Johnnys lock of the week -- week 5

Discussion in 'Crystal Ball' started by slowmoe57, Oct 4, 2008.

  1. slowmoe57

    slowmoe57 New Member

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    last week 1-2 so far 5-7 but 3-1 on the lock

    HERE WE GO
    THE LOCK
    Chicago -3.5 vs Detroit
    honarable mention
    Indy -3 vs Texans
    for the parlay
    NEW England -3 vs 49ers

    til Monday
     
  2. Jetfanmack

    Jetfanmack haz chilens?

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    Your three picks are so square, popular road favorites against home teams that have looked bad. That said, I'd probably pick those sides, too, if I had to. They're just so fishy...

    http://www.jetsdaily.com/

    2-1 last week, 5-5-2 on the season.


    Cincinatti vs Dallas over 45.
    Dallas is good, especially on offense, where they will want to take out frustrations on a slightly overmatched Cincinatti defense. The question is, can Cincinatti's offense contribute enough points to the total? Cincinatti is devalued because of how badly Ryan Fitzpatrick looked, but Carson Palmer sounds like he's playing, and that's like night and day. The talented Chris Henry will actually play. Forget all his off-field concerns, the kid can play, and he might be able to make enough of an impact right away to help. That gives Palmer three nice weapons offensively against a secondary that got torched at times last week. They should be able to put up at least 2-3 touchdowns as a team, and Dallas will likely raise that another score or two, bringing this game over the total.
    Dallas 34, Cincinatti 24

    Arizona -1.5 vs Buffalo
    Arizona is a different team at home. Buffalo will be on the road for the 2nd straight week, in hot and humid Arizona. I think the Cardinals will come out angry after getting embarrassed by the New York Jets (that felt good to write). As good as Buffalo is, their passing game is not particularly impressive, and Terrence McGee's absence hurts Buffalo's defense more than Anquan Boldin hurts the Cardinals. Not the best spot for Buffalo, and I think Arizona comes out fired up. They self-destructed in the first half against the Jets, and after losing two in a row on the east coast, they will be happy to be home again.
    24-14 Arizona

    Miami +7 against San Diego
    A west coast team flying across the country to play at 1:00 on the road against a team coming off a bye week, laying 7 points? I'm not believers in the Dolphins just yet, but this is a great scenario for them. San Diego was losing by two scores heading into the 4th quarter against Oakland last week. I do know that Miami beat a team that hadn't lost in the regular season in two seasons by 25 in their own building. Fluke? Probably, but impressive enough where they shouldn't be underdogs by this much.
    24-20 Chargers

    http://www.jetsdaily.com/
     
  3. MSUJet85

    MSUJet85 ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ
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    Carolina -9.5
    Jacksonville -4
     
  4. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    mack, you misspelled Cincinnati.
     
  5. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    LOCK
    Arizona -1 over Buffalo

    2nd pick
    Cincinnati +17

    3rd
    Miami +7

    last week:
    Lock 1-0
    Total 4-2

    Record:
    Lock 2-1
    Overall 9-7
     
  6. Jetfanmack

    Jetfanmack haz chilens?

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    Thanks for the heads up.
     
  7. Jetfanmack

    Jetfanmack haz chilens?

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    I love those picks. Originally had Cincy +17, and I still think that will hit, but when I made the picks, I couldn't find a line that still had 17, so I just went with the over.
     
  8. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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  9. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    as a 4th pick, I'd go Baltimore +3
    Tampa Bay +4 is worth considering
    San Fran +3.5 also.

    I won't count these in my picks, though. I don't want to dilute the strength of the first three.
     
  10. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    add to my official picks: Indianapolis Colts -3
     
  11. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    now I'm wondering whether I keep going with a SNF pick.

    just wow...
     
  12. slowmoe57

    slowmoe57 New Member

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    Square picks or not 3-0 8-7 for the year and 4-1 on the lock
     
  13. Jetfanmack

    Jetfanmack haz chilens?

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    Absolutely, and that wasn't really a criticism, just an observation. Out of all the public-looking plays, though, those were definitely the best. The Patriots after a bye week? Only thing that stopped me from playing that was my hatred of NE. I really wanted to pull the trigger on the Bears, but a lot of trends and handicappers I read liked Detroit, so I laid off. The Colts/Texans game, I wasn't going to touch either way. I would have probably taken Houston +3.5, but I decided against it because Indy was coming off a bye, too.
     
  14. Jetfanmack

    Jetfanmack haz chilens?

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    And 3-0 for the both of us. And for slowmoe, too. Good day for handicapping, only game I really missed on was the Eagles. And Jacksonville, if they don't cover the 5.5. I already hit the over in that game.
     
  15. Yisman

    Yisman Newbie
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    4-0. The Colts too, although that was admittedly lucky.
     

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