I know this was done at the beginning of the season, and there are alot of variables, but now that the Jets have a 3-1 record after the first quarter and a bit of a track record (the making of a stout D, experienced vets, offense can score some), whats the view on total wins for the season? I can see 10-11 wins. Right now they would be favored against the Skins, Raiders, Jags, Texans, Fins, Giants and Titans. If they take care of those 7 teams that gets them to 10 wins, even if they lose twice to the Pats, Bills and lose to the Cowboys. But to have a real shot they would need to at least split games with the Bills or steal one from the Pats.
The fact that we've shored up the secondary and implemented a functional offensive system -- even if not all the parts are there -- is definitely making some of these games seem winnable where I wouldn't have thought so 5 weeks ago. I'd project 9-7 because I've been a fan too long.
I'd predict 9-7 if Fitz stays on his current trajectory and we stay healthy. I'm thinking 7-9 with Fitz going down injured in the second half of the season for a game or two and probably a key player season ending injury.
I've upgraded from 7 to 9 wins. Still haven't shown me enough to feel good about the playoffs, but we will see later in the year. Winning next week is a must.
Worst case: 7-9 Best case: 11-5 I'll go with 9-7, but I'll maintain what I have written for weeks now: If we get OVERALL average quarterback play for the entire season, we will win at least 10 games. I'm still not convinced Fitz can quite give that to us for an entire 16 game season, so 9-7 seems reasonable to me.
And since OP mentioned losing twice to Bills... here's how Bills and Jets stack up in some key areas: Offense - jets 23rd/bills 22nd in yards; jets 16th/bills 6th in pts ... a difference of 15 pts Defense - jets 3rd/bills 22nd in total yards; jets 1st/bills 16th in pts allowed -- (but Bills had exceptionally horrendous game against NE and they have personnel) Penalties - jets 31st/bills 32nd yards/gm QB - TT: 104.4 QBR vs RF 78.1 - (big edge to Buffalo, esp given how mobile TT is) WR - jets 27th/bills 21st RB - jets 3rd with 509 yds/bills 1st with 513 Turnovers - differential: Jets +6/Bills +4 Bottom line: We stack up evenly, with one glaring exception of QB play where BBs have a solid edge. But, as one who really wanted to see RR go -- couldn't stand the narcissism -- it's only honest to take a stand: I'm going to predict we take both games based on all the other factors -- coaching, discipline, etc -- that, I assume, were the reason for dumping him. Rex is going to come in there all pumped up and wanting to win and making it personal and about him and, in my ideal world, we're going to methodically wear them down after they come unhinged. but then again it's all a ways away.
It's all dependent on injuries. If Fitzpatrick, Ivory, Marshall, Decker, Mangold and D'Brick all stay healthy I think 10 wins is in the bag. If we lose one of those guys it's iffy and if we lose 2 we'll be lucky to win 8.
Fitz has historically tapered off as the season progresses, losing far more than winning. However, he has been beaten down in the process. For example, he was sacked 52 times in his 2 seasons in Buffalo. IF our o-line can keep him standing he MAY continue to play very well, even in December. He's only been sacked once so far, none in the last 2 games. Our season will go as our o-line goes.
I predicted 9-7 before the year, getting 7th place in the AFC. I thought we were right on that bubble, but went with the more natural pessimistic route as far as playoffs. I'm still thinking 9-7, but have more faith in 10-6 than before, and more faith for the playoffs. Here's why. The AFC South should have the Colts only. The Titans, Jaguars, and Texans all will finish below .500. The AFC North is trickier, but looking good for us. The Browns won't make it. The Ravens have a poor record, and are not as talented this season. The Steelers don't have Ben. The Bengals are looking like they'll win the division, and could possibly be the only playoff team in the division. The AFC West has the Broncos likely taking the division, and the Raiders finishing around .500 if things go their way. The Chiefs have not looked like a playoff team, and the Chargers have not been as good as expected. The AFC East will have the Pats obviously. It seems Miami will be the bottom dweller. Then it's down to Buffalo, and us for 2nd in the division. I believe wwe will be more stable thru the season, just knowing Rex's inconsistent history. All of those things combined make me believe that we have a serious shot at the 5 seed, and thus a pretty good chance at making the playoffs.
12-4 Book it! Best defense in the NFL, just got Richardson back. We have dominated 7 out of 8 halves this season so far. Ppl saying 8-8/9-7 are crazy. We are way better than this. ------------------------- Also, NE is totally overachieving right now.
Been a fan since 1998, but don't post much on here. Ppl are saying 9-7 b/c we have TB and not RR as a coach. It's crazy how much the head coach bravado dictates the sentiment on this forum, instead of actual data. People were calling for 8-8/9-7 at the start of last year. Compare that circumstance(lack of talent on team, horrible schedule/matchups from week 2-6), to the one we are currently in(at 3-1 going into the bye, with a easy schedule, a ton more talent on the team). We are in a vastly better situation now than at the start of 2014. However, people's predictions haven't changed at all. People that are being cautiously optimistic will be pleasantly surprised.
In defense of last year's team, there were countless games we lost by 1 score, or had a few unlucky plays/calls. We weren't 4-12 bad imo.
I see us at 10 wins as well, maybe 11 even. I can't see us losing 5-6 more times this season with our ridiculous schedule. The only teams I'm worrying about at least on paper and talent wise are the Cowboys (with Romo & Dez only) and Patriots obviously. We just can't lose to teams like the Redskins, Texans, Jaguars, Eagles or Raiders, that shouldn't happen. Not that it won't, I'm sure we'll lose a game or so out of those 4. The Bills maybe once, Patriots maybe once, Cowboys maybe. So 10-11 wins is a must IMO. 9 wins with this type of schedule I'd consider a huge disappointment.
It's tricky for sure but if we want to make some noise we have to beat teams like the Texans, Jaguars, Raiders, Redskins, Eagles even though they are somewhat competitive at the moment. We're not gonna be 10-0 in those games obviously but if they keep us from winning more than 10 games we have no business being in the playoffs where you have Denver or the Bengals waiting for you in that first round, the wildcards.
