With the draft in the rearview mirror, 2010 season predictions won't be far behind. The fine gentlemen at Bodog.com have updated their Super Bowl odds after the draft and free agency, with the Jets and Redskins being among the big risers since February. The Jets have moved from 25:1 to 12:1 to win the Super Bowl. The Redskins have moved from 50:1 to 28:1 after the Donovan McNabb trade. The odds reflect where money is going, and are an accurate way to see how the public views teams. Here are the top ten favorites (with ties) to wind up champions in Dallas next February.
Opps--here are the top ten. Indianapolis Colts -- 8:1 New Orleans Saints -- 9:1 San Diego Chargers -- 10:1 New England Patriots -- 10:1 Dallas Cowboys -- 11:1 New York Jets -- 12:1 Green Bay Packers -- 14:1 Minnesota Vikings -- 14:1 Pittsburgh Steelers -- 18:1 Philadelphia Eagles -- 18:1 Baltimore Ravens -- 18:1
interesting that 3 teams on that list don't have an established elite QB (Jets Philly, Baltimore) and I am kinda surprised that Pitt is on the list, after dumping Holmes and pretty much standing pat from last year (which didnt result in the post season) and ben being suspended for at least a quarter of the season.
Myself, 3 picks I totally disagree with..... I would put Ravens right below us, move the Steelers to the bottom (if not right off the list) and put the Patriots where the Steelers were.
since bookies take a cut of the bets, it is in their interest that the SAME amount of jack bet on both sides. that way loosers pay the winners, and the bookie skims off each. 'spreads' are created to make this happen. give the shitty team a 10 pt spread and money will flow in that direction. even things out. so as the OP said, bookies don't create the spread based on who the QB is, they make the spread based on how much money ppl are betting on each team. it's up to the ppl betting to place bets on who the qb is. that's why established teams like the cowboys always have an inflated spread just b/c more of the betting public puts money on them.
You have to remember that these odds are based on bettor's tendencies, not actuall analysis. So teams with large national followings like Dal and Pitt are always going to be higher on the list than they deserve to be.
