Since this draft seems to lend itself toward trading down, we might not get fair value in trading down our #9 or #13 pick. That said, why not trade one of those picks for maybe a second this year and a first next year from a team that you assume won't be very good? Teams seem to value future picks less, especially since they some influence on where that pick is going to be. It might be a gamble but we could have the opportunity to turn a top 10 pick in this draft into a second rounder this year and another top 10 (even top 5) pick in what is supposed to be a stronger draft next year.
I'd be all in favor of getting a trade with a team like Minnesota for only one of their first rounders in 2013 and another in 2014, instead of both 2013 1st rounders.
I don't think the Jets should move at all unless it involves a 1st round pick for next year and either a low first or high second this year... preferably another pick this year on top of that. The Jets shouldn't move down for the sake of moving down.
It's hard to make that kind of trade from where the Jets are sitting in the draft. It's easier to trade a mid to late 1st for a 2nd and a future 1st than to trade something like the 13. As an example, the obvious teams to target with this kind of offer would be the Jaguars, the Bills, the Eagles and the Lions. The first three teams would be looking to get a QB on the 13 after taking care of other business in the top 10. The Lions would be looking to pickup either a key defensive player after taking Lane Johnson or to pickup D.J Fluker if all the top tackles went in the first 4 picks and they had to take Dee Milliner at 5. The problem is that the trade value chart says that the 2nd and 3rd of each of those teams plus a '14 1st rounder is worth a good bit more than the 13. The 2nd and 4th plus '14 is worth a good bit less. We're talking the equivalent of a 4th round pick or so in each case. So in order to make a deal the Jets either have to give up the equivalent of a 4th round pick to move down or they have to give back their 4th round pick this year in the deal. If the Bills were offering 41, 71, '14 1st for the 13 and the 106 I don't know that that's a good deal for the Jets. The Jets wind up with the same number of picks this year and the 41 and 71 are wildly unpredictable as opposed to the solid value on the 13.
Normally I'd agree, but I think the real value in that trade would be exchanging this years #13 for (hypothetically) the Bills #1 next year, which will likely be a higher pick in a better draft. I don't if the draft pick value chart applies in this scenario because I have to think that the #13 next year would be more valuable than the #13 this year. Like I said, that part is the gamble. And obviously we make out by swapping the 106 for the 41 and 71. The depth of this class is something that has been addressed constantly, so I think adding a couple picks this year and just having to wait a year to use our other first rounder makes sense with the way the 2 drafts set up.
