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Historic for whom? Only Aaron Rodgers. I'm not saying they are not a fantastic team, but they have their flaws like everyone else. Their run...
Thank you for providing a post that is more then "LOL Numbers R Stupid!" DVOA numbers are (very crudely) how far away from the average you are....
What do you mean "that good"? No one says it is a crystal ball, just that it is the best statistical metric to predict head to head matchups.
You are looking at this way to simplistically. Of course upsets are going to occur and no one is ever gonna get 100% of the predictions right....
Edited for length. Fantastic post. @GoPats88, the first and last links are using simple statistics, not situational statistics. The middle...
(Bolded for effect) That's just it, you are using an opinion, not objective information to determine that. You keep saying that other systems can...
We need more people like you explaining these things to people.
I'll make it very simple you: either read and understand the methodology behind the stat or listen to people that have. One thing you can not...
DVOA goes back 20 years on Football Outsiders. It does stand up. Patriots DVOA got worse because of the very fundamental notion of DVOA: that...
Answer my question. Either answer or stop responding. I am asking you a simple and direct question. Why does DVOA predict better then 74% of...
You must be a troll. Your ENTIRE argument against DVOA was the 2009 Playoffs were incorrect which I mathematically proved your assumptions wrong...
Is it weird that I think home field advantage is huge in this game? Seems like the Jets play the best when the crowd is fired up.
His abdominal fat and man boobs make it look like there is a svelte black women's body superimposed on his gut.
Also what metric do you use for "favorite"? Betting line? That is actually a very bad indicator of team success, it's an indicator of where the...
Last year DVOA(DVOA in parenthesis): AFC: (#6) Jets over (#15) IND - Correct (#6) Jets over (#1) NE - Incorrect (#4) BAL over (#17) KC - Correct...
DVOA changes every week. If the Jets start to play worse then they could be ranked lower and hence lose to a team ranked higher. Upsets will...
Please answer this one question: How can it predict 74% of games head to head (better then literally ANYTHING we have access to) and not be a...
That's my whole point. 5ux argued that DVOA did not predict the outcome of the 2009 playoffs because the Colts and Saints were only ranked 8 and...
Gary Guyton makes me uneasy for some reason: [IMG] Its like the predator and ru paul had sex.
I explained how you are wrong over three pages in the last thread. Disregard wins, DVOA suggests that other statistics are a better measure of...
