Wisteria Lane The road to riches ?

Discussion in 'New York Jets' started by BIGREX, Jul 6, 2012.

  1. BIGREX

    BIGREX Member

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    Could be some major value Betting Mark to score TDs this year ,Tebow will be very short every game to score 1st or last TDs or anytime for that
    matter ,both ran the ball in regular last year ,difference was in the odds ..
    Tebow is massively underpriced every game Mark will be massively overpriced
    it can only get bigger with Tebow as back up :) bookies will price Tebow short every game to score a TD ,a small bet on Mark 1st or last could be value I.M.O
    at odds of 33-1 u have to be right once to cover the season and that was
    his average price each game last year to score 1st or last td in each game.

    Of course we might make the play offs in which case one hit will be no good
    :beer:

    Any thoughts on Eva :)
     
  2. Mantana Soss

    Mantana Soss Active Member

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  3. Burnz

    Burnz Well-Known Member

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    Anyway this can be dumbed down for someone who is not into betting like that ?
     
  4. Mantana Soss

    Mantana Soss Active Member

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    I think he means Sanchez was 33:1 to score the 1st or last TD of the game, via rushing the ball in.

    That seems high to me, but either way, the QB sneaks are going to go to Tebow. You really would be betting it every game of the season hoping to hit just one time.
     
  5. dcm1602

    dcm1602 Member

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    Thats kind of bizarre considering the guy has 12 rushing tds in 3 years

    But does is that only the 1st or last td of the game for the Jets or both teams ?

    If its both teams those odds really arent that crazy
     
  6. Br4d

    Br4d 2018 Weeb Ewbank Award

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    I think people are over-thinking this. Sanchez is still going to score more rushing TD's next year than Tebow. In fact he was second in the NFL in rushing TD's by a QB last season and 22nd overall. That's not his issue.

    The Jets were very good in the red zone last season. That's not the issue.

    Tim Tebow is probably going to get carries similar to the way Brad Smith was used. He'll get a series here and there to help break a logjam on the offensive side. Hell probably get a 1st and goal on the 2 series at some point, especially if the Jets run into an opponent with a weak rush defense.

    Now of course if Mark Sanchez sucks next season all bets are off the table. Then Tebow's playing time would go way up and Sanchez might become non-existent. However odds are good very few of us would be watching the resulting mess really closely anyway. The Jets would be scoring very few TD's in that situation, just like the Broncos did last year.
     
  7. dcm1602

    dcm1602 Member

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    If Sanchez scores more rushing TDs than Tebow something is wrong with our wildcat.

    I mean he only scored 3 tds in each of his first two years with us, till he had an abnormally high year for rushing tds (6) last year.

    So I would expect TT to break loose for at least 1-2 big rushing tds on the season, plus at least another 3-4 from redzone plays.
     
  8. Br4d

    Br4d 2018 Weeb Ewbank Award

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    If the Jets are getting into the red zone with any regularity they won't be pulling Sanchez to let Tebow score those TD's. That's just politics. You don't pull the guy who got you there at the last minute before the crowning achievement.

    Tebow's TD's are likely to come on wildcat plays from outside the red zone and I'd expect him to have a couple of those as you said.

    If the Jets are routinely pulling Sanchez when they get down near the goal line this year it will mean one of two things: either the Jets aren't getting there that often or they're having trouble scoring once they do. In the first case we're looking at a lost year anyway. In the second we're looking at a major change on the offensive side over the next year or two, one that will leave Tim Tebow as high and dry as it does Mark Sanchez.
     
  9. NotSatoshiNakamoto

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    I can see the wildcat being a big short yardage play for us. Inside the 5 yard line may be a big Tebow package.
     
  10. Bill Belichdouche

    Bill Belichdouche Well-Known Member

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    posting in a gay thread
     
  11. Br4d

    Br4d 2018 Weeb Ewbank Award

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    Doing that if the Jets offense is working beforehand would just be self-defeating. If they have red zone problems I could see that being an option but if not it's just not that smart a move.

    The Broncos with Tim Tebow last year were a bottom third of the league team in the red zone.
     
  12. Will-I-Am-Not

    Will-I-Am-Not Well-Known Member

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    No thoughts about which QB scores more rushing touchdowns. In my mind, the key to our season, is, and always will be, Sanchez's ability to protect the football and avoid turnovers.
     
  13. Chrebet86

    Chrebet86 Active Member

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    Agreed on this.

    Well see come september though.
     
  14. Leicester Jet

    Leicester Jet Well-Known Member

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    Eva and a few of her friends would certainly improve our cheerleading squad
    :beer:
     
  15. NYDeadEye

    NYDeadEye Member

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    Aka Being a good game manager.
     
  16. TNJet

    TNJet Well-Known Member

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    Heck yes!!! Our cheerleaders are meh.
     
  17. BIGREX

    BIGREX Member

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    Nothing gay about it all ,unless u favour Mark over Eva :breakdance:

    obviously if u dont have a bet of no interest to you ,just saying could be
    a bit of value betting Mark in TD markets TT is always very short ..

    Mark Ran 6 in last year, the same as TT the only difference
    were the odds before each game ,now with TT books will go short him,
    and Longer Mark ...

    HOPEFULLY
     
  18. BIGREX

    BIGREX Member

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    well if he scores 3 this year and one them is 1st or last we show profit :)
    nothing abnormal about scoring 6, Mark has settled in ,he likes to take off
    now an again ,with teams expecting passing plays when hes on, can only
    help ,its going to cause big headaches for some defences ....

    not to mention SANTONIO (will they ever pass to me ) HOLMES ..

    The offensive plays will be very interesting to say the least ...

    On hearing the signing of TT I thought wtf are they doing ?
    but the more I think about it ,the more fun it gets ....

    Live in hope die a Jets fan :)
     
  19. dcm1602

    dcm1602 Member

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    Marks not gonna be Vick or McNair

    Rodgers is a far more mobile QB than Sanchez, and has never hit 6 rushing tds

    I wouldnt expect mark to hit 6 rushing tds too often in a year
     

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