I'm of the same mindset. It's almost the direct inverse of what logic dictates. So let me get this straight...you show out on the field against the best players and dominate them and many of them you'll be seeing again at the next level. One would think that level of documented on-field success would at the very least be an indicator of what you'll do at the next level. Obviously not every guy pans out but that's just the law of averages in any industry. However these days all these "experts" online seem to put a huge amount of credence in a 4 day postseason event in shorts and t shirts that is not football, rather physical fitness testing and ball drills. So we're supposed to put more stock in some postseason events that aren't even football games and no contact over the actual games on the field? I will always put way more credence in on-field production and it's not even close. It is rather odd when you think about it in this 24/7 internet/social media world how people's minds can be changed so quickly and all the time. Fans were fickle before the internet existed. Now it's just exacerbated all day and night online. It really is a sign the world is going to end lol.
The Jets have a real tough decision to make between Bain/Reese/Bailey. I’ve said it before but my main issue with Reese was that he wasn’t even the best player on the field for his team. He wasn’t even second best…. Styles and Downs popped off the screen way more. Reese was a splash play guy. This really worries me on film. Everyone’s comp for him is Parsons but I don’t see that at all. Parsons is more compact physically where Reese has more length. I see him as Shaq Thompson type player. Bailey produced and has a plethora of pass rush moves. He I feel is the safest pick to be a 10+ sack guy and even an all pro ceiling. When he was at Stanford he consistently was doubled and when he left for TT he was a man on a mission. He would set tackles up with all his moves he’s got in his bag. His FBI is off the charts for a pass rusher. Bain is just a dog on film. He is an absolute wrecking ball. On film this guy got double teamed on most plays. Linemen knew where he was on every snap. The short arms don’t bother me, it’s not ideal but the film shows a baller. Suggs is a great comp for him.
In the age of the CFP, the combine should mean even LESS. Why? Bc these guys actually play multiple best of the best teams now for a month. Was harder to compare players when they played their schedule and a random bowl game. Bain was a terror against that tough field, the best player on the best unit (DL) of the national runner up. Bailey was a terror all year against a slightly easier schedule and was nasty in their playoff game as well. Reese is a blitzing LB. He will never be able to play as a DE in a 4-3. But he is also not a MLB. He is basically Clay Matthews without the motor, and like Matthews will be reliant on scheme to generate QB pressure. You don’t take a guy like this 2 overall.
Just like you think that Reese would not be effective on the 4-3, many fill Bain is much more suited to a 4-3, arguably a scheme we might not play that often. Bailey on the eyes of many is the most flexible for our so called new defense, a hybrid blitzing 3-4.
Well I guess I have some homework to do on Taylen Green lol kid was not on my radar at all but man oh man the athleticism is unbelievable
I’m giving in to the idea it’s likely gonna be Reese at 2. I do think the kid is insanely talented and a freak arhletically, I just think it’s gonna take a really creative defensive mind to get the best out of him. No matter what he says about his superpowers I don’t think Glenn is the guy.
My gut feeling is that with pick 33 we trade back or trade up. I don’t think we will make that pick. I feel if a team has a 1st round grade on a guy and they love him they will pull the trigger. Good way to possibly recoup a 3rd rounder or even a 1st in 2027 straight up.
My dream top 4 would be: 2. Bain 16. Styles 33. Sarratt 44. Ponds We have our D of the future and get a big, sure handed WR to pair with Wilson.
What I can’t figure out is this 3-4 D we plan to run but it’s not a true 3-4. Either way. If it’s a hybrid D, there not drafting Reese to be an edge rusher. He’s a 5th rusher and WLB. The other DE is the SSDE. Phillips-Sweat-Rookie SSDE Reese-Anazalone?-Sherwood-Will McDonald is how Insee this that DE needs to be a big body and capable pass rusher too. Kendrick Faulk if he falls. It’s an important piece just as much as Reese is think that’s where we’re going.
Does Detroit really run a 3-4/4-3 hybrid? Those two sets historically require much different types of players.
Same as he does in a 4-3, or will he get eaten more alive in a 3-4? Sherwood sucks, no plans should revolve around him.
According to the odds, it's looking like a 2 horse race now between Reese and Bailey, with Reese as the favorite at -120, with Bailey at +135. Bain is distant 3d at +600. I think that makes sense if Glenn wants to do 4-3 hybrid with a lot of 3-4 looks. Given we have Dunbar, we can probably assume 50/50 for 3-4 vs 4-3. You want your edge to be able to play OLB and drop in coverage sometimes when you are in 3-4 look, and when you do 4-3, the same player is a DE. Bailey has proven to do both. Reese is projected to be able to do both. Bain doesn't really fit perfectly if you want to run this scheme on 3-4 looks, and on top of it is not a perfect prospect either. So, I think he is pretty much out of the running.
No matter the first pick, Bailey or Reese, I agree with the sentiment about Sherwood inability to play effectively in AG defense. Last year he became a significant liability. May be trade him to Tennessee reunited with Saleh that loves him.
