Yeah, this thing has around 36 hours to change its mind. Looks like it is showing some signs of weakening a bit, but it will hit more open water.
This is insane today. Look how far away from the storm these strikes are. I was just working down at the beach, the suns out, the sky is black to the west and there are strikes from the blue. And there’s no shortage of dummies on the beach and in the water.
Surfed for almost 6 hours yesterday, then drank beer watching the ISLES. .... Happy to see the current track and forecast... as my "storm prep" was mowing the lawn and cleaning out a drainage swale. ....These things are going to give me a bi-polar disorder
Yeah...charleston to sc nc border looks right. Right now up here...we will be in the NE section which is the worst....BUT...man...wind shear saved the day...with this track we will luck out....here is the wilmington threat from the NWS SITE: LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 45-55 mph with gusts to 70 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Monday evening until Tuesday afternoon THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58 to 73 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for significant wind damage. - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Some damage to roofing and siding, along with damage to porches and awnings. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Damage to vulnerable structures such as carports, sheds and mobile homes is possible. - Large limbs will be down with several trees snapped or uprooted. Several fences and roadway signs may become blown over. Some roads may become impassable due to large debris blocking the roadway, especially within urban or heavily wooded locations. Some bridges, causeways, and elevated roads may be impacted by high winds making driving on them hazardous. - Scattered power and communications outages are possible, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines. - Small craft that are not properly moored may break loose.
Yeah, I can imagine after what you went through , the anxiety every time one of these things develope. I do flood restoration , not full houses anymore that I work solo. But the last 4 out of 5 years here each fall has been devastating. Some people just got done rebuilding , only to have it happen all over again.
I hope we don’t get the tornado out break we had last year here. 3 am all the alarms started going on the phones and TVs and it was nuts from then til 11am. I think we had 11.
Ha, yep.... I wasnt even done rebuilding my house from Matthew, when Irma was coming. Turned my house into a concrete submarine for that one. One year living with my parents was enough
Really hoping... Really hoping that the wind shear continues to knock this puppy down because to my eye it looks like it's actually beginning to form an eye. It just looks like it's a lot healthier the past hour really hoping I'm wrong.
Yup, just went from trop warning to hurricane watch here. Getting better organized and strengthening a bit. Damnit
I'm not liking this bud. Many of the forecasts didn't make sense because if it had that much interaction with Florida it's like the models digested correctly the rain but not the wind? I don't know if that makes any sense but the bottom line is the models were going to struggle if no landfall was made... and now I'll be honest with you, I wouldn't be shocked if this thing got up to 85 miles an hour. Anyone living within 50 to 100 miles of the SC NC border? I'd be really really really watching this thing cuz I'm telling you ... I do not trust that this is just going to be a 65 mile-an-hour landfall. Hope I'm wrong
And when I say within 50 to 100 miles of the border of NC and SC ... I mean inland 2. Because come late Monday the forward speed is going to increase dramatically. That well offset land interaction with knocking this thing down quickly so even up to Raleigh and southern Virginia keep an eye out
Ok...last thing before I will check later tonight. I'm a moron...a true amateur that enjoys tracking things so take this with a grain of salt....the nws has many more things at their disposal to see 24 hours in advance and I'm sure their reasons of lowering possibilities is valid With that said to my moron untrained eye...this thing is blowing up a bit...and it's failure to get beaten up by the coast of Florida....I just wonder if later tonight this is a bit more concern by the nws. Again...idiot here. But that current radar don't lie.
Not a moron at all man. I agree, it’s been in water since it left the islands. Our local news is now saying “ don’t let the wording fool you”. Basically, there’s no difference between a high end trop storm and a cat 1 hurricane. Lol. They said that for Matthew too, and that back end wind was fierce. I hate when they come in at night. I have about 50 feet from my house , a green belt with a line of tall pine trees. I usually pack up the dogs and go spend the night at my parents house.
