http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/s...07/0004499021&EDATE=WED+Jan+03+2007,+11:44+AM NEW YORK, Jan. 3 /PRNewswire/ - Indianapolis and New England are two teams with loads of NFL playoff experience, both play at home this weekend, both are big favorites and both are getting little respect from bettors at Sportsbook.com, the world's largest online sportsbook and casino. The Colts are a 6.5 point favorite against the Kansas City Chiefs at the RCA Dome, but fans aren't convinced that Peyton Manning and company will pull through. Current betting trends show a nation divided with Kansas City garnering 51 per cent of the wagers. The patriots, one of the most accomplished teams of the past five seasons, with three Super Bowl wins behind them, are a 9 point bet against the surprising New York Jets, but only 21 per cent of bettors are backing them to cover the spread. See more at the above link.
You have to take Jets +9. This game should be closer than 9 and the Jets have a chance to win it outright. The 21% doesn't surprise me because they're thinking it's too much. I was thinking the spread should be more like 6 1/2.
Sorry but that doesn't make any sense. If only 20% of the bettors are choosing the pats, they would change the line until you end up with a 50/50 split. Unless 50% of the money is coming from the 20% group, which may even be more disturbing to the Jets chances.
The spread is not what is likely, it is a number derived to get an even split of money so the house can't lose. If the 20% is correct the spread will change and would have changed already.
That's what has to be happening - the heavy money is going with the Pats. But I don't think that necessarily spells doom for the Jets, it just means early, heavy-money gamblers think the Pats are such a "sure thing" that they're foolishly willing to give 9 points. It started out at 9 1/2, by the way, and has tapered off to 9, but I still think even that's too much, especially if Harrison is really out.
The casinos in Vegas and Atlantic City are so lavish because the public knows shite. When was the last time you saw a bookie driving a Dodge Intrepid? That line tells me the wiseguys are begging you to bet the Jets because they realize what a beat down the Pats will lay on them. 31-10
i dont really understand the spreads and stuff by i see the Chefs and jets upsetting both the pats and colts this weekend.
We've been road dogs all season; it's nothing we're not used to. Playing on the road as a dog has been more motivational even than playing at home.
Bettors would be foolish not to take the Jets at +9 and Larry Johnson at +8 (the rest of the team is irrelevant.) I wouldn't be surprised to see the spread narrow rapidly before gameday.
If we win, we'll win by a narrow margin. If the Pats win, it'll be by 10 or more. That's just my hunch.
I disagree and I think you're factoring too much Herm Edwards into our prediction equation. Under Herm, this might have well been the case as we often played not to lose. Not so with the new bunch. We'll pull out the stops and put the pedal to the metal.
At least the Jets spread is either going down or staying the same. The Colts spread moved in favor of the Colts. It probably does mean that the wise guys are on NE, though. They were against us for the Minny game, too.
