Favre/Passing Game Stats at the Quarter Mark

Discussion in 'New York Jets' started by Darth Vader, Sep 28, 2008.

  1. Darth Vader

    Darth Vader Member

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    One Quarter of the season in the books folks, and it is looking better!

    We've seen the fluky play and the magic.

    Here's what his statline looks like:

    87 completions
    124 attempts
    for 935 yards
    = 70% completion rate & 7.54 y/a

    12 TDs to 4 ints.

    TD%
    = 9.7%

    INT%
    = 3.2

    QB rating
    = 110.8


    a straight line projection gives us:

    3740 yards, 48 TDs, 16 ints :eek:


    not bad, right?

    over a 4 game sequence, some significant numbers and trends:

    his yardage sequence has gone from under 200 y/g to cresting towards 300:
    194
    181
    271
    289

    his completion % hasn't dipped below 68%:
    68.2%
    69.2%
    71.4%
    70.6%

    in each game he's had a LNG of 40+:
    56
    54
    41
    40

    his TD-INT ratio has never been in the red, and has grown to 3:1:
    2-0
    1-1
    3-2
    6-1
    12-4

    his QB rating shows efficiency, and control over his game, even though he's had some highly visible ints, meaning that his positive plays are outweighing his negatives after a whole game is in the books:
    125.9
    85.6
    92.5
    123.7

    And he's spreading the ball around very well through 4 games:

    to his WRs:
    Coles = 18 rec for 257 yards and 4 TDs / 14.3 / long of 54
    Cotch = 18 rec for 243 and 3 TDs / 13.5 / long of 56
    Stuckey = 14 rec for 134 and 3 TDs / 9.6 / long of 28
    total= 50 for 634 and 10 TDs

    to his TEs:
    Keller = 6 for 84 yards and 2 TDs / 14.0 / long of 24
    Baker = 6 for 69 / 11.5 / long of 29
    Franks = 6 for 47 / 7.8 / long of 25
    total= 18 for 200 and 2 TDs

    to his RBs:
    Leon = 12 for 76 / 6.3 / 15 long
    TJ = 9 for 47 / 5.2 / 19 long
    total= 21 for 123

    percentage to position notes:
    he's completing 56.2% of his throws to his WRs for 67.8% of his yardage.
    he's completing 20.2% of his throws to his TEs for 21.4% of his yardage.
    he's completing 23.6% of his throws to his RBs for 13.2% of his yardage.

    straight line projections for WRs, TEs, RBs:
    WRs:
    Coles = 72 for 1028 10+ TDs
    Cotch = 72 for 972 10+ TDs
    Stuckey = 56 for 536 10+ TDs
    total = 200 for 2536 30+ Tds

    TEs:
    Keller = 24 for 336 8 TDs
    Baker = 24 for 276
    Franks = 24 for 188
    total = 72 for 800

    RBs:
    Leon = 48 recs for 304
    Jones = 36 for 188
    total = 84 for 492
     
  2. Steve032

    Steve032 New Member

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    Good Post....thanks for the Stats

    His numbers are only gonna get better...hope he stays healthy (knocks on wood)
     
  3. WhiteShoeWillis

    WhiteShoeWillis Well-Known Member

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    Favre was a mistake!!!1!!
     
  4. TampaBayJetsFan85

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    935 yards

    70% completion rate & 7.54 y/a

    12 TDs to 4 ints.
    __________________________

    Wow...Thats impressive!
     
  5. Revis Flytrap

    Revis Flytrap New Member

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    Awesome post! Very informative.
     
  6. Barry the Baptist

    Barry the Baptist Hello son, would you like a lolly?
    Moderator

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    Great research and thanks for the post.......

    With games against Cinci, Oakland and KC after the bye week I'd expect those numbers to get better. I think it's ridiculous to think he's gonna throw 6 TD's again but if you consider what should have been done against the Cheatriots this game evens that out.
     
  7. Zach

    Zach Well-Known Member

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    +1

    The Noodle would have been the rescue the Jets needed this season...
     
  8. TurkJetFan

    TurkJetFan Well-Known Member

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    a tremendous post....people need to chill about favre....hes doing a great job and is only getting better week to week....is he going to have another 6 TD game this year? Probably not. But I would seem think this shows a trend of improvement....Well...Serious improvement...and he has the bye week to grow more comfortable in the offense....
     
  9. MobiusOne28

    MobiusOne28 New Member

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    Great post. Favre's having a great year thus far, and hopefully the next few games will only help him further statistically. Finally seeing him click with Coles this week was definitely a huge step for the O.
     
  10. CaneJet

    CaneJet Well-Known Member

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    I knew the offense would find its groove at around this point. I sure expected better defense, though...
     
  11. johnny

    johnny Well-Known Member

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    To expect Favre to increase his statistical output over the next three games (3 TD's vs. 1 INT / game average) will be difficult - no matter who the Jets play. I'd settle for more "consistent" scoring and offensive effectiveness.
     
  12. GBA

    GBA Well-Known Member

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    I'm not sure if it's been mentioned already, but Favre has the most TD passes and highest passer rating in the league, as of now. He's also second in completion %, second only to Drew Brees. We can only hope Big Ben won't throw a perfect game with 9 TDs to dethrone him tomorrow night.
     
  13. Darth Vader

    Darth Vader Member

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    the defense is a tale of two cities.

    the Rushing defense is #4 in the entire NFL YPA.

    The Passing defense is like #27 or so....

    We're second in sacks, but our 3d down opponent conversion rate is terrible.
     
  14. Favre4Ever

    Favre4Ever New Member

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    It seems like people dwell on Favre's INTs more than any other QB in the league. Granted, he's earned a lot of the criticism but lots of other QBs throw horrible picks and don't seem to get scrutinized that much for it.

    Having said that, I expect Favre to have a very good season the rest of the way from a statistical standpoint. Tough to do as a Packer because the weather got so crappy for some of those December home games. Its a little bit more moderate on the east coast so that should benefit Brett and the team. He can still play in cold weather but if it gets below 20 degrees then that old body of his ain't quite what it used to be.

    I'm VERY interested to see the talk on Favre and the team on this week's sports shows. Virtually everyone last week and on the countdown shows today have been saying he doesn't want to be in NY and that he's finished. Those clowns that I refer to as The Two Live Stooges better be on First Take tomorrow morning. They said last week that Favre was old and finished. Can't wait to see what they have to say about him now.
     
  15. JetFanInMD

    JetFanInMD New Member

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    Not only has the defense been a tale of two cities but the offense has as well.

    Week one, we were a ball control offense. Week two, it appeared they tried the same thing but failed. In these games we had few WR pass plays.

    Week three we were in full bombs away mode trying desperately to keep up. Week four was bombs away but running away from the opposition. In these games, the WRs and Keller both started to get catches.

    Which offense will come through as the predominant one as the season goes on?
     
  16. uberchink

    uberchink New Member

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    don't expect him to get more than 3 TDs a game again. if he does then cool but i'd be happy with 2 or 3 and very few INTs
     

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