Outsider’s View: Denver Broncos, Week Six

WhiteShoeWillis · Oct 15, 2010

This is from theJetsBlog.com

I know some of you are fond of Football Outsiders, (as am I) so once the season gets underway and trends start developing, looking at an opponent’s rankings on Football Outsiders helps to give fans some perspective on the Jets opponent for this weekend and what to expect.

(As a heads up, negative percentages are good on defense, bad on offense & specials)

Pass Offense: 51.5% (3rd)
Rush Offense: -45.0% (32nd)
O-Line Ranking: Run 32nd / Pass 13th

Analysis: No one is going to take away the fact that the Broncos best part of their game has to be their air attack or that it’s one of the best in the league so far this season. Orton is working on a pace to go for over 5000 yards right now and Brandon Lloyd has just under 600 yards receiving in just five games. Josh McDaniels is proving that with inferior talent (no Cutler, no Marshall) he can still put together one of the best passing attacks in the league. The problem of course, is that this is the quintessence of what a one-dimensional offense looks like. According to Outsiders, the Broncos are dead last in the NFL in their efficiency in running the ball.

This is great news for the Jets, who even without Darrelle Revis can lean their scheme more heavily towards a pass defensive unit, meaning de-activation of some backup linemen in favor of defensive backs to combat the spread style looks that the Broncos like to throw at opponents. The Jets should plan to play in nickel and dime packages much of the day to best equip the pass happy Broncos. As far as pressure, the Jets are going to have their work cut out for them. While Orton is third in the league with 12 sacks, he also is way ahead of the league with 213 pass attempts so far … 10 more than any other player in the league and almost 70 more attempts than Jets QB Mark Sanchez. In other words, the Broncos OL does a great job of protecting their QB for as much as he drops back.

If the Jets can disrupt Orton’s timing, it will be key to the Jets short-circuiting the Broncos passing game. Look for the Jets to do what they always do, show exotic overload blitzing with oddball personnel (nickel corners, safeties) to overwhelm a pretty solid Broncos line.

Pass Defense: 31.9% (28th)
Rush Defense: 9.7% (30th)
D-Line Ranking: Run 25th / Pass 31st

Analysis: This defensive unit needs help, and with five key contributors on defense unable to go in this contest, the Jets should be able to move the ball at will on this unit, whether on the ground or through the air. Basically, it’s looks like it’s going to be a Nacho & Schotty “Choose Your Own Adventure” day..

On the ground, the Jets should be able to work their magic to get LaDainian & Shonn to the second level, so I’d expect to see days of 4.5 YPC average for both of those guys.

In the air, the Jets are going to have a lot of choices. With FS Brian Dawkins out, and CB Darcel McBath sitting, the Jets are going to be able to pick their targets, and should have the time to find the open man, often during the day. Look for Braylon Edwards to potentially have a big day, while Sanchez seems to gravitate to Dustin Keller when the field compacts into the Red Zone.

Special Teams: -2.8% (27th)
Analysis: The Broncos are not very good at their coverage game in punts and kicks. Look for the Jets to be starting their drives in favorable position to make for shorter offensive drives for Mark Sanchez and the offense.
Click to expand...

http://www.thejetsblog.com/2010/10/15/outsiders-view-denver-broncos-week-six/#more-31767

Kris 15 · Oct 15, 2010

We seem to have an overwhelming advantage against them in every facet of the game except for our pass defense against their passing game. Even on offense, we aren't exactly lighting it up through the air but with them missing 2 starters in the secondary we appear to have an advantage there.

Seems like another game that will come down to turnovers and TOP. If we limit their chances with the ball by holding on to it ourselves and dominating the clock, like we did in Buffalo, we should come away with the W.

jetzfan · Oct 15, 2010

A heavy dose of LT and Mr. Greene should do loads on slowing down their passing attack...

ajax · Oct 15, 2010

Kris 15 said: ↑

We seem to have an overwhelming advantage against them in ever facet of the game except for our pass defense against their passing game. Even on offense, we aren't exactly lighting it up through the air but with them missing 2 starters in the secondary we appear to have an advantage there.

Seems like another game that will come down to turnovers and TOP. If we limit their chances with the ball by holding on to it ourselves and dominating the clock, like we did in Buffalo, we should come away with the W.
Click to expand...

Which is why I'm seeing another week of giving up the 3rd & long. Don't think Denver can exploit it enough to pull off a win but it should turn into some points for them.

tommytom · Oct 15, 2010

Orton throws for a lot of yards when his team is losing big. Not a threat.

JETS win 34-10

624 · Oct 15, 2010

Great writeup, WSW.

WhiteShoeWillis · Oct 15, 2010

624 said: ↑

Great writeup, WSW.
Click to expand...

Thanks man, I put a lot of hard work into it.

Outsider’s View: Denver Broncos, Week Six

WhiteShoeWillis Well-Known Member

Kris 15 Well-Known Member

jetzfan Member

ajax Well-Known Member

tommytom Banned

624 Banned

WhiteShoeWillis Well-Known Member

Share This Page

Useful Searches

Outsider’s View: Denver Broncos, Week Six

WhiteShoeWillis Well-Known Member

Kris 15 Well-Known Member

jetzfan Member

ajax Well-Known Member

tommytom Banned

624 Banned

WhiteShoeWillis Well-Known Member

Share This Page