Look at the list of QB's taken in the first round since 2000. 2016: 1. Jared Goff, California, Rams, up and coming QB, may be their FQB. 2. Carson Wentz, North Dakota State, Eagles, FQB. 26. Paxton Lynch, Memphis, Broncos, not a FQB. ___ 2015: 1. Jameis Winston, Florida State, Buccaneers, still a long way to go before he leads this team in a positive direction. 2. Marcus Mariota, Oregon, Titans, limited QB. Probably won't ever be much more than he is now. ___ 2014: 3. Blake Bortles, Central Florida, Jaguars, average to below average QB. 22. Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M, Browns, out of football. 32. Teddy Bridgewater, Louisville, Vikings, starting over with the JETS. ___ 2013: 16. EJ Manuel, Florida State, Bills, not a FQB. ___ 2012: 1. Andrew Luck, Stanford, Colts, FQB. 2. Robert Griffin III, Baylor, Redskins, out of football. 8. Ryan Tannehill, Texas A&M, Dolphins, not a FQB, yet, if ever. 22. Brandon Weeden, Oklahoma State, Browns, not a FQB. ___ 2011: 1. Cam Newton, Auburn, Panthers, great athlete, but not a prototypical FQB. 8. Jake Locker, Washington, Titans, not a FQB. 10. Blaine Gabbert, Missouri, Jaguars, not a FQB. 12. Christian Ponder, Florida State, Vikings, not a FQB. ___ 2010: 1. Sam Bradford, Oklahoma, Rams, injury prone, not a FQB. 25. Tim Tebow, Florida, Broncos, not a FQB. ___ 2009: 1. Matthew Stafford, Georgia, Lions, good QB, their FQB. 5. Mark Sanchez, USC, Jets, not a FQB. 17. Josh Freeman, Kansas State, Buccaneers, not a FQB. ___ 2008: 3. Matt Ryan, Boston College, Falcons, FQB 18. Joe Flacco, Delaware, Ravens, FQB, but not the guy he was early in his career. ___ 2007: 1. JaMarcus Russell, LSU, Raiders, not a FQB. 22. Brady Quinn, Notre Dame, Browns, not a FQB. ___ 2006: 3. Vince Young, Texas, Titans, not a FQB. 10. Matt Leinart, USC, Cardinals, not a FQB. 11. Jay Cutler, Vanderbilt, Broncos, was a FQB, but never lived up to the hype. ___ 2005: 1. Alex Smith, Utah, 49ers, just now a FQB, if he really is. 24. Aaron Rodgers, Cal, Packers, one of the great FQB's. 25. Jason Campbell, Auburn, Redskins, not a FQB. ___ 2004: 1. Eli Manning, Mississippi, Chargers, FQB, but not like his brother. 4. Philip Rivers, North Carolina State, Giants, FQB. 11. Ben Roethlisberger, Miami (Ohio), Steelers, FQB. 22. J.P. Losman, Tulane, Bills, not a FQB. ___ 2003: 1. Carson Palmer, USC, Bengals, FQB but not above average if you consider his career. Injury bug got the best of him. 7. Byron Leftwich, Marshall, Jaguars, not a FQB. 19. Kyle Boller, Cal, Ravens, not a FQB. 22. Rex Grossman, Florida, Bears, not a FQB. ___ 2002: 1. David Carr, Fresno State, Texans, not a FQB. 3. Joey Harrington, Oregon, Lions, not a FQB. 32. Patrick Ramsey, Tulane, Redskins, not a FQB. ___ 2001: 1. Michael Vick, Virginia Tech, Falcons, not a FQB, although Atlanta thought so. Athlete like Cam, but not a pass first guy. ___ 2000: 18. Chad Pennington, Marshall, Jets, FQB if not for injuries. 14 out of 45 first round picks have became FQB's. Not good odds for the JETS in the 2018 draft. Which leads us to this. Out of the 4 top QB's in this draft, only one of them will become a FQB for their respective team according to 16 years worth of draft history. Chances are that guy that we select at 3, won't make it. Mac spending all that draft Capitol may be the reason he is fired. That 1out of 4 guy may be gone by the time we select at 3. I'm sure at the time, each of the QB's in the past 16 years had scouting reports and plenty of NFL Network hype just like these guys in this draft. Some of them had college championships, heisman trophies, and most all of them had FQB aspirations. History shows that roughly 25% get it. Not good odds for the JETS to get it right, if they do force a QB at 3. One time in the past 16 years (I didn't include the 17 draft at all due to obvious reasons), the team that took the 3rd QB turned out good. Maybe Mac should trade out of 3, and let Buffalo have the flop QB? This franchise doesn't need another flop at QB, we have had plenty. Notice any FQB's that fell to the 3rd QB taken besides Rothlisberger? Does any of the QB's in this draft look like the 2nd coming of Big Ben? BPA at 3 is the obvious choice. Proof is in the pudding.