A new day for CFB and NFL betting

Discussion in 'Virtual Vegas' started by Jonathan_Vilma, Nov 28, 2021.

  1. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Welp I won a boatload of money in Western Kentucky last week and was going to ride the hot hand. Took a small flyer on the ML already but line flipped almost 6 points already because so did everyone else.
     
  2. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    I want to play Dak over 1.5 passing again but the juice is -215 right now. It was over -225 this morning before Cooper was announced active. Weird to see the line go the other way when he gets one of his main weapons back.

    Dallas also without 8 coaches including OL + assistant OL coach.
     
  3. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Already up to 37.5


    Locked In
    Dak over 8.5 rushing- Dallas missing 8 coaches, including HC + OL coach + assistant OL coach - Saints are pretty aggressive and blitz, I feel like he can take off and run for maybe 15 yards tonight

    Juice on this passing TDs is too high for me, back to -230.
     
    #43 dawinner127, Dec 2, 2021
    Last edited: Dec 2, 2021
  4. IDFjet

    IDFjet Well-Known Member

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    You're the prop master but Hill's foot is f'ed up--thats the risk.
     
  5. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Totally agree with you, however he doesn't have any injury designation for tonight.

    I actually don't love the Hill props. This reminds me a few weeks ago I posted that Lamar Jackson prop about his passing yards where everything pointed to slam the over passing yards vs Miami and they got their shit kicked in. This seems like one of those scenarios IMO.

    The only thing I like a lot is Daks rushing yards. I'm going to do a little more research about the passing TDs for Dak. Still 50/50 on that
     
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  6. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    This game feels like an absolute nightmare to try to handicap. The Saints are likely without Kamara and both starting offensive tackles unless that’s changed. Amari active, nearly the entire Cowboys coaching staff is out but Quinn & Moore are available so I don’t see that as a huge issue.

    Would’ve loved this at 4.5 but didn’t pull the trigger. 6 seems like a lot but the Bills covered that with ease. And wtf is Taysom Hill’s effectiveness with a torn plantar fascia.
     
  7. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    @Acad23 what are you playing tonight?
     
  8. Acad23

    Acad23 Well-Known Member

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    lol... I logged in to check this thread...

    Bovada has shit odds on this game at +/- 6.5 and the O/U of 46

    I'm tempted to go Cowboys ats with the under... I'll post my bet when I place.
     
  9. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    Dak over 2.5 passing +180 juice
    Dak over 8.5 rushing (I'm super confident about this)
    Cowboys -4.5
     
  10. Acad23

    Acad23 Well-Known Member

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    Placed - 2 Team Parlay
    • Dallas Cowboys -6.5 (-115) Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints
    • Under 46 (-115)
     
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  11. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    I took the Boys -6. Really don’t like it though. Even with injuries the Saints defense can turn games real ugly.
     
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  12. Acad23

    Acad23 Well-Known Member

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    Placed - Single To Win
    • Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys will have over 8.5 rushing yards
    Placed - 2 Team Parlay To Win
    • Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys will have over 8.5 rushing yardsNew Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys
    • Ezekiel Elliott of the Dallas Cowboys will have over 45.5 rushing yards
    Placed - Single To Win
    • CeeDee Lamb 100+ Receiving Yards & to Score a TD (+700)
     
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  13. NYJFOREVER

    NYJFOREVER Well-Known Member

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    Got some stuff going on tonight.

    Zeke over 18.5 receiving -110

    Dak over 2.5 passing TD +165

    Gonna throw some dollars on live spread if it drops to like Dallas -4. Hopefully Saints score first.

    EDIT: @dawinner127 convinced me to take Dak rushing. Got him over 7.5 rush yards
     
  14. dawinner127

    dawinner127 Well-Known Member

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    I think their D is a little overrated. At least vs the pass anyways. Off the top of my head they allow almost 200 yards /game just to receivers and for Fantasy purposes they’re allowing the 8th most FPPG with the the most QB1 weeks
     
  15. NYJFOREVER

    NYJFOREVER Well-Known Member

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    This one betting account I follow on TikTok is the legendary mush, dude has been wrong more than 75% of the time. He's so bad that people straight up play the reverses of his parlays and hit for 1000s of dollars.

    He took Cowboys -6. Sorry Vilma, I'm pulling for you though.
     
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  16. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    Taking these two as well. The first is BetQL’s 5 star play.

    Juwan Johnson under 15.5 yards
    Cowboys over 13.5 first half

    took the Dak rushing at the last second too. Let’s go boys.
     
    #56 Jonathan_Vilma, Dec 2, 2021
    Last edited: Dec 2, 2021
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  17. Jonathan_Vilma

    Jonathan_Vilma Well-Known Member

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    That guys luck changes tonight baby.
     
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  18. Acad23

    Acad23 Well-Known Member

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    Cowboys are pretty good against the spread I believe...
     
  19. NYJFOREVER

    NYJFOREVER Well-Known Member

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    Ever since his ankle injury, Dak has been hesitant to run.
     
  20. Acad23

    Acad23 Well-Known Member

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    So has Zeke... :confused:
     
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