Uncle C. Thanks for the storm insights and I will wait for Thursday update. For other things you mentioned, I will just say that Petro handed down day to day operations to other admins and mods and I personally am more responsible than Petro at this time. Wish we had all Oldtimers back but let's keep this thread for weather updates and discuss this separately in another thread if you want.
I could be wrong but 4 days out I like what the models are showing ----you do not want to be in the bullseye 4 days out as a lot can change. That said earlier today many of the models had this Out To Sea but throughout the day the models have all trended back to the N n W,,,,,,,,and I could be wrong again but these big storms many times trend back N n W on the models as they digest the data and we get closer to event time,,,,,,,,lets see what happens 4 days to go but right now despite what others might be saying = I like where we are sitting
Uncle C. Sending the bat signal. How does Sunday look? I know you are focused on snow but 30-40 mph winds are also causing flight delays. Please enlighten us
Brook the bat signal is reserved only for Batman and the Jayster and BTW Jay might have a better shot at snow down in the Carolinas this weekend then us but to answer you at this moment winds appear to be maxed at 20 mph but IMO that can change as nothing about the weekend is in stone yet = case in point last night most weather models came west and that meant that this storm that was supposedly over the ocean would now be over land and the models showed that snow was possible over coastal areas of NJ and especially Long Island BUT this mornings model runs said " no no no not so fast " as todays early guidance (almost all models) had shifted back east and they showed this mess back over the ocean again, BUT the music did not stop there -- so don't grab a seat just yet as some of this late afternoon guidance has now shifted back West ----------> this is why I was saying we hopefully have a better idea by Thursday evening but we might not have an answer by then. I know plenty of weather geeks who threw in the towel and they are giving this storm no shot of hitting us and they believe with this setup it's definitely out to sea,,,,,,,,,I can't say that yet as IMO the " setup " is not yet defined or written in stone as I believe the models are having a very difficult time with the dynamics and what they are seeing,,,,,,,,oh I forgot = you asked about the winds ----> flip a coin brother lol wish I could give you more but this is the best I can do for now
I can’t take this anymore Brook flying Saturday 8:00 pm. Please don’t tell me there iz risk for Saturday too
IF IF IF you look at the weather models right now ----they are showing that NYC 5 boughs might be in the game...........If this were to shift 50 or 100 miles more west before game time many others including myself would be in the game,,,,,,,,,,,,now could it shift back east ? Yep because thats how the weather models have been doing for countless storms and this could easily be a fish storm over the ocean,,,,,,,,that said IMO people really should be paying attention to this as it is a huge / strong storm ,,,,,,
what a difference 12 hours makes and I keep in mind that 12 hours from now the weather models could possibly be saying the complete opposite BUT it really is quite amazing how a storm of this magnitude is literally on our doorstep and yet.the weather models are showing no one in eastern Long Island or on the Jersey Shore or along the coast being effected and again ( as of right now ) it would not take much of a jog west by this storm as currently depicted on the models for many people to see 4- 8 inches of snow but none of the models are seeing / showing that happening,,,,,,,IMO it is quite possible that the models could be correct but there is still time for changes as this event is 3 days away and this could still play out much differently than the overnight guidance has suggested but if it is a miss that would not be a bad thing as most of us still have a lot of snow everywhere. IF IF IF the weather models show something different later today ( which would not shock me ) I will share it
They are saying some spots down here in the Tampa area have a 20% chance of snow flurries on Saturday night
Jayster, wherever you are ,,,,,,,,,,,,,enjoy the snow as your backyard Wilmington is supposed to get 8 inches give or take ----------make a snowman brother and enjoy
We’re going to get 4-6 here in the Myrtle beach area. Real pain in the ass, as they can’t deal with it here. The real story is the cold. Mid teens with zero wind chills for 2 nights ( big deal for southern pipes and roads). Real fun for me, and my work truck and machine cannot freeze. So I get to do the space heater shuffle all night.
Just came in from covering / wrapping what cold sensitive plants I could.... unfortunately going to be alot of dead fruit trees
I just face timed with my kid he was out running around with his dog in the snow,,,,,lives just outside of Charlotte and they have 8/12 inches of snow and still coming down,,,,Charlotte will be paralyzed for a week
Good 5-8 here in north Myrtle. They never plow secondary roads, so there is a good 2-3 of slush covered in snow that will freeze tonight while it’s 16 degrees. Ready for spring now .
Damn.... never wouldve guessed that photo is SC, let alone Myrtle Beach Here in NE Fl, were in the "9B" zone.... just almost "subtropical" but not quite. I tried to cover what cold sensitive plants in my yard I could... unfortunately to no avail. My yard looks like it was sprayed with Agent Orange....
