AG doesn't have a wheelhouse, he just keeps hiring coordinators that can do the job without his input apparently. Horses mouth, he said it was Wilks defense.
I'd rather use these premium picks on both sides of the ball. And if by some chance Chambliss does declare for the draft, his stock is going to shoot up the boards with the lack of proven, potential "franchise" QB's in this draft. I'd rather get guys who showed out on the biggest stages like Chambliss and Surratt because that has the makings of a talented O. Add proven guys like Bain and Allen to that and you have a really talented young core on both sides. I wouldn't mind adding a speedy back or WR too in the mid-rounds. We need more explosive players on O. Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall alone aren't scaring opposing defenses. Add a few talented skill guys around them and now you've got something.
I want a WR early…preferably first round I get our defense was a hot fucking mess, but so is our offense. I’m so tired of ignoring it historically. We need a WR as badly as we do a DL. I’d like to go DL and WR in round one with our picks. Our defensive players didn’t look THIS bad in previous years with better coaching…not sure that our coaching is going to get much better this year after this purge, but it’s hard to imagine it getting worse. I’d hope that better coaching would bring some of our defensive guys back up to previous levels of production…guys like Quincy and Sherwood definitely looked MUCH better under Saleh than they did last year. I think coaching was a big part of that. We’ve tried to win with defense and a running game forever…it has never worked. We need to be able to move the fucking ball, and so far, we have exactly ONE legit receiver. We need to add another.
I just saw a crazy first round mock draft on AZ sports - it had the Jets trading the #2 to the Bengals for #10, #41, and a 2027 first rounder…the Bengals traded all of that for Reese. The mock had the Jets taking Sonny Styles and then Peter Woods at #16…. Caleb Downs went #12 to Dallas…. lol. In this scenario I would have gone Downs at #10 instead of Styles because Anthony Hill could be had at #33. The Jets in this scenario would have two more second round picks - #41 and #44.. This trade would give the Jets 4 first rounders in 2027…
LB at 2, even if he solid there, is to me a bust of a #2 pick. It's not a lock he will be a Pro Bowl LB either. To me this is a guy who is a Swiss army knife, has all the tools to be a Parsons, but very much a projection to become one. Take a look at all his sacks for the year: https://x.com/Marcus_Mosher/status/1988343969399664657 6.5 total sacks for the year, and really 3 of them are where he was effectively a DE, winning a rep against OT and getting to the QB. All in the 1st 8 games. In the last 6 games he had 0 sacks. Of course sacks is not everything, but he also generated total of 5 pressures in these games. And of course big part of it was how he was used, but still, that's the point really, if we are looking at him as someone who can put pressure on a QB, which is what you need from #2 pick, it is a massive projection at this point. And he is young, athletic, shows traits to meet that projection, but still, this is a big projection, it's just a fact. Which is why the more I think about, the more I would prefer Bain or Bailey. Bain as you said is more of a high floor. 8-10 sack guy in the NFL, a good run defender, can slide to DT on some passing downs. Bailey I think is a 15 sack guy in the NFL if he can play for most of the game without being a liability in the run game. He improved a lot last year there, 20 TFLs, well graded run defense by PFF (not much worse than Bain), etc, but I can't really tell if he can be a solid run stopper in the NFL. Not sure if @Rockinz you got a chance to look at him. But as a pass rusher I think he is an athletic freak with incredible get off and speed and will wreck the games in the NFL if his running defense is good enough to keep him on the field. That's someone I would want at 2: a proven pass rusher (leads FBS in sacks, #2 in TFL, high pressure rate, even higher on true pass sets, athletic freak, good measurements, etc) as long as the running defense is good. This is why it is so cool both of them will be there for sr Bowl. If Bailey shows out there, I think he may be an obvious pick at #2. Bain too really can separate himself. There is still more process left, but to me one of these two guys right now would be preferred over Reese, who seems like an incredible talent also, but a fairly large projection at this point IMO.
I just can't see this in the big picture play out given both the current sad state of our offense, and with a FO regime that is already on the hot seat. I say this time and time again and I'll repeat it again now. The pink hat projection factor that refuses to see Garrett Wilson for what he actually is (a clear #2 NFL type that will never elevate anybody around him) is probably the #1 factor fueling these always wrong and overstated predictions a lot of people have been making over the last few years. Superbowl with Rodgers. Average with Justin Fields. Ect. Having a couple of young tackles in place doesn't change the surrounding reality this really bad top to bottom offense. One that basically locks in yet another bottom 5 team finish. No flyer QB in the NFL, essentially coming in here to fail, is going to change that either. That draft might as well be a concession to run back the 2025 offense. Even if the defense gets better I can't see any scenario where Glenn and co come out the other side of that without it costing them their jobs. Plus nobody getting fired this winter suggests to me that the billionaire input tax coming out of Woody/Brick is probably going to be carrying a little more weight then we'd ideally want in that 2026 draft room.
Yeah it's definitely a bust if we take him at #2 and he doesn't put up big sack numbers, but having a floor as a good LB is definitely a nice plan B. My concern with Bain is how many snaps it took to get his sacks. His sack rate is way lower than the other guys we're considering. Regarding Bailey - if you look at the college seasons where him and Reese were the same age, Reese had more sacks and TFLs. I am increasingly thinking Reese should be the pick at #2 if we don't trade down. I'm also just kind of tired of even our best edge rushers maxing out around 10 sacks per year during their best years. We haven't had a high ceiling edge rusher in forever. I wouldn't mind trading down at all though and I might actually prefer it over taking anyone at #2.
