Jets are 2-6 and hosting Texans on Thursday night. Halloween game and Jets will wear Jet blacks. Weirdly Jets are 1 point favorites for the game. Bet your money on Texans and be rich. Too bad I have tickets to this game. Wish I went for a colonoscopy instead of this game. Little I knew during summer when I purchased my tickets that we would be 2-6 heading to this game.
I was curious how long it would take for a game thread to be created for this one. Obviously this team has shown nothing to indicate resilience or the ability to surprise. Sauce Gardner couldn't handle a person named Kayshon Boutte who we learned is a player on the Patriots so it doesn't really matter that Diggs and Collins are out to me. Hard to predict anything other than another Jets primetime embarrassment. 38-14 Texans. Oh also, how are the Jets favored!?!?
Seems like Vegas is trying to make people care about the game. Probably a solid to their bros at the NFL owner's meetings.
Jets win because that's what they do. In regards to the line, to us it makes no sense, but in Vegas doesn't use feelings or emotions when making their lines. - We are almost even with Houston in all advanced metrics. We have lost 5 games in a row while outgaining our opponent in 4 of them. That doesn't happen to most teams (we arent most teams) - Vegas probably views us as more of a 4-4 team rather than a 2-6 team because our kicker cost us 3 games and they view Houston has a 5-3 team rather than a 6-2 team - Houston has barely beaten Indy 2x, Jax, and Chicago - Short week on the road + super banged up - The Jets are losing in historic ways. Just look at last week, 700+ times a team has won with our stats but we are the one to lose (again because of the kicker) - A loss with 60 yards passing (again historic shit) I don't know how we stop Joe Mixon in this game, but I would not be shocked if the Jets win at all.
Ok, so I'm not a gambler so I don't get all the lingo, but but what does "sharp money" mean? also, JETS will probably win, just to string everyone along...
I usually have this mindset with them and thought maybe they would do this by beating the Pats convincingly and making us believe they figured it out only to disappoint in the coming weeks. I don't think they're even good enough right now to string us along. The only thing you can say is they've been in all of the games they've lost and at times looked like they would win, but of course have found ways in every single facet of the game to lose these games
Professional betters/respected betters in the industry or betting groups with a winning record are on that side of the game. So more money is on the Texans and the public will be all over the Texans getting points when the professionals in the industry are taking the jets
Identifying the “sharps” in a single matchup is an imperfect science. They are just high volume betters they often have money on both sides of a matchup too
The betting line is meaningless to follow. I mean maybe it’s fun and enjoyable and that’s fine but it doesn’t tell you anything about who “Vegas” thinks will win. they set the lines to entice degenerate gamblers to bet more. Its not based on who they actually think will win
The public historically never wins. If the sharps are on the the team giving the points it means the sharps think the jets will win. Who cares what Vegas thinks about who will win? All I was trying to do was explain why I think Vegas set the line at what they did.
I get what you are trying to explain. Ya know you are right about historically the public never wins but in recent years that’s changed a lot as sports betting has exploded. I personally have stopped trying to fade the public or make sense of the sharps vs public angle
It’s also changed a lot as different sports books release different data and blur the lines for bettors to look at. Percentage of bet tickets (100 tickets. 99 are at $1 and 1 is at $300) versus percentage of the handle (total amount of money) on a certain side can be very deceptive. I am not sure about last week but the two previous weeks I believe the public was 15-4 ATS. I think public vs. sharps is a lot harder in the NFL. Much more telling in college IMO. Public sees “big” numbers of -21 and instantly want to take the points.
