1st Mock Off-Season

Discussion in 'Draft' started by AMJets, Jan 21, 2008.

  1. AMJets

    AMJets Well-Known Member

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    RELEASES
    WR Justin McCareins
    CB David Barrett
    QB Marques Tuiasosopo
    TE Sean Ryan
    FB Stacy Tutt
    OG Adrien Clarke
    FS Erik Coleman
    LB Victor Hobson
    OT Anthony Clement
    OT Adrian Jones
    OG Jacob Bender
    TE Joe Kowalewski
    P Ben Graham

    RE-SIGNINGS
    CB Hank Poteat
    OL Wade Smith
    FS Abram Elam
    LB Brad Kassell

    FREE AGENCY
    OG Jacob Bell
    OT Stacy Andrews
    DT/NT Randy Starks
    CB Randall Gay
    QB Josh McCown
    TE Ben Troupe

    TRADES
    Pennington to KC for 3rd round pick (#66 overall)
    Vilma to Detroit for 2nd round pick (#46 overall)
    Robertson to Washington for 3rd round pick (#84 overall)
    #67 + '09 3rd for #45

    DRAFT
    Rd. 1, #6 - Vernon Gholston, OLB, Ohio St.
    Rd. 2, #36 - Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
    Rd. 2, #45 - Roy Scheuning, OG, Oregon St.
    Rd. 2, #46 - Devin Thomas, WR, Michigan St.
    Rd. 3, #66 - Dre Moore, DE, Maryland
    Rd. 3, #84 - Craig Steltz, FS, LSU
    Rd. 4, #98? - Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
    Rd. 5, #130? - Durant Brooks, P, Georgia Tech
    Rd. 6, #162? - Mike Klinkenborg, ILB, Iowa
    Rd. 7, #194? - Chad Rinehart, LT, Northern Iowa

    DEPTH CHART
    QB - Clemens, McCown, Flacco
    RB - Jones, Washington, Charles
    WR - Coles, Cotchery, Thomas, Smith, Stuckey
    TE - Baker, Troupe
    LT - Ferguson, Rinehart
    LG - Bell, Montgomery
    C - Mangold, Smith
    RG - Scheuning, Moore
    RT - Andrews, Rinehart

    DE - Ellis, Coleman
    NT - Starks, Pouha
    DE - Moore, Mosley, Brown
    OLB - Gholston, Bowens
    ILB - Barton, Klinkenborg
    ILB - Harris, Kassell
    OLB - Thomas, Chatham
    CB - Revis, Gay, Dyson, Poteat, Coleman, Miller
    FS - Steltz, Elam, Smith
    SS - Rhodes, Washington

    K - Nugent
    P - Brooks
    KR - Washington/Miller
    PR - Washington

    After addressing the lines in free agency, I felt comfortable going with playmakers with our first two picks.

    Gholston compares favorably to Ware/Merriman, and with the beefed up line, he should be able to have success from day one.

    Although RB isn't much of a need, Jones only has a few years left, and Charles is a top talent who drops due to an incredibly deep RB class. Have to take that value.

    Scheuning slides in perfectly at RG, and can also play LG if needed.

    Thomas has only one year of major production, but that's a product of not being used as a sophmore. He's the real deal and can flourish in the slot.

    Moore adds beef to the DL.

    Steltz might be off the board here, but he gives us a ballhawking safety, and allows Rhodes to make more plays in the box and at the line of scrimmage.

    Flacco gives us long-term insurance incase Clemens isn't the answer. I like his potential, and I hope he doesn't fly up the boards so we can grab him here.

    Graham has really declined over the last couple of years, and Brooks has tremendous potential. Again, wouldn't be surprised if he ends up going sooner.

    Klinkenborg and Rinehart give us depth.
     
  2. HardHitta

    HardHitta Well-Known Member

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    Monster Off Season man. I Wish we sign those many Free Agents.
     
  3. Capt. Ace Nick

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    All Tangini needs now is some pixie dust and...
     
  4. DraftaFullBack

    DraftaFullBack Active Member

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    No, Charles is not good enough to warrant this high of a pick.


    Also, I don't see Flacco being there in the 4th, don't see Moore being there in the 3rd, and I don't see us getting a 3rd rounder for Pennington
     
  5. Warhound7

    Warhound7 New Member

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    Flacco won't go in the 4th. The Bears have already floated the idea out that they're willing to drop their 2nd round pick on him if he's available. He's quickly becoming a day 1 pick and if his senior bowl is as productive as we think it'll be he'll go into the combine with major hype.
     
  6. biggundewayne63

    biggundewayne63 Active Member

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    MAYBE we trade pennington OR vilma PROBOBLY NOT DEWAYNE but all of them are not being traded this is the nfl.
     
  7. Warhound7

    Warhound7 New Member

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    Further, why the heck would we trade DRob?
     
  8. AMJets

    AMJets Well-Known Member

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    Aside from MAYBE at DE, he's worthless in this defense.
     
  9. All Star

    All Star Active Member

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    Not he isn't, I thought he had a good year.

    Anyway, good luck trading him with that monster contract.
     
  10. jamezmetsy

    jamezmetsy Member

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    rahter have hart outta michigan in the secnod round but everything else is good
     
  11. AMJets

    AMJets Well-Known Member

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    D-Rob would be fine in a reduced role, but given said monster contract, it's not worth it.

    And I wouldn't be worried about trading a monster contract if the recipient is Washington.
     
  12. Warhound7

    Warhound7 New Member

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    you failed to finish your sentence. it should actually read: "aside from maybe at de, he's worthless in this defense... in my opinion."

    last i checked, robertson had a good year and was productive. granted the jets blew this year, but he held his own.
     
  13. DraftaFullBack

    DraftaFullBack Active Member

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    I agree, Robertson didn't play any worse than the rest of the D line.
     
  14. AMJets

    AMJets Well-Known Member

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    You failed to finish your sentence. It should actually read: "last i checked, robertson had a good year and was productive... in my opinion. granted the jets blew this year, but he held his own... in my opinion.

    In MY opinion, until the Jets get bigger and more 3-4 experience on the defensive line, their run defense will continue to suffer as well as their pass-rush. In MY opinion, Robertson's only role of value on this team is as a pass-rusher in the occasional 4-3 defensive look AND maybe as a DE in the 3-4 if there are two monster gap controllers with him. In MY opinion, the Jets would be better off trying to get a draft pick for him, shedding his contract, and getting a player better suited for the schemes they are attempting to run.
     
  15. Warhound7

    Warhound7 New Member

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    The statistics go against what you're saying. In 2007, DRob posted his 2nd highest season. 57 tackles, 36 solo, 21 assists, 4 sacks. It's important to remember that his highest season was in 2006, also under the 3-4 scheme. Under the 4-3 he posted a high of 52 tackles in a year and no higher than 3.5 sacks.

    What makes him undersized? Hmm? A 3-4 DT/NY should be around 6'2, 340? So essentially he's one inch and 30 lbs too small? (Personally, I'd prefer lean players over fatty players but thats neither here nor there.) Well lets see his effectiveness in the 3-4 against someone who was "made" for the 3-4, Vince Wilfork of the Patriots. Wilfork's highest tackle total for his career was 54, nearly all (40 of them) are assisted, and he's never posted more than 2 sacks in a season. So, whose really more effective? Sure, the DT/NT is supposed to occupy the middle while the linebackers go after the sacks, but is it DRob's fault that our LB corp can't pass rush and that David Harris is pretty much a one-man show? No.

    So, lets correct you yet again. What I said originally was: "Last i checked, robertson had a good year and was productive. granted the jets blew this year, but he held his own." I'll finish this by saying that "and the statistics PROVE this statement and is not an opinion but rather a FACT."

    So yes, in your opinion, DRob sucks. But the statistics make your opinion, well, moot. Lets say that we agree we need to get better on the pass rush, and don't think that I don't believe we need to beef up on the DLine, but is it all DRob's fault? Absolutely not. If anything, he's been out performing other pure 3-4 nose tackles while operating under the 3-4 defense and in fact, has excelled in the 3-4 over the 4-3.
     
  16. AMJets

    AMJets Well-Known Member

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    That's all well and good, but raw statistics are next to meaningless when evaluating defensive linemen in the 3-4 defense. It's why Richard Seymour was the highest paid player in the NFL in 2006 and has only averaged 5 sacks a season for his career. And that's for a DE, for a NT, they're not even worth a glance.

    It'd be nice to have a NT around 6'2, 340. I would prefer leaner, quicker players if our 3-4 was similar to one employed by Wade Phillips, which is more one-gap, and relies on more pressure from the DL. But Mangini is a Belichick/Parcells disciple, and runs the two-gap system. So the main job of the DL is to occupy blockers. D-Rob doesn't do that.

    Again, why are you using tackles to try and prove your point? Even in a 4-3, it's silly to use tackles to prove the effectiveness of a defensive linemen. If you polled everyone on this board who would they rather have at NT, D-Rob or Wilfork, if <90% said Wilfork there'd be a major problem. Wilfork's a big, gap clogging NT that's perfect for this system, and keeps the LBs clean and allows them to do their job and get those tackles.

    It's partially D-Rob's fault that the LBs can't pass-rush. It's part D-Rob, part Coleman, and part overall effectiveness of the OLBs.

    If you actually think tackles and sacks have any relevance in determining the effectiveness of a 3-4 two gap NT... then we have a major problem here. Without looking it up, I have no idea if D-Rob has better tackle and sack numbers than guys like Wilfork, Hampton, Jamal Williams, etc. and I'm sure some of the smartest posters on this board don't have a clue, either. You know why? Because they're meaningless. Wilfork, Hampton, Williams are tremendous when it comes to controlling gaps and eating up space. D-Rob isn't. Perhaps D-Rob could be a good NT in a one gap 3-4, but in the two gap Belichick/Parcells/Mangini system, he's just not big and strong enough.
     
  17. Warhound7

    Warhound7 New Member

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    Listen, if statistics aren't enough for you then nothing will be. We're going to have to agree to disagree. He's not worth trading (especially with his contract) and the fact is that by the numbers, he's been productive.
     
  18. TheCoolerGlennFoley

    TheCoolerGlennFoley Well-Known Member

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    Defensive statistics are some of the worst in all of sports. A defensive lineman could get dragged and wind up bring down a running back 5 yards off the line of scrimmage and get credited with a tackle. He could also rush around the edge and force a QB to step up and get sacked by someone else and get credited with nothing but a hurry which isn't even an official stat. Yet which play did he make the bigger contribuation on?

    I like Robertson and think it's unfair to label him a bust because he's playing out of position. With that said he is not an ideal NT for the system we run but his cap number is too high to get rid of him so the best case scenario is to ride it out with him as an expensive role player and inside pass rusher in nickel situations.
     
  19. wewantsapp

    wewantsapp Well-Known Member

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    I like everything except;

    1) I would cry if we spent a 3rd round pick on Craig Steltz S LSU. I just do not see this guy cutting it in the NFL. I would rather get Josh Barrett SS Arizona St. 6'3" 231lbs 4.49 40 (faster than Steltz). Its time for us to get some beef on D.

    2) using a 2nd round pick on a Texas RB (I'm just superstitious w/Ricky Williams & Cedric Benson).
     
    #19 wewantsapp, Jan 23, 2008
    Last edited: Jan 23, 2008
  20. AMJets

    AMJets Well-Known Member

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    I like statistics as much as the next guy, but for a 3-4 NT, they don't get much more meaningless than tackles and sacks.
     

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