GFS is moving closer to other models-----Fjay I will take 14 but this could be SOOOOOO much more ,,,waiting to see what later models say
euro shifted way east...bringing much lower amounts to the interior...and for now? Lets see what the GFS does later today..follow suit or stays straight. For now, I would dump the EURO
I saw the Euro,,,,,it was wayyyyyy east,,,,,could it be a hiccup ? or the real thing ? Lets see what other models say tonight and tomorrow but FJAY " could you please take a step to the right and make room out on the ledge for me "
FJAY-----> POSSIBLE Glitch with the euro----> we might be back in business. Weather geeks saying somethings dont jive in the solution.Also the last model run ( eps ) came out just a few minutes ago ,,moved slightly east but its not much different from earlier solutions. We are still in the game ,we have the ball, timeouts and decent field position ! Care to chime in Jayster ?
but the ensembles for the EURO still show bomb...thats an average of all snap shots...game on. Still showing huge
think tonights models will lean some way...and which ever way they lean begin to take serious. Storm still hasnt come in off Pacific and they will get good testing tonight. Seems all OK fjf. I totally get what you are thinking.
Lol. has the last 2 winters beaten me or what? 1 bad model run and the window opens and i got 2 feet swinging off the ledge. i would feel bad but when i look to the left there's cbg sitting next to me.
FJF The last time we both ran to this window simultaneously we almost got stuck in the window frame ! I miss the old days when the freaking Model (euro ) would say something and it was gold ! Who can blame you , me or anyone for being beaten down by the forecasts these last 2 years have been near impossible ! Then to make matters even worse the ONE GUY who can decipher all this crap and even had aTHREAD named after him with 500 plus pages of info , decides to bolt for warmer weather and beaches ,,,,,,maybe he took the REAL EURO with him ?At least he has made a cameo this time to calm the masses hopefully he sticks around a while . lol
this actually had me cracking up. Hey...40s and rain tomorrow so its not all perfect sir...lol. The problem is this...man...i do miss this but thats why I could never ever do this for a living. I dont understand how weather people in atlanta can predict a storm in new jersey. You have to feel it..see it. Trend it. I dont see how they can really enjoy it. Maybe the well into 6 figure salaries? Lol....has to be it. Back to the storm...ok. There is room for bust here. But there is no way its a nothing event. This whole phase thing is the key. Its the speed of the upper low. Quite honestly, no clue. It would not surprise me if the trend for the next 12 hours is for a slightly weaker system before the bomb reappears Sunday night with the models.
18z gfs getting worse. further east. I know its still early but not liking this at all. on the other hand watches have started to go into effect
Very interested to see what tonights models and a m models say,,,not gonna pa ic about these past model runs but save a spot out there for me fjf ,,,for what its worth bernie rayno says nyc north not sure if that means west,,gets hit
the nam is the only thing keeping me from jumping today. TWC has backed off to 7-12" now i know i should be happy with that but, dammit i want the blizzard.
Is this going to be the heavy wet stuff or the light fluffy stuff? Hope it's the latter as the heavy stuff is a real pain in the ass to clear even with the snowblower.
IF YOU are going to jump FJF jump for joy------I am waiting on the Euro and think it will correct its earlier debacle,,,most models back on board--now I am biased but I think we are going to get pounded and we MIGHT get your blizzard ! Weather geeks like Bernie Rayno is on board--------hi res Nam looked great , Ukie looks great, Rgem looks great ---all others are eye candy---let me know if you will be online ---
this is a direct quote -----> " EPS/GEM/UKMET/NAV/RPM/JMA all are IN/ near 20 inches on all of them " Euro comes out in 40 minutes,,,,
