Maybe, but the statement that Hutch is the favorite to go to the Jets at 4 is misleading. Even looking at the actual odds, he is MUCH more likely to go to Detroit: -200 (implied probability 68%). He is only +300 (implied probability 25%) to us.
It depends what you mean by realistic. If 25% odds and 75% against is realistic, then yes. It does look according to the odds that Hutch is more likely to be a Jet than KT, which is surprising. Smoke and mirrors or Jets really don't want KT? I am a bit surprised, I want the Jets to run to the podium if either one of them is there.
Do you really think Hutch will get by the Lions? Local player at position of need, hard to see Detroit passing.
If Hutch slides to 4 it's a no brainer...Douglas needs to run to the podium and take him. If he doesn't and Ekwonu is there same thing. If neither, I hope he trade back for a bundle.
The open question is whether the owners are out of the conversation in Detroit. If the owners are pushing they are definitely pushing for Hutchinson.
The odds basically reflect the consensus opinion of people willing to put money on the outcome. The odds move in response to that consensus opinion while trying to keep the $ amount wagered on yes/no 50/50 because books make $ on the vig. People willing to put money on the outcome of something generally have a better idea of what the outcome will actually be than the population at large. More money generally equals stronger opinion or more edge in terms of information.
