DE has a 33% bust rate in the 1st. If 6 EDGEs are taken in the first, 2 will bust. So pick the 2 you think are this years future disappointments
This is a great question because it makes the real statistics concrete. Lay people like all of us tend to give lip service to these statistics but then ignore them when we argue in favor of a particular draft decision. I predict that Hutch and KT are the most likely to be the bust. Not because they are the least talented, but because they are likely to go to the worst teams (with the highest picks). So, they are most likely to get double-teamed, and they will have less time to get to the QB because they will play on teams that struggle in the secondary such that opposing QBs will have an easier time finding an open receiver quickly.
i dont think he will bust, but when i watch hutch i see chris long ... good player, but not a #1 overall type to me
If Hutch goes #1 He’ll be on the field with Josh Allen and won’t be double teamed. If that’s your reasoning, I propose you reconsider.
I honestly have nothing more to go on than my gut instincts, but they tell me Walker and KT. But I don't have any special knowledge of how to assess DEs other than the eye test, and there's a lot more to it than that. I'd say my odds of being right are about the same as hitting on 4 out of 6 Lotto numbers (on one ticket to clarify).
Hmmm I think it could be Hutchison doesn’t live up to the hype of a first overall pick just like clowney. Still a good pro but not the all pro a team would be expecting at first overall. I see Everson Griffen when I watch him. As for a flat out bust I’m going with Karlaftis even though I really like his splash plays and strength he just isn’t a polished football player. For the record I do like his ceiling but his floor scares me a lot.
