Jay's House of Weather 'n Stuff

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by jaywayne12, Dec 25, 2010.

  1. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2008
    Messages:
    7,120
    Likes Received:
    4,964
    She's starting to look better / stronger after weakening today.
     
  2. statjeff22

    statjeff22 2008 Green Guy "Most Knowledgeable" Award Winner

    Joined:
    Jun 4, 2005
    Messages:
    26,737
    Likes Received:
    6,830
    They're forecasting 24"-30" of rain in Wilmington through the weekend. Not quite Harvey-like, but that's still serious business.
     
  3. Rollo Tomassi

    Rollo Tomassi Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 23, 2018
    Messages:
    4,367
    Likes Received:
    4,358
    Any thoughts on the forecast for next Saturday (9/22) for the north east?
     
  4. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2008
    Messages:
    7,120
    Likes Received:
    4,964
    crickets,,,,,you can hear a pin drop.
     
  5. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

    Joined:
    Feb 29, 2008
    Messages:
    27,721
    Likes Received:
    31,387
    Right now Friday to Saturday mid afternoon looks unstable as a line of storms pushed through Sunday should be really nice
     
  6. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2008
    Messages:
    7,120
    Likes Received:
    4,964
    Florence = looking better this morning than last evening,,just sayin
     
  7. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,991
    Likes Received:
    1,505
    staying...spent the entire night hunkering down. All set..or as much as you can be.

    Problem with this system is when the eye hits...it will begin to bounce off land...and we will be on the northern fringe I believe but will experience the eye over head.

    We have underground electrical in community but that will not make a difference....at some point they will shut it down if mother nature doesn't.

    Will be on today updating...couldn't last night.

    Right now...winds are beginning to pick up with gusts nearing tropical force...but ok.
     
    Brook! and CBG like this.
  8. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,991
    Likes Received:
    1,505
    forecast for Wilmington, nc

    Today
    Tropical storm conditions, with hurricane conditions possible. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.
    Tonight
    Hurricane conditions expected. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts in excess of 4 inches possible.
    Friday
    Hurricane conditions expected. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 86. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts in excess of 4 inches possible.
    Friday Night
    Tropical storm conditions expected, with hurricane conditions possible. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts in excess of 4 inches possible.
    Saturday
    Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 84. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts in excess of 4 inches possible.
    Saturday Night
    Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 75. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 2 and 3 inches possible.
    Sunday
    Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 84. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
    Sunday Night
    Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
    Monday
    Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 9am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 9am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Monday Night
    A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
    Tuesday
    A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
    Tuesday Night
    A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
    Wednesday
    A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunn
     
  9. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,991
    Likes Received:
    1,505
    OUR WARNINGS:

    ..HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
    ...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

    * LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Wilmington
    - Castle Hayne

    * WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Cat 1 Hurricane force wind
    - Peak Wind Forecast: 70-90 mph with gusts to 105 mph
    - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until Saturday
    afternoon
    - Window for Hurricane force winds: early this evening until
    Friday afternoon

    - POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for wind
    greater than 110 mph
    - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
    previous assessment.
    - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane
    force or higher due to possible forecast changes in track,
    size, or intensity.
    - PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
    protecting life. The area remains subject to catastrophic
    wind damage.
    - ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.
    Be ready to move to the safest place inside your shelter if
    necessary.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
    - Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.

    * STORM SURGE
    - No storm surge inundation forecast

    - POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Little to no storm surge
    flooding
    - The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
    assessment.
    - PLAN: The threat of life-threatening storm surge is
    diminishing as flood waters recede.
    - PREPARE: Do not return to evacuated areas until flood
    waters completely recede and the all-clear is given by
    local officials.
    - ACT: Failure to practice safety may result in serious
    injury or loss of life. If you have a life-threatening
    emergency, dial 9 1 1.

    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
    - Little to no additional surge impacts expected. Community
    officials are now assessing the extent of actual surge
    impacts accordingly.

    * FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect
    - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional More than two feet

    - POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for extreme
    flooding rain
    - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
    the previous assessment.
    - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
    extreme flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
    are likely.
    - PREPARE: Urgently consider protective actions from extreme
    and widespread rainfall flooding.
    - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
    action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic
    - Extreme flooding from rainfall may prompt numerous
    evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
    with deep moving water. Creeks and ditches will become
    severely flooded and contain strong currents.
    - Flood waters may enter numerous structures, and some may
    become uninhabitable or washed away. Road scours or
    complete road failure is likely in many locations, along
    with the potential for sinkholes. Many streets and parking
    lots will flood, and may be impacted by swift, flowing
    water. Numerous road and low-lying bridge closures are
    likely with some weakened or washed away. Driving
    conditions will be very dangerous.
    - The delivery of drinking water and sewer services may be
    interrupted. Flood waters may be polluted and contain
    hazardous materials.

    * TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
    - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

    - POTENTIAL THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Potential for a few
    tornadoes
    - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
    previous assessment.
    - PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible
    tornadoes.
    - PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
    latest tornado situation.
    - ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
    if a tornado warning is issued.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
    execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
    power and communications disruptions.
    - Tornadoes can cause damage to trees, vehicles, boats, and
    buildings. Unsecured mobile homes and poorly constructed
    structures are particularly vulnerable.

    * FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - http://www.weather.gov/ilm/Tropics
    - http://ready.gov/hurricanes

    $$
     
  10. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2008
    Messages:
    7,120
    Likes Received:
    4,964
    Stay safe Jayster and post when you can , if you can get a video of whats going on post it . You have the bat phone if you wish to talk , or scream or say a few Hail marys together whatever works . Keep em coming ps The Northern side aint the place to be but then again theres no place to really be.
     
    #13890 CBG, Sep 13, 2018
    Last edited: Sep 13, 2018
  11. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2008
    Messages:
    7,120
    Likes Received:
    4,964
    Jay , we all know of " in case of emergency break glass " I was thinking in your case of emergency watch this ,,in all seriousness YOU and everyone else out there be careful and safe
     
    jaywayne12 and FJF like this.
  12. FJF

    FJF 2018 MVP Joe Namath Award Winner

    Joined:
    Feb 29, 2008
    Messages:
    27,721
    Likes Received:
    31,387
    Stay safe Jay, there’s a twisted part of me that envy’s you right now. I don’t know why I always want to be around any potential natural disasters. Good luck man.
    And make sure you get the video of the shaking stop sign.
     
    Brook!, dawinner127 and CBG like this.
  13. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2008
    Messages:
    7,120
    Likes Received:
    4,964
    LIVE NC webcam
     
    Brook! and dawinner127 like this.
  14. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,991
    Likes Received:
    1,505
    that's the sick part of this FJF that not too many people understand. Winds are picking up and as you can see from the forecast above...the most dangerous part of all of this is the stalling and duration...almost 36 hours of cat 2 winds and over 2 feet of rain...not sure about the rain part...but the total package..wind and rain..Wilmington will fare the worst out of all.

    I will say this. Leading up to this...it had the greatest noreaster ever feel to it. Like being up north for a once in a lifetime snowstorm for me. The last 24 hours..as you shop and talk to the people down here that have been through these...you see the gentle southern personalities still...but you can feel a bit of fear in everyone. It no longer feels like a once in a lifetime snow event. Would be lying if I told you right now there is a sense of excitement...mixed with a ton of nervousness.

    A normal eye gives you 4 hours of the worst...then the eye...then another 3 or 4 hours backside. That is NOT what we will experience here. This maybe the longest time a single area feels hurricane force winds...hour duration….ever. Even Tropical storm winds will not die down until Sunday Morning....hurricane winds for over 36 hours starting in about 6 or 7 hours...and ending early Saturday morning. Never saw that before.

    Still...2 story home....as long as the T word doesn't get mixed in (tornado) we will be ok I believe. Will keep you guys updated more towards the evening until we lose power.
     
    Brook!, FJF and CBG like this.
  15. CBG

    CBG Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2008
    Messages:
    7,120
    Likes Received:
    4,964
    Jay Im sure you might have a generator and it might be a little late in the game to get one of these they could all be gone but you might want to look into a HALO,,,if you or anyone else are unfamiliar and there is a way to get your hands on one they are great I have one and kids use it often. Portable power can start your car up to 25 or so times with one charge it has a couple of outlets on it and HDMI ports and it fits in one hand .Good luck buddy stay safe and keep us posted ---here is what the Halo looks like ----->
     
    jaywayne12 likes this.
  16. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,991
    Likes Received:
    1,505
    have something similar plus small gen. Winds have really picked up..first gusts approaching if not 50. Bella...our dog...has officially said "um...what the f#$#? when I took her outside. My wife Robin playing relaxing music....ready to roll...lol. All good.
     
    GordonGecko, dawinner127 and CBG like this.
  17. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,991
    Likes Received:
    1,505
  18. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,991
    Likes Received:
    1,505
    how do I put a pic up here that I emailed to myself.
     
  19. jaywayne12

    jaywayne12 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2004
    Messages:
    7,991
    Likes Received:
    1,505
  20. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 14, 2009
    Messages:
    7,220
    Likes Received:
    2,279

Share This Page