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Your basic point is fundamentally wrong. Not be a jerk, about it, but you don't understand the math behind it. Instead of listening to my...
Ughhhh, throwing you another bone. (Damn that instructor instinct in me) Consider the DVOA at the end of week 17 of 2009. You seem to be...
You are not understanding basic math man. I am not trying to rag on you, cause you are a Jets fan, but you just don't understand math behind this...
I think we can all agree that the "Parcells-ian" view is flawed, no? Are the Bengals as good as the Patriots right now, because they have the...
I'm with you 100% man. I am currently in NP school (haha guy nurse, I know) but I have an assistantship that pays the bills working with...
You literally are not reading anything I write. If you did you'd understand that, yes DVOA DOES predict the better team. As I explained piecemeal...
It's a problem that the NFL only has began to address. You give kids (22 year olds sometimes) millions of dollars and expect them to be...
Great video, thanks for posting.
You added 4 games that never actually happened and did not count correctly. What the hell are you talking about? What do you mean a bye is a win?...
Who? Me? I said before I'm not sold on them being #2 and am just explaining a statistic to people. If you are talking about football outsiders...
Like I said I am not willing to label them the 2nd best team in league myself, but I think that it gets at a greater point which is that the Jets...
I think you misread that. It is a pre-season projection not preseason games statistics. Pre-season projection is based on play for the year...
As an addition the heads up DVOA went 10-3 in heads up match ups this week. This ties ESPN's Accuscore. The games it missed on were...
No they are weighted by the amount of plays that occur (i.e. much less then offense or defense). Notice how the percentages don't get above about...
Jets(#9) beat Bengals(#19) and then Chargers (#11) then lost to IND (#6) Ravens(#1) beat NE (#3) then Lost to IND (#6) Vikings(#7) beat Dallas...
Read the methodology of their calculations if you want a picture of how it is exactly calculated. If not you have to sorta shift your mindset to...
In your examples of the Falcons and Jets you prove yourself wrong with their playoff performance. The #8 DVOA Falcons did lose to DVOA #3 GB (who...
So the Bengals in your mind are the second best team in the AFC? I understand your point after 16 games but after 7 you have to look a little...
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff Football Outsiders for those who are unaware use Defense-adjusted Value-Over-Average which is...
ESPN had on their power rankings that "Belichek has lost his fastball with his defense" and I think that sums it up well. His defensive draft...
