Leon currently has 397 yds rushing on 86 carries avg of 4.6 ypc. And that is with getting pretty much no carries the first couple of games. If he continues to get the ball around 20 times a game like he has been recently, do you think he will reach 1000 yds this season?
I voted no not because I don't think he's capable, I just think that the coaching staff is enamored with this RB by commitee approach, and he won't get the needed carries to reach 1000 yds.
could've sworn I posted here. If he averages 20 carries a game over the rest of the season, of course he will. But since he won't, he won't. This poll went from 6-1 yes (with me the only no) to 9-6 no. I set trends! :lol:
It's gonna be tough for Washington to get 603 yards in the second half with games against 3 top 5 rushing defenses (New England - 3, Chicago - 5, Minnesota - 2.) He's gonna have to have huge games against Houston, Buffalo and Oakland even to have a shot. Green Bay and Miami, while not strong run defenses have held their own this season and historically.
I say yes because I think after the bye week he will be the starter and Barlow will spell him. The only thing that makes me say no is if Houston comes back and gets more carries. I see a decline in Barlows carries and in increase in Washington's. If Houston comes back and is as good as he was at the end of last season I see those 2 guys getting the load down the stretch.
why not? hes already on pace for 800 yds. if he gets about 18 carries a game (4.6yds avg) that makes 83yds/game. 8 games left: 83*8= ~660+yds. he already has 400yds so 400+660= 1060yds :grin: also we are going to face a lot of weak defenses in the 2nd half of the season. like buffalo, oakland, houston, green bay...
We're platooning backs, if he gets 1000 yards on those burst carries then he will have surpassed all of my doubts about him, but I don't see it happening behind this O-line.
As raiderjoe would be happy to explain to you, Oakland doesn't have a weak defense (it's not as good as he thinks it is, but it is not weak) - teams have rushed a lot against them (running out the clock), but have only averaged 3.8 yards per carry. Green Bay has one of the stronger defenses in the league against the run (less than 95 yards per game (and 3.7 yards per carry) given up), and Miami's is probably even better (like Oakland, they've given up a lot of rushes, but teams are only averaging 3.3 yards per carry against them). Of course, the Jets also face New England and Chicago (two excellent defensive teams), and also Minnesota (second in the league in rushing defense). That's 6 of the last 8 games against teams with good-to-excellent rushing defenses. I wouldn't look to the schedule for support that Washington will do it.
Oakland has a pretty good D, yeah. Looking at pure yardage is crap. Teams that are often behind have the ball run on them a lot. Teams that are often ahead have the ball thrown on them a lot. That's why the best teams in the NFL have given up very few rushing yards but are only middle of the pack or worse in passing yards given up.
@statjeff22 again, they give up a lot of rushing yds and thats all that matters. who cares if they give up only 3.8yds/carry if you can run the ball on them about 30 times
It matters because Leon Washington isn't carrying the ball 30 times in a game. If the Jets are running out the clock, they're giving it to Barlow or Houston, not Washington (it is clear that Mangini doesn't think he can take the pounding of 25+ carries). You were the one who gave him an average of 18 carries in a game; that works out to 68 yards per game at 3.8 yards per carry over the last 8 games, not the 85 you were giving him. That's almost 150 fewer yards. You argued that the reason he would make it is because the Jets are playing easy defenses, and the fact is that they aren't. You can add that against New England and Chicago the Jets will probably be losing, so they'll be running even less.
Totally agree. I think he could get it, but only because of the extremely weak schedule over the last half of the year. He has yet to show he can pile up yardage against a bigtime team. But I'm not sure Mangini is willing to trust him fully with the running game yet and he will still use a committee.
uhm washington had 2 20+ carrie games the last 4 weeks. he cracked the 100yd mark both times. the first 4 weeks he had only 17 carries...so as you can see his role on this offense is getting bigger and bigger and i expect him to put up great numbers against the texans, grenn bay and oakland. you and your calculator dont, thats fine with me...lets wait and we shall see :wink:
I would like to see him get about 937 yards and average about 4 yards or more per carry! Incidentally, that is the same amount of yards that Emmitt Smith had in his rookie season; ironically, it's the same amount that he had in his last season with the Cardinals!
