I have a hard time believe 9-7 will do it. Unless 2 of 3 teams in the AFC North completely collapse, I honestly don't know if we even have a shot. I think the Steelers, Bengals, and Ravens will all make it.
as well as the Bengals have played they are really young and have Pitt, Bal and Hou on the sched. The games really get big next month and they haven't really experienced that, we'll see if they can handle it. Maybe they can but they need to prove it, it won't be easy. keep in mind they haven't beaten a team over .500 yet.
9-7 will not get us in unless, the bengals/titans start playing like crap. 10-6 is a possibility but running the table gives the best chance...easier said then done. I am most afraid of the giants and eagles game. Giants have a good d-line which i think will run over hunter time n time again, eagles showed us sunday nite they can play damn good defense as well and vick mite be back by then too. hell if we couldn't catch tebow, no way we are catching vick...lets not forget, nfl is wild n crazy and you never what happens week to week here's to us running the table!!
Giants will be a tough game. The Dolphins have won the past 3 games they've played. And the Eagles have Mccoy who will give us nightmares. And the Bills are in the same situation we are. I don't feel good about the playoffs this year.
Where are you getting your stats from? If we go 10-6 as do the Bengals as long as our loss is to a NFC team and their two loses are in the AFC (they play PIT, HOU, and BAL mind you). Then it would go to common games record in which we are 2-2 and they would be 2-3, and we would win the tie breaker. If there were multiple wildcard teams at 10-6 then it could get a little fuzzier but to say 10-6 is "50/50" is not accurate right now in the season at all.
I'd say 10-6 gives us a 75% chance to get in. It's no lock, but if Cincinnati starts losing, and the Jets lose to an NFC team instead of an AFC team, the odds go up. 11-5 probably gives us a 98% chance to get in. 9-7, I'd put the odds at about 20% we get in. If the two losses are to NFC teams, then they go up slightly, but that means Cincinnati needs to go 3-3 down the stretch, and it would come down to a lot of tiebreakers. You can't count on 9-7. If we get to 7 losses, then we can focus on how to get in at 9-7. But in the meantime, let's focus on getting 10 or 11 wins.
If you DO make the playoffs I HOPE you get bounced before getting to the Pat's! Sorry, but after winning 43- 3 or whatever it was, then getting beat just a couple weeks later, AT HOME, as the #1 seed, w/a 14-2 record.... that just sucked, and regardless that the Pat's finally got a sweep this year, I do NOT want to have to see the Pat's play the Jet's ANYWHERE until Sept. Having said that, your schedule looks like they COULD win out. Why not. Eagles are iffy game to game, not quite the dream team they thought they would be. The Giants are good, but beatable, as shown by those iffy Eagles who went into Giant stadium with a 3 & 6 record and beat the Giants. That leaves Miami... Miami is a MUCH improved team. Their QB is pretty good and has gelled with his receivers now. That game, which probably looked like a laugher a few weeks ago, could be the toughest game left on your schedule, and seeing how it's your LAST game, it could very well be a do or die, win & you're in game The Bengals are the only contender on the list and they have been slipping, losing the last 2 in a row, albeit to very good PIT & BAL teams. They are still good enough to get in though. BUF is n freefall & I can't imagine the Bronco's keep winning with that weak game they got. I was shocked the Jet's lost. Must've been the short week coupled with the confidence shaking loss to the Pat's days earlier & injuries? They would have to lose twice, and Jets win out to outright beat them for the spot. If you Lose 1x it has to be to an NFC team. Then if they lose 2x, both to AFC teams, entirely possible playing BAL & PIT AGAIN & HOU... it would be a tie in wins & Conference record This brings us to "Record against common opponents" where you both have wins against BUF & JAX, & both have losses to DEN & BAL... so then you go to Conference wins, which would also be tied, as shown above Next 2 factors are "Strength of Victory" & "Strength of Schedule" which can't be figured at this time. but is the 5th & 6th level deep in tie breakers. That's pretty deep Best bet... win out & hope CIN gets 2 more losses. The Jet's don't totally control their destiny, but they have to do their part at the very least & win out for a reasonable shot. Lose 1 time and you need CIN to lose 3 times to avoid 5th or 6th level deep tie-breakers. Lost 2x and it's over, short of a full catastrophic failure by the Bengals. The last 3 will be the toughest w/the Eagles, Giants, & much improved Dolphins The Jet's would have to win out and the Pat's lose 3 of the last 6 for the Jet's to take the division so I think the Pat's are good & could maybe even get a bye
If the Bengals (who are currently 6-4) lose both of their remaining games to the Steelers and Ravens but win all of their other games and the Jets go 5-1 over that stretch only losing to an NFC team such as the Giants, Eagles or Redskins, the Jets would win based on the common opponents tiebreaker.
Didn't see this post before. This is exactly why I think 10-6 can get the Jets into the playoffs this year.
Who Gives a flying Fluk? Too many things can and will happen to get overly wrapped up in meaningless projections about scenarios. Why not just wait to see what actually transpires??? The only important game is the Buffalo game coming up. Win and advance.
My dad can only go to one game this year because he works out of the country and is going to the game with me Sunday. I joked with him that at least he gets to see a playoff game, cause whatever team loses is not going to make the playoffs.
