my bet he threw a TD Will he throw a second one you guys think?
