I might be completely opposite when thinking about this, but can you explain why under 6.5 runs would pay out more than over 6.5? Wouldn't the past 3 games point to under 6.5 being more likely?
6.5 runs is an absurdly low total for a yankees/tigers game if you're going by the postseason only, you'd be betting under every game (and you'd be winning). The opening number for Game 1 was: 10/13/12 09:52:31am 901 Detroit / NY Yankees 8 Over -105 Under -105 it's been getting lower but there's a limit considering the lineups. http://www.pinnaclesports.com/League/Baseball/MLB/1/Lines.aspx the real line is 7 with the under favored. I can't have a push with this so I made it 6.5 and used the alternate total line available.
Alright thanks. I guess it makes sense they would take in all the other games besides just the last 3. I was only thinking recently
if you go by the yankees postseason, the game totals could be set at 4.5 or 5 I guess. Only twice in 8 games have they exceeded 3 runs scored. During the regular season they had over 3 the majority of the time. They averaged 4.963 runs per game. If this game were played during the regular season, the total would likely be 8 and the over would probably be favored. So it's adjusted for what's been happening, but there's a limit.
