'18-'19 NBA Anti-Warriors Thread

Discussion in 'BS Forum' started by NYJalltheway, Nov 1, 2018.

  1. SOXXX2

    SOXXX2 Well-Known Member

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    Well I didnt imply that the Bucks and Raptors wouldn't make it, I just mean all the teams in the West could probably be capable of winning a series over them.
     
  2. NYJalltheway

    NYJalltheway Well-Known Member

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    Oh definitely. All 8 teams are crazy talented. I can't wait for the playoffs.
     
  3. JackBower

    JackBower Well-Known Member

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    Lol Colin Cowherd, talk about "knowledgeable."

    After another game where the celtics just looked like they would rather be anywhere else on planet earth than making millions playing a game, i honestly am just waiting for their first round exit moreso then their next game.

    I think Terry "i deserve to be a starter" rozier scored a hefty 2 points.
     
  4. NYJalltheway

    NYJalltheway Well-Known Member

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    Yeah that's exactly my point lol
     
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  5. JackBower

    JackBower Well-Known Member

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    O yes, i was agreeing with you.

    It's unfortunate that, if the celtics upset in rd1, they will face the bucks. I want to root for them to win it once the C's get eliminated.. thatll be hard if they eliminate my team.

    Im a fan of all Milwaukee teams.
     
  6. NYJalltheway

    NYJalltheway Well-Known Member

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    That's good. We've got 3 really good pro teams, so it's nice. Usually only the Packers are competitive. So it's a good time to be a wisconsinite.
     
  7. Sam Hammer

    Sam Hammer Well-Known Member

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    Magic Johnson steps down as president of the Lakers.

    That was unexpected!
     
  8. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    Durant.
    Kyrie.
    Zion.

    Omg New York Knicks are about to become a real deal contender. Can't wait.
     
  9. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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    It's very very very unlikely the Knicks will get Zion. A top 3 pick would be a HUGE win, right now they are most likely to get 5th pick
     
  10. statjeff22

    statjeff22 2008 Green Guy "Most Knowledgeable" Award Winner

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    Depends on how you look at it. While it is true that the single most likely pick is #5 (47.9%), they are more likely to get a top 4 pick (52.1%). The advantage they have over Cleveland and Phoenix is that they can't go below #5, while those teams can.

    And I wouldn't call them getting the #1 pick very very very unlikely - it's a little more than the probability of flipping a coin 3 times and getting 3 heads.
     
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  11. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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    Well, statistically you are correct, but if you run the simulator on tankathon.com it's 5th pick the vast majority of the time. And they are using the same ball combination algorithm, albeit with random number generators instead of bouncing balls
     
  12. statjeff22

    statjeff22 2008 Green Guy "Most Knowledgeable" Award Winner

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    Then they're wrong. The probabilities are what they are; if they run a simulation and find that the Knicks get the 5th pick any different from 47.9% of the time in the long run their simulation is not correct. This isn't open to debate; it's the law of large numbers, which was proven by Jacob Bernoulli 306 years ago. The single most likely pick is definitely the #5 pick, but there's more than a 50% chance that they get a higher pick.
     
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  13. NYJalltheway

    NYJalltheway Well-Known Member

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    Statjeff really knows his stats. All these years I never really looked into the name much.

    My mind is slightly blown, more like expanded right now.
     
  14. Sam Hammer

    Sam Hammer Well-Known Member

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    This is true. Even though 14% for #1 sounds low, the top 3 teams have that same equal chance, and that chance is higher than any teams that rank below them.
     
  15. GordonGecko

    GordonGecko Well-Known Member

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    Yes which is why some random team with 5% is going to win it because it's in a cohort totaling over 50%
     
  16. SOXXX2

    SOXXX2 Well-Known Member

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    The Nets could make the NBA Finals...not impossible. If they manage to win their series and draw the Magic, then they would be in the ECF.
     
  17. NYJalltheway

    NYJalltheway Well-Known Member

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    And then lose to the bucks
     
  18. JackBower

    JackBower Well-Known Member

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    I dont think it's possible in any scenario for the Nets play the Magic.

    As the 7 seed the Magic would face the highest remaining seed, and that couldn't be the Nets since they are 6 seed and 4 teams would remain.
     
  19. NYJalltheway

    NYJalltheway Well-Known Member

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    The NBA is not like the nfl with playoff seeding. It's locked in, not highest vs lowest.
     
  20. DefenseWinsChampionships

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    1.) 76ers -2.5.
    2.) Nuggets ML.
    3.) Milwaukee Bucks -9.5.
    4.) Houston Rockets ML.

    Placed a $20 4 team parlay today. $20 pays out $386 all for fun @ our local game room took two underdogs on MoneyLines in order to boost the payout some Nuggets and Rockets I said fk the points given and just win the game.

    I feel lucky just to be watching this Denver/Spurs game right now. House money feels like because Philly beating Brooklyn by -2.5 was not looking good at all. Philly was down by 6 and 8 all game and at one point down 10 and no Jimmy Butler during the comeback I thought my ticket was dead meat. Took a big risk taking Denver on the road. Haven't won @ San Antonio since I think 2012. Got greedy but Denver on the ML won me a good amount of money throughout the season this year so made a crazy decision and bet against Pops @ home in SA; I deserve to lose for that lol
     
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